Sunday Night Football picks, predictions: Chiefs vs Raiders

The Raiders pass defense ranks 25th in the league, allowing 264.9 yards per game. Tyreek Hill and Patrick Mahomes could be set up for big days in a revenge game.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 17, 2020 • 17:09 ET
Tyreek Hill NFL Kansas City Chiefs
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The NFL betting board has a terrific Sunday Night Football matchup in Week 11, with the Super Bowl favorite Kansas City Chiefs facing off against their AFC West rivals the Las Vegas Raiders.

The Chiefs will look to get revenge against Vegas for their only loss of the season, while the Raiders will aim for their fourth consecutive win despite being installed as 6.5-point home underdogs. 

We break down the NFL odds with our best free Chiefs vs Raiders picks and predictions for Sunday Night Football on November 22, with kickoff at 8:20 p.m. ET.

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview

Weather

With this game taking place at the domed Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada, weather won't play a factor. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions for other Week 11 matchups with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Chiefs: Mike Remmers OL (Questionable), Mitchell Schwartz T (Out), Martinas Rankin OL (Out), Mecole Hardman WR (Out), Sammy Watkins WR (Probable), Taco Charlton DE (Out), Alex Okafor DE (Questionable), Laurent Duvernay-Tardif G (Out), Damien Williams RB (Out), Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB (Probable), Darrel Williams RB (Probable).
Raiders: Marcus Mariota QB (Questionable), Maurice Hurst DT (Questionable), Kolton Miller T (Probable), Jalen Richard RB (Questionable), Cory Littleton (Out), Trent Brown T (Out), Richie Incognito G (Out), Tyrell Williams WR (Out), Theo Riddick RB (Questionable), Alec Ingold  FB (Probable).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Find more NFL betting trends for Chiefs vs. Raiders.

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

When these teams met up at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 5, the Raiders pulled off a 40-32 upset win as 11-point underdogs.

However, that was just the first Raiders victory against the Chiefs in the last six meetings, with Kansas City winning the other five contests by an average score of 34-14.

The Raiders pass defense ranks 25th in the league, allowing 264.9 yards per game, and that number balloons to 300.5 ypg at home. Look for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs' aerial attack to exploit that weakness while Andy Reid uses the extra week of preparation to ensure that Kansas City's defense plays better than in Week 5.

With the Raiders 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and the Chiefs 9-1 ATS in their previous 10 contests against teams with a winning record, back KC to win and cover.

PREDICTION: Kansas City -6.5 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

The Over/Under of 57 for this game is the highest total of the week, and given the 72 points scored between these squads earlier this season, it's easy to see why. That said, there is reason to consider taking the Under. 

The Under has cashed in six of the Chiefs' previous seven road games and the Raiders tend to play lower-scoring contests against divisional rivals, going 20-6 to the Under in their last 26 contests against AFC West rivals.

Although the Chiefs surrendered a whopping 490 yards and 40 points to Vegas in Week 5, they've actually played very well on defense over the rest of the season. In their other eight games, Kansas City has held opponents to 337.1 yards and 17.9 points per game.

While the Raiders should still be able to pick up yards on the ground thanks to Josh Jacobs and a vulnerable Chiefs run defense, don't expect Derek Carr to have another field day through the air. Take the Under.  

PREDICTION: Under 57 (-110)

First Half Bet

The Chiefs explosive offense is known for getting off to fast starts. They rank fifth in the league in first-half scoring with 16.8 ppg and that number has gone up to 19.3 ppg over their last three games.

That's bad news for a Raiders defense that ranks 27th in the league in first-half defense, surrendering 14.8 points per game. Look for Mahomes and the Chiefs to get off to another quick start and back them to go Over their first-half team total.

PREDICTION: Kansas City first-half team total Over 16.5 (-110)

Chiefs vs Raiders Betting Card

  • Kansas City -6.5 (-110)
  • Under 57 (-110)
  • Kansas City first-half team total Over 16.5 (-110)
NFL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NFL Chiefs vs. Raiders picks, you could win $59.58 on a $10 bet?

Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on the NFL?

You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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