Virginia Tech vs Florida State Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Seminoles Run Wild Against the Hokies

The Florida State Seminoles will look to continue building their playoff resume as they host the struggling Virginia Tech Hokies on Saturday afternoon.

The Seminoles (4-0) come into the weekend ranked No. 5 in the AP Top 25, and college football odds have them penned as the favorites to win the ACC Championship. Meanwhile, the Hokies (2-3) broke a three-game losing streak last weekend with a 38-21 win over the Pittsburgh Panthers.

Florida State has been a great offensive team this year, and neither of these squads has been consistent on the defensive end. We’ll look at how it will influence Saturday’s matchup in our free college football picks and predictions for Virginia Tech vs. Florida State on October 7.

Virginia Tech vs Florida State best odds

Virginia Tech vs Florida State picks and predictions

The Florida State offense has been cooking so far this season. Senior quarterback Jordan Travis has thrown for 10 touchdowns and rushed for two more, with some of that production coming against solid opponents in both LSU and Clemson. The Seminoles are averaging 43.2 points per game this season, good for 10th in the country.

That will present a tough test for a Virginia Tech defense that hasn’t been dominant against anyone this year. The Hokies have allowed at least 17 points to every opponent and at least three touchdowns against every team other than Old Dominion. Rutgers touched them up for 35 points, and that’s a team that has far less firepower than Florida State presents.

The Seminoles have yet to be held to less than 31 points this year, even in a massively disappointing performance against Boston College. It’s highly likely that Florida State will once again put up big numbers on Saturday, especially as they’ll be getting several receivers back from injury, including Deuce Spann and Ja’Khi Douglas. That pits an offense that was already scoring in the 30s or higher every week at full power against a defense that hasn’t seen this level of talent in 2023.

The Virginia Tech offense hasn’t been nearly as explosive, averaging just 24.8 points per game. However, the Hokies had their best scoring output of the year against Pittsburgh, with quarterback Kyron Drones throwing for 228 yards and three touchdowns on just 19 attempts.

Florida State’s defense has been solid enough to make the Seminoles a national championship contender, but it clearly isn’t the team’s strength. They are allowing 22.5 points per game, and while they’ve held both LSU and Clemson to just 24 points, Boston College managed to put up 29 on them just two weeks ago. Even Southern Mississippi managed to score 13 points against Florida State earlier this year.

With the Seminoles likely to pick up most of the total in this game, we don’t need the Hokies to contribute much to get to the Over. After seeing them put up 35 points against Pittsburgh, I expect Virginia Tech to score at least a couple of times against Florida State.

Considering the fact that the Seminoles are now flying at full strength, it might not be a surprise to see them hit the total by themselves. Luckily though, they won’t have to carry that much weight for us to win a bet on the Over in this one.

My best bet: Over 53 (-105 at Caesars)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

Virginia Tech vs Florida State same-game parlay

Over 53

Florida State -24

Trey Benson anytime touchdown

+266 at DraftKings

I expect the Florida State offense to be the dominant factor on Saturday, and my same-game parlay will look to take advantage of that dynamic. That starts with once again taking the Over in what looks to be a high-scoring affair.

I’m combining that with Florida State to cover the 24-point spread. While that number is big, this Seminoles team should be able to put this game away early and continue scoring. They'll also be driven to involve their deep receiving unit throughout the second half, aiming to provide valuable playing time for players who will play pivotal roles later in the season.

To round out this SGP, I’m adding a Seminoles running back Trey Benson to find paydirt. Benson has four touchdowns on the season and should get plenty of work on Saturday.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Virginia Tech vs Florida State spread and Over/Under analysis

Florida State opened this game as a 25.5-point favorite. That number has tightened a bit over the course of the week, with most books now listing Florida State at -24.

Virginia Tech has put up a 2-3 record against the spread this year, covering in both of its wins straight up. Meanwhile, Florida State is 3-1 ATS, only having failed to cover against Boston College in Week 3.

While the Seminoles have had to fight through a couple of tough games in the last two weeks, I don’t expect that to happen again on Saturday. Virginia Tech will have its hands full with the now fully stocked Florida State wide receiver unit, so I’m leaning toward taking the Seminoles at -24.

The total for this game opened at 53. That remains the consensus Over/Under, though some books have moved to 52.5 instead. Both teams have played above the number to some extent this season. The Over is 3-1 in Florida State’s games this year, while it has gone 3-2 when Virginia Tech plays. 

This looks like a game in which both offenses should find some success — albeit with most of the scoring taking place on Florida State’s side. The Seminoles may well threaten the total themselves as they look to test their offense with all of their weapons available, which makes me believe they won’t slow down in the second half.

With Virginia Tech likely to at least respond a couple of times, the Over is the play.

Virginia Tech vs Florida State betting trend to know

The Over is 6-1 in Florida State’s last seven games overall. Find more college football betting trends for Virginia Tech vs Florida State.

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