Nevada vs California Picks and Predictions: Offenses Show Up in Opener

The Wolf Pack are coming off one of their best seasons in recent memory and return nearly all of their top offensive players, including QB Carson Strong. Will it be enough for them to cover as a 3.5-point dog? Find out in our Nevada vs. California picks.

JD Yonke - Contributor at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Contributor
Sep 2, 2021 • 10:45 ET • 4 min read
Carson Strong Nevada Wolf Pack NCCAF
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Nevada Wolf Pack will be looking to build upon one of their strongest seasons in recent memory after finishing with a 7-2 record a year ago. They'll be on a mission to prove that last year was no fluke.

The California Bears, meanwhile, are anxious to play a full schedule on the heels of a strange 1-3 season featuring relatively few positive takeaways. 

Will the Wolf Pack be able to add a victory over a Power 5 team to their resume? Find out with our free college football betting picks and predictions for Nevada vs. California on Saturday, September 4.

Nevada vs California game info

Location: Califonia Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA
Date: Saturday, September 4, 2021
Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
TV: FS1

Nevada vs California odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare college football odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Best sign-up bonuses

If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for college football Week 1, here are two of the best welcome bonuses available: 

USA: Risk-free bet up to $5,000 at Caesars. Claim Now

Canada: 100% matched free bet up to $400 at BetVictor. Claim Now

Nevada vs California betting preview

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key injuries

Nevada: None.
California: Blake Antzoulatos LB (Out), Craig Woodson S (Out), Dylan Jemtegaard OL (Out), Stanley McKenzie OL (Questionable), Will Craig OL (Questionable), Mo Iosefa LB (Probable).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting trend to know

California is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing as the favorite. Find more NCAA betting trends for Nevada vs. California.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

The Wolf Pack return 20 starters after a successful 2020 campaign. They’ll be led by quarterback Carson Strong, one of the top QBs in college football, and a potential future first-round NFL draft pick. They return their entire line and nearly every skill player. Add in the fact that they’ll welcome back 2019 leading receiver Elijah Cooks, who missed all but one quarter of 2020 due to injury, and this appears to be a potent offensive attack.

Despite fielding a solid defense in 2020 that allowed only 23.3 points per game, the Wolf Pack dedicated significant resources toward improving on that side of the ball. They’ll welcome four Division I transfers to the fold in hopes to become a more well-rounded team.

California, on the other hand, is a defensive-oriented team under head coach Justin Wilcox. It will run its offense through veteran quarterback Chase Garbers but will hope to see improvement after averaging only 319.5 yards of total offense a year ago. That’s been the knock on the Bears for a while now, and are there any signs that they’ll show significant progress on that side of the ball soon?

They do return a lot of experience and production, including 18 starters, and are a well-coached football team that is tough to play against. 

However, nearly every single game on Nevada’s schedule looks winnable this year, and this is no exception. This is a dangerous enough offense to stay in any game, and the hook gives us nice insurance in case the Bears win by a field goal. Nevada is not a team to play against without good reason, and we won’t be anxious to do that here in what should be a close game. Take the points with Nevada.

PREDICTION: Nevada +3.5 (-110)

Over/Under pick

At first glance, it would appear as though these two teams would be a good Under play. Nevada will look to throw the ball early and often and the strength of the Bears’ defense lies in their secondary. California is not known for its prolific offensive tendencies.

Upon further examination, however, there’s a strong case to be made for the Over. 

Nevada’s passing offense may be held somewhat in check, but the team is going to score points regardless. The Wolf Pack routinely scored above what opposing defenses were averaging last year, dropping 26 against San Diego State (16.7 points per game allowed) and 37 on Wyoming (17.8 points per game allowed). They’re simply too good and too experienced not to put up points. 

The Bears, meanwhile, should see their offense move better against a Group of 5 defense, and improvement should be expected in Year 2 under offensive coordinator Bill Musgrave.

The total is simply too low to play the Under. We’ll take the Over and bank on Nevada scoring points and trading leads in a back-and-forth affair.

PREDICTION: Over 52.5 (-110)

Nevada vs California betting card

  • Nevada +3.5 (-110)
  • Over 52.5 (-110)

Picks made on 8/31/2021 at 9:57 p.m. ET

NCAA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s Nevada vs. California picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college football odds?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NCAA moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of college football prop odds. Head over to our best football betting sites for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

Pages related to this topic

JD Yonke
Contributor

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo