The Oregon Ducks look to improve upon their 4-0 record as they travel to Palo Alto to take on the Stanford Cardinal.
Stanford has proved spoiler already once this year, upsetting USC en route to the firing of Clay Helton. Will it be able to do so again, or will Oregon march on in its quest for a PAC-12 Championship and a chance at the playoffs?
Check out our picks and predictions for the Oregon Ducks vs. the Stanford Cardinal on Saturday, October 2 to find out.
Oregon vs Stanford odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Oregon opened at -7, but they’ve moved to -8 at most books as of the time of writing.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.
Oregon vs Stanford picks
Picks made on 10/29/2021 at 9:15 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Oregon vs Stanford game info
• Location: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA
• Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021
• Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
• TV: ABC
Oregon vs Stanford betting preview
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Key injuries
Oregon: Sean Dollars RB (Questionable), Patrick Herbert TE (Questionable), Bram Walden OL (Questionable), Jaylen Smith DL (Questionable), Kayvon Thibodeaux DL (Questionable)
Stanford: Austin Jones RB (Questionable), Casey Filkins RB (Questionable), EJ Smith RB (Out), Michael Wilson WR (Questionable), Ben Yurosek TE (Probable), Branson Bragg OL (Out), Ricky Miezan LB (Questionable), Noah Williams S (Probable), Ethan Bonner CB (Out), Zahran Manley CB (Doubtful)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between these two schools. Find more NCAA betting trends for Oregon vs. Stanford.
Oregon vs Stanford predictions
Oregon -8 (-110)
Stanford has struggled to protect their home field, going 0-4 ATS in its last four home games.
When you see how many fans are in the stadium come game time, that trend checks out, as they have one of the worst home-field advantages of any Power 5 team. Oregon fans travel well, and this should be considered a neutral site game from a handicapping perspective.
Is Oregon a touchdown better than Stanford on a neutral field? It certainly seems to be the case.
The Ducks are 4-0 to start the season, while Stanford is sitting at 2-2. The stats show that Oregon has only slightly outgained their opponents by 11 yards per game, while Stanford has been outgained by a whopping 57 yards per contest.
The Ducks have their eyes set on a PAC-12 Championship and possibly the playoffs, with an impressive non-conference win over Ohio State under their belts. They simply need to avoid any slip-ups along the way and take care of business.
Oregon has a balanced offensive attack, led by quarterback Anthony Brown (7.9 yards per attempt) and running back CJ Verdell (over 400 total yards, with 6 total TDs). They should face little resistance against a Stanford defense allowing 404.3 total yards per game (85th) and 212 rushing yards (118th). The porous Stanford front seven should allow Oregon to add to the margin if it gets out to an early lead.
The Cardinal lost one of their top safeties (Jonathan McGill) before preseason camp, and have lost multiple players in the secondary to injury thus far in the season, including their second and third cornerbacks and yet another safety. This defense is in a world of trouble, and the offense, playing at a snail's pace, isn’t equipped to go score-for-score with Oregon.
It also doesn’t help that nearly the entire Stanford running back room is up in the air, as rotational back Nathaniel Peat was forced to play every snap against UCLA and the return of his compatriots is questionable this week. One of their best offensive linemen, Branson Bragg, is also expected to be out.
An underperforming but talented Oregon defense should see a boost as star edge rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux returns to health after playing only 10 snaps a week ago against Arizona.
Under 57.5 (-110)
Stanford’s defense is no good this year and the coaching staff knows it, so they’ve opted to slow games down to a very, very slow tempo. The Cardinal are running only 53.8 offensive plays per game, dead last in the country by a full three snaps per game.
It’s hard to consider anything other than an Under while they continue to slow the game to a crawl. Oregon doesn’t play at a very rapid pace either, averaging only 67.9 plays per game this year and 61.1 last year.
The Oregon defense should round into form as Thibodeaux returns to health, and the number of possessions should be limited as Stanford sits on the ball.
We’ll take the Under in this one.
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