The Oregon Ducks sit fourth in the CFP Selection Committee’s first rankings of 2021. The Ducks are in the driver's seat for a spot in the playoffs if they can conquer what's left of their schedule.
While Washington has been fairly drab with a 4-4 record, the Huskies have the home-field advantage in this heated rivalry contest.
Will the Ducks get the job done on the road against the rival Huskies, or fold under pressure and leave the Pac-12 out of the playoff discussion?
Read our picks and predictions for the Oregon Ducks vs. the Washington Huskies on Saturday, November 6 to find out.
Oregon vs Washington odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Oregon opened -6 and the line has moved to -6.5 across most books at the time of this writing. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.
Oregon vs Washington picks
Picks made on 11/4/2021 at 8:05 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Oregon vs Washington game info
• Location: Husky Stadium, Seattle, WA
• Date: Saturday, November 6, 2021
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV: ABC
Oregon vs Washington betting preview
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Key injuries
Oregon: C.J. Verdell RB (Out), Patrick Herbert TE (Out), Alex Forsyth OL (Questionable), Jonathan Flowe LB (Out), Steve Stephens IV S (Questionable), Jordan Happle S (Out), Bennett Williams S (Out)
Washington: Richard Newton RB (Out), Ja’Lynn Polk WR (Out), Ryan Bowman OL (Out), Jaxson Kirkland OL (Questionable), Edefuan Ulofoshio LB (Out), Alex Cook DB (Questionable), Alex Cook DB (Questionable), Asa Turner (Questionable)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Ducks are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings with the Huskies. Find more NCAA betting trends for Oregon vs. Washington.
Oregon vs Washington predictions
Oregon -6.5 (-115)
If you’d been blindly betting Oregon against Washington, you’d be up a pretty penny over the last decade and a half. The Ducks are an outstanding 13-2-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings between these two schools, a testament to the stranglehold they’ve had on this heated rivalry.
The Ducks have won the last two meetings, with 2020’s matchup canceled due to COVID-19 issues.
Washington head coach Jimmy Lake tried his best to stir up the tension in this rivalry, claiming that Oregon wasn’t a rival in recruiting because the Huskies battle “more academically prowess teams”. It was yet another bumbling for Lake, under whom the Huskies have regressed at a shocking pace in his two years of leadership.
Oregon should be fired up to cover the spread for a few reasons. First, Lake’s comments should only add more fuel to their fire in this heated rivalry. The Ducks are 0-5 ATS as the favorite this season, but this matchup is different. They weren’t fired up to cover the spread against bad teams like Colorado, Arizona, and Stony Brook (and Stanford...) but the effort level will be higher in this rivalry game. Secondly, the Ducks came in at No. 4 in the initial CFB Playoff Selection Committee rankings, so they know taking care of business is paramount.
The Ducks will look to run the ball relentlessly against a miserable Washington rush defense, ranking 96th in the country with 178.6 yards per game allowed. Look for Oregon to keep the ball on the ground and avoid having Anthony Brown take any unnecessary risks against this stout Washington secondary. In their four losses this season, the Huskies are allowing an average of 237 yards rushing.
This Oregon defense hasn’t been good – it allowed a terrible Colorado offense to score 29 last week – but the Washington offense has been even worse. Excluding the outlier performance against a miserable Arkansas State defense, the Huskies are averaging only 321.6 total yards of offense per game — a bottom-15 mark. Barring a lame-duck performance from Oregon, the cover should be in their grasp as they are the better team nearly everywhere.
Under 51.5 (-115)
We’ve already established how bad this Washington offense has been, but did you know that it hasn’t scored more than 24 points in any of its last four games? Both teams like to run the ball, averaging at least 34 rush attempts per game. The clock should be churning as Oregon looks to avoid mistakes and Washington seeks to limit possessions in order to pull off the upset.
Washington has been an Under team all year, going 7-1 to the Under in 2021. They like to play at a very slow pace, and Oregon should be happy to avoid a track meet in order to cut down on turnover opportunities. Oregon quarterback Anthony Brown has come under fire this year as fans push for a change at the position, but he’s taken care of the ball (3 INTs) and avoids taking risks.
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