Bears vs Browns Preseason Picks and Predictions: Fields, Chicago Enter the Season on a High

Chicago's the NFL betting underdog here, but it holds a key edge over Cleveland: QB play. While Jacoby Brissett prepares for his preseason bow with the Browns, Justin Fields and the Bears' continuity will be the difference — our picks explain.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Aug 26, 2022 • 14:18 ET • 4 min read
Justin Fields Chicago Bears NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Bears and Browns meet in Cleveland with their final games of the preseason. Both teams have done well so far in the preseason, with the Bears going 2-0 and the Browns at .500. 

For this game, you need to read our NFL picks and predictions for the Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns, with kickoff on August 27.

Bears vs Browns odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

We’ve seen plenty of movement in the lines so far. The points total opened at 38 and has risen to 41.5. Meanwhile, the Browns have gone from 4-point favorites to 5.5-point favorites.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full NFL odds before placing your bets.

Bears vs Browns predictions

Predictions made on 8/26/2022 at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Bears vs Browns game info

Location: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Date: Saturday, August 27, 2022
Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: DAZN

Bears at Browns betting preview

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Key injuries

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Betting trend to know

Matt Eberflus is unbeaten in preseason as a head coach. Find more NFL betting trends for Bears vs. Browns.

Bears vs Browns picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Spread analysis

As always with preseason, we don’t know exactly who we’ll see and for how long, but Bears coach Matt Eberflus said most Bears starters will be on the field “up to the half”. Most importantly was the confirmation that Justin Fields will be among those who will be playing. 

On the other side, Jacoby Brissett hasn’t yet seen the field for the Browns but he’ll finally make his debut in this game. Kevin Stefanski has already confirmed that he’ll start, but hasn’t said how long he’ll play. It’ll be a tough decision for Stefanski, who’ll ideally want to see Brissett get plenty of time with his starters ahead of the new season, but ultimately it isn’t worth risking their health. 

We know that Jack Conlin won’t play for the Browns with the offensive tackle still working his way back from last season’s injury. The quality at quarterback will drop off once Brissett is pulled, with Joshua Dobbs and Josh Rosen likely to fight it out for reps for the rest of the game. 

The Browns are strong favorites for this game, which feels potentially misguided for me. We really don’t have any idea how long their starters will be on the field, and we know that even when Brissett is on the field with the first-string they’ll still be developing their chemistry. 

That is in stark contrast to the Bears, where we know exactly how long we’ll see the starters and they should, in theory, be playing more coherently together. The Bears have had a strong preseason so it makes sense to take them and the points here.

Prediction: Bears +5.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

Over/Under analysis

We’ll see a half of football from the Bears’ top talent and I’d guess at most a half from the Browns best, that gives us a lot of football to be played with second-stringers, with a lot of those on the borderline of the first-string likely to see less time too.

The line started at 38 points, which was probably about right when I think about this game will go, now that it’s risen by 3.5 points, I think the smartest play here is to bash the Under.

Prediction: Under 41.5 (-110 at bet365)

Best bet

The Bears were horrible to watch last season and it’s been clear for some time that there needed to be significant change within the organization. 

Now, they’re 2-0 after a strong preseason, and looking to start the season well. Whether Matt Eberflus is the long-term answer at HC for the franchise isn’t yet clear, but one think that we can be certain of is that Colts former DC is committed to winning.

We’ve seen his team go 2-0 in this preseason and his no-nonsense attitude looks to have already improved the mentality of this roster. If you want to be safe then back the Bears to cover the spread but I’d go further and back them to win on the moneyline. 

This is a team that will give 100% in this final preseason game, and I believe that the attitude instilled from Eberflus will serve them well and lead them to victory here, over a Browns team who are still very much in flux.

Pick: Bears moneyline (+190 at FanDuel)

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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