Thursday Night Football predictions: Cardinals vs Seahawks

Russell Wilson is back home after two road stops, and boasts a league-best 126.2 passer rating inside CenturyLink Field, compared to just 98.3 on the road.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Nov 16, 2020 • 13:15 ET
Russell Wilson NFL Seattle Seahawks
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

There’s never a dull moment in the NFC West and Thursday night’s matchup between the Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks is a pivotal contest in terms of the division’s pecking order.

The Seahawks are 3-point NFL betting favorites at home coming off back-to-back losses, while Arizona rebounded from a Week 9 defeat to Miami with a last-second victory over Buffalo last Sunday. That was the Cardinals’ fourth win in their past five games, including an OT thriller over Seattle in Week 7.

These are our NFL free picks and predictions for Cardinals at Seahawks on November 19.

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Betting Preview

Weather

The forecast is calling for a 50 percent chance of rain Thursday night with temperatures dipping into the low-40s and winds blowing up to 10 mph at CenturyLink Field. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Cardinals: Corey Peters DE (Questionable), Darrell Daniels TE (Questionable), De'Vondre Campbell LB (Questionable), Jordan Phillips DE (Questionable), Deionte Thompson S (Questionable)
Seahawks: Chris Carson RB (Probable), Quinton Dunbar CB (Questionable), Shaquill Griffin CB (Questionable), Ethan Pocic C (Questionable), Jamal Adams S (Questionable), Travis Homer RB (Questionable)
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Under is 6-4 in the past 10 matchups between the Cardinals and Seahawks. Find more NFL betting trends for Cardinals vs. Seahawks.

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

This spread opened as big as Seattle -4 but with these teams headed in opposite directions, that perceived margin is down to a field goal. 

The Seahawks defense has been a sore spot for the team all season, but Russell Wilson and the offense were always there to bail them out. That hasn’t been the case the past two games, with Wilson running out of fourth-quarter magic. However, Wilson is back home after two road stops, and boasts a league-best 126.2 passer rating inside CenturyLink Field, compared to just 98.3 on the road.

The Cardinals have found themselves in close battles the past three games and appear headed for another considering this shrinking spread. The Arizona defense has been just as porous as its division rival, allowing its last three opponents to score 30 points or more, including 34 points from the Seahawks in Week 7’s overtime win. 

Arizona was a DeAndre Hopkins Hail Mary catch away from a second straight loss versus the Bills and, if not for a holding call taking a game-winning Seattle TD off the board in overtime, this Cardinals team could easily have a 0-3 mark the past three contests.

PREDICTION: Seattle -3 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

This is a monster total, opening at 56.5 and quickly jumping to 57.5 points as of Monday morning. These teams combined for 68 points in regulation at Arizona in Week 7, but that came on the indoor track in the desert. 

This Week 11 matchup could be a bit slower and soggier, thanks to that famous Seattle weather. The extended forecast is calling for rain in the Emerald City all week, including showers Thursday night. That could help slow down a Cardinals offense running a breakneck pace, calling 71.7 offensive plays per game over its last three outing – third-most in the NFL in that span.

The Seattle defense is coming off one of its better performances of the season in Week 10, holding the Rams to 24 points, despite three turnovers and a TOP of only 26:24. The Seahawks looked especially strong in the second half, debuted DT Snacks Harrison, and could have starting corners Shaquill Griffin and Quinton Dunbar back for this primetime game. If this stop unit provides some extra pushback down the stretch, Seattle could be a handful.

PREDICTION: Under 57.5 (-110)

Player Prop Pick

Another week, another Kyler Murray to score a touchdown prop. 

Murray not only found the end zone in Week 10, but scored two rushing TDs backed behind 61 yards on the ground. That puts the second-year dual-threat QB at 10 touchdowns on the season, having recorded one in all but one game. In three career games versus the Seahawks, Murray has two TDs and 134 total rushing yards.

Seattle watched Murray gallop for 67 yards and a score in Week 7 and has allowed five total rushing touchdowns to rival quarterbacks this season—second-most in the NFL. Overall, the Seahawks have given up 14 TDs on the turf in 2020, which sits tied for third-most rushing scores allowed.

PREDICTION: Kyler Murray anytime touchdown (-115)

Cardinals vs Seahawks Betting Card

  • Seattle -3 (-110)
  • Under 57.5 (-110)
  • Kyler Murray anytime touchdown (-115)
NFL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NFL Cardinals vs. Seahawks picks, you could win $58.14 on a $10 bet?

Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on the NFL?

You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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