College football gives us thrilling games and amazing upsets every week. Of course, we also get more than our shares of absolute blowouts, and Week 3 is no exception, but why can’t we have fun with some of these games, even if the losing teams won’t?
A quick look at the college football odds this weekend tells us that the Bowling Green Falcons and the Western Michigan Broncos don’t really have chances to win on Saturday, but just how badly they’ll lose is in question.
The Georgia Bulldogs should have their way with the South Carolina Gamecocks, but that just means it’s a good time to put a parlay in on their offense.
Read on to find out which bets I like this weekend in my college football picks for Week 3.
Week 3 college football parlay picks
- Bowling Green +40.5 + Western Michigan +28.5 = +264
- Georgia -27.5 + UGA/SC Over 54.5 + Bowers anytime TD = +290
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Best college football parlay Week 3
After a season that saw them reach the College Football Playoff, the Michigan Wolverines are back with a vengeance. The likely class of the Big Ten is off to a 2-0 start and has hardly been challenged in two games against UNLV and East Carolina, holding their two opponents to a total of just 10 points.
However, like a lot of Big Ten squads, Michigan’s offense isn’t exactly explosive. The Wolverines have scored 30 and 35 points in their first two games, both at home against weak opponents.
Quarterback J.J. McCarthy and running back Blake Corum are undoubtedly talented and effective, but this isn’t a team that looks to hang 50+ points on anyone. With Michigan failing to even score 41 points in a game yet this year, I feel confident in Bowling Green to keep the game within this very generous spread.
A similar dynamic is at play in my second pick, though we’re looking at an even more challenged offense when talking about the Iowa Hawkeyes. Iowa hasn’t scored more than 24 points in either of its first two games, even when playing Utah State at home in its opener. Primary ball carrier Kaleb Johnson is averaging just 2.7 yards per carry, while Michigan transfer Cade McNamara has managed only two touchdowns through the air so far this year.
Yet this offensive unit has been picked to beat Western Michigan by more than four touchdowns. Iowa may be a better team than Syracuse, who put up 48 points without breaking a sweat against the Broncos last weekend, but the Hawkeyes can’t score like the Orange, and won’t begin doing so on Saturday. I’ll take the Broncos getting 28.5 points.
Best college football SGP Week 3
If there’s a single team we can count on to bring it every week in college football, it’s Georgia. The Bulldogs take no prisoners and seem like they're on a constant mission to blow out opponents to prove that few teams anywhere in the country can even come close to them.
This week’s lamb to the slaughter is South Carolina. The Gamecocks have already taken a two-score loss on a neutral field to North Carolina before bouncing back for a win over the FCS Furman Paladins. They’ll now head on the road for the first time when they visit Georgia this Saturday.
The Bulldogs are worlds beyond the Gamecocks in talent, so I have no qualms about giving up 27.5 points in this game. I’m also thinking that a Georgia offense that has scored 42 points or more in each of its last five games will have no trouble putting up points against South Carolina at home, making me comfortable taking the Over at 54.5.
The final question is how we want to round out a good SGP. I think it makes sense to look at which Bulldogs are likely to score and take one that adds at least a little value to our parlay. Will Kendall Milton find the endzone? Probably, but with odds of -320, it hardly seems worth betting on him.
Instead, we’ll turn to tight end Brock Bowers, who has yet to reach the endzone this year. Quarterback Carson Beck will want to get his future professional target some touches in a comfortable game, so I expect Bowers to score at some point.
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