The Texas A&M Aggies roll into Oxford on Saturday for a big-time SEC matchup with the Ole Miss Rebels. The Aggies are on a four-game win and cover streak, and are laying 2.5 points as the road team here.
Can the Rebels find a way to avoid a four-game losing streak against their SEC foe? Keep reading our Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss picks and predictions to find out.
Texas A&M vs Ole Miss odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
The Aggies are available between -1.5 and -2.5 depending on the book. The total has moved pretty significantly, with the number starting at 55.5 and getting all the way to 57.5.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.
Texas A&M vs Ole Miss picks
Picks made on 11/12/2021 at 6:35 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Texas A&M vs Ole Miss game info
• Location: Vaught-Hemingford Stadium, Oxford, MS
• Date: Saturday, November 13, 2021
• Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN
Texas A&M vs Ole Miss betting preview
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Key injuries
Texas A&M: Keldrick Carper S (Questionable), Brian Williams S (Questionable), Hezekiah Jones WR (Out), Luke Matthews OL (Out), Brian George DB (Out), Myles Jones DB (Out), Haynes King QB (Out).
Ole Miss: Dontario Drummond WR (Out), Chase Rogers TE (Out), Ben Brown OL (Out), Caleb Warren OL (Out), Jonathan Mingo WR (Out), Bralon Brown WR (Out).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting trend to know
Texas A&M is 8-0 against the spread in its last eight games as a road favorite. Find more NCAA betting trends for Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss.
Texas A&M vs Ole Miss predictions
Texas A&M -2.5 (-110)
Since the start of the 2017 season, Texas A&M is 8-0 both straight up and against the spread when playing as a road favorite. Those victories include a pair of seven-point wins in the team’s past two trips to Oxford. One of those games was a 31-24 victory in 2017, and the other was a 24-17 win in 2019. The impressive thing about the Aggies’ win streak is the fact that all eight games have been against SEC opponents, with Jimbo Fisher’s team winning by an average margin of over 16 points per game.
One of the stylistic reasons to love Texas A&M in this game is the fact that the Aggies have one of the best defenses in all of college football. In fact, only the Georgia Bulldogs are giving up fewer points per game than the 14.7 that Texas A&M is allowing this season. Realistically speaking, there’s no chance that the Aggies completely halt this explosive Rebels offense. However, Texas A&M doesn’t need to. The fact of the matter is that the Aggies should be able to come up with a few big stops when needed. That should be more than enough in a game that could end up being pretty high-scoring.
As for the Texas A&M offense, there’s no way that Zach Calzada will go out there and outduel potential Matt Corral, who some have as the top pick in the 2022 NFL Draft. Calzada did, however, get this Aggies offense going in the second half of the game against the Auburn Tigers last week. After scoring just three points in the first half, the Aggies scored 17 in the second. They might have scored more if they weren’t comfortably in the lead, and this Ole Miss defense is much worse than Auburn’s.
The Rebels also won’t have any answers for Isaiah Spiller or Ainias Smith in this game. Those are two of the most dangerous playmakers in the nation, and they should see plenty of open field in this game.
Over 57.5 (-110)
While Texas A&M has an elite defense, the Over is surprisingly 3-2 in the Aggies’ last five games. Now, A&M faces an Ole Miss team that had a game earlier in the year in which there were 103 points scored. Obviously, this game won’t be anywhere near as high-scoring as that one, and it might not touch 70 points. However, it’s just hard to rule out the Over in any game that features this Ole Miss team.
Only 14 FBS teams are averaging more points per game than the Rebels this season, and Corral and Co. should be able to move the ball effectively against the Aggies in this game. The drives might not always result in seven points, but Lane Kiffin will have his offense ready for this one. The problem is that the Rebels won’t be able to stop the Aggies’ running game, and that is great news if you’re an Over bettor.
Since Kiffin took over as the head coach in Oxford, the Over is 6-4 in the team’s home games. The Over is also 9-6 when Texas A&M plays against teams that outscore their opponents by at least 10 points per game since Fisher arrived.
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