It wasn't a pretty week for NFL favorites as they went just 3-11 against the spread in Week 10 action.
This week, I expect more of the same as we have some bad teams laying points that cross some key numbers.
Join me as I break down the Week 11 NFL slate and offer my best NFL picks against the spread.
Week 11 picks against the spread
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Commanders vs  Eagles |
(-3.5) |
 Colts vs  Jets |
(+4) |
 Vikings vs  Titans |
(+6) |
 Ravens vs  Steelers |
(-3) |
 Browns vs  Saints |
(+1) |
 Jaguars vs  Lions |
(-13) |
 Packers vs  Bears |
(-6) |
 Raiders vs  Dolphins |
(-7.5) |
 Rams vs  Patriots |
(+4.5) |
 Falcons vs  Broncos |
(+2) |
 Seahawks vs  49ers |
(+6.5) |
 Chiefs vs  Bills |
(+2.5) |
 Bengals vs  Chargers |
(+1.5) |
 Texans vs  Cowboys |
(+7.5) |
Lines courtesy of bet365 as of 11-12.
Week 11 ATS picks
Commanders vs Eagles
Eagles -3.5
The Pittsburgh Steelers were able to slow Jayden Daniels down and I expect the Philadelphia Eagles to do much of the same. On a short week, I look for the experienced Eagles team to dominate from start to finish on their home turf.
Colts vs Jets
Colts +4
Two terrible teams with two aging quarterbacks. Does this not seem like a game that's destined to finish 17-14? I'll take as many points as I can here and hope the New York Jets have finally decided to mail it in.
Vikings vs Titans
Titans +6
Sure, the Vikings have won two straight games, but the offense looks broken. Aaron Jones may be out for this one, and the Titans own the No. 1 total defense and pass defense. I'll take the points here and hope Will Levis doesn't do anything dumb enough to turn himself into another meme.
Ravens vs Steelers
Ravens -3
Mr. Unlimited vs. Action Jackson. While the battle of the QB nicknames is close, the result should not be. The Ravens offense will outscore the Steelers and they'll win going away.
Browns vs Saints
Browns +1
I don't really want to pick either of these two teams, but the Browns should be able to move the ball on one of the league's worst defenses. Derek Carr will be running for his life against a bitz-happy Browns defense.
Jaguars vs Lions
Lions -13
The Lions got their wake-up call on Sunday night against the Texans. I expect Dan Campbell to have his team ready to go for this one, and Jared Goff simply can't play that badly again. Not to mention, the Jags are still going with Mac Jones for this game. Lions win in a blowout.
Packers vs Bears
Packers -6
The Packers are fresh off their bye while the Bears' offense has seemingly been on a bye for the last three weeks. I'll take the fresher — and simply better — team here. The Packers win going away.
Raiders vs Dolphins
Dolphins -7.5
There's not much the Raiders could throw at the Dolphins that would trouble them. This defense is solid, and with a win under their belt, a little momentum could go a long way in getting this team back in the hunt for a possible wild-card spot.
Rams vs Patriots
Patriots +4.5
The Rams saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Monday, and now have to fly across the country for an outdoor game vs. the Patriots. I don't see the energy level being there for the visitors, so give me Drake Maye as a home underdog.
Falcons vs Broncos
Falcons +2
The Falcons should have won last week vs. the Saints, which would have put the spread in their favor. We are now getting two points vs. a team that just played their Super Bowl and came up short vs. the Chiefs. I'll take the visitors with an outright win.
Seahawks vs 49ers
Seahawks +6.5
Divisional game, with too many points. The Seahawks will be fresh from their bye and something about the 49ers looked off in their win vs. Tampa Bay on Sunday.
Chiefs vs Bills
Chiefs +2.5
Patrick Mahomes. As an underdog. Need I say more?
Bengals vs Chargers
Bengals +1.5
Call me a sucker, but I'm taking Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense here. The Chargers don't exactly move the ball with ease on offense, so I'm banking on the Bengals D stepping up in a big way.
Texans vs Cowboys
Cowboys +7.5
The sun will be long gone by the time the Texans and Cowboys hook up in Jerry's World, and quite frankly, I don't see the Texans running away with this game. They continue to beat themselves, and maybe, just maybe, Cooper Rush will pull a rabbit out of his hat.
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