Tulane vs Memphis Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Friday the 13th Scaries

A Friday AAC clash takes us to Memphis where the Tigers host the Tulane Green Wave. Both teams have been known to put up plenty of points, but on Friday night, our college football betting picks expect the teams to take a more conservative approach.

Jeremy Jones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Jeremy Jones • Betting Analyst
Oct 13, 2023 • 16:55 ET • 4 min read
Seth Henigan Memphis Tigers NCAAF
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The two favorites in the American Athletic Conference meet tonight hoping to avoid a freaky Friday the 13th as the Tulane Green Wave visit the Bluff City to take on the Memphis Tigers. 

The Green Wave are riding high on a three-game winning streak following their early season loss to Mississippi. The Tigers followed up a tough loss on a neutral site to Missouri with a nice home win over Boise St. Which team will take control of the AAC in the college football odds with a win here tonight? 

Here are our free college football picks and predictions for Tulane vs. Memphis at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis on October 13. 

Tulane vs Memphis best odds

Tulane vs Memphis picks and predictions

Last season, Tulane beat Memphis at home, 38-28, on their way to an American conference championship season. However, they will not have star running back Tyjae Spears this go around. Otherwise, both teams are returning several key players from that contest. 

The Green Wave were missing their starting quarterback, Michael Pratt, in their lone loss this season to Ole Miss. Pratt has been excellent in his three games as a starter with nine total touchdowns and only one interception. However, he may be a little dependent on the big play to put points on the scoreboard.

Tulane ranks 12th in the country in yards per completion despite ranking only 70th in passing offense. They also rank 109th in first downs gained and 116th in red zone scoring percentage with 10 touchdowns and six field goals in 22 attempts. That is an area that the Memphis defense can exploit in this matchup.

The Tigers have allowed only eight touchdowns and five field goals in 17 red zone attempts, which ranks 39th nationally. They also rank fourth in the nation in third-down percentage defense, allowing only 23.8%. Opponents have only converted 2/8 fourth down attempts as well. 

Both teams have shown the susceptibility to turn the ball over. The Green Wave have lost seven fumbles and thrown three interceptions, while the Tigers have lost two fumbles and thrown five interceptions. On defense, the Green Wave has recovered four fumbles and recorded seven interceptions. The Tigers have recovered six fumbles and recorded two interceptions. 

Between the turnovers and poor red zone percentage for Tulane, I do not see this being a high-scoring game without several big plays. Both teams have played their fair share of high-scoring games this season, but this will not be one of them. I like Memphis to keep the plays in front of them on defense and will result in an Under here.

FanDuel US also has a 100% profit boost available for any one bet today, so you can apply that here and convert this -114 bet into a +175 wager.

My best bet: Under 56.5 (-114 at FanDuel | +175 with 100% profit boost)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

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Tulane vs Memphis same-game parlay

Under 56.5 points

Memphis +3.5

Highest scoring half — First half

In order for this game to go Under the total, we are looking at a particular game script that should help us build a solid same game parlay. 

I believe that if this turns into a shootout, then that heavily favors Tulane. Since I like the opposite, I will take an alternate spread of +3.5 on Memphis. This gives us a slightly stronger opinion on the normal spread towards the Tigers, while also giving us leeway on them losing by a field goal. 

Finally, we are going to throw in the higher-scoring half prop. Since I believe this will be a close and low-scoring game. I think it is much more likely that the offenses get tight in the second half to avoid any costly turnovers. That will create fewer scoring opportunities and therefore we will see more scoring early in the game.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Tulane vs Memphis spread and Over/Under analysis

Another solid reason for liking the Under in this game is going to be the mismatches in the trenches that favor the defense on both sides. The Green Wave have 17 sacks and average 8.0 tackles for loss per game. The Tigers have 11 sacks and average 6.8 tackles for loss. Tulane may also be without their starting guard, Prince Pines, due to injury. 

This lower-scoring game script will certainly favor Memphis if you are looking to play the spread instead of or in addition to the total. While the Green Wave also have an excellent third-down defense, allowing only 31.8% conversions, the Tigers have been excellent at converting fourth downs this season. They have converted nine of their 11 attempts. 

Quarterback Seth Henigan will be vital to the success of the Tigers and he has been extremely efficient in the passing game, despite the turnovers. Henigan is 120/175 passing and ranks 23rd in the country in completion percentage. Tulane ranks 79th in the nation in allowing 235.6 passing yards per game. 

Tulane vs Memphis betting trend to know

Memphis is 7-3 straight up in their last 10 meetings with Tulane. Find more college football betting trends for Tulane vs Memphis.

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Tulane vs Memphis game info

Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN
Date: Friday, October 13, 2023
Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

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Jeremy Jones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jeremy Jones was born and raised in Lexington, Kentucky and has been a massive Wildcats fans since the moment he came into the world. He wrote his first sports article at the tender age of 11 after attending a local AHL hockey game, and a few years later was writing professionally for sites such as Sports Rants, BetAmerica, and TwinSpires.

Jeremy holds a Masters in Sports Administration from Eastern Kentucky University and utilizes all seven betting options available in Kentucky to shop for odds and promos and find the greatest EV in every wager he places.

His best piece of sports betting advice is to stick to consistent unit sizes for every wager. He acknowledges there will occasionally be a bet that has a huge EV and you can play multiple units in one bet, but cautions against raising your unit size, because you can quickly lose all your winnings if you hit a minor cold streak.

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