Conference Championship NFL Parlay Picks: 49ers Continue to Lean on Mitchell

Conference Championship weekend is upon us in the NFL, as we are fresh off one of the best weekends of football ever with three walk-off field goals and an overtime touchdown to secure our final four teams. Although I doubt anything can top last weekend's games, I am still looking forward to the encore.

Here's a closer look at my two favorite NFL parlay picks for Conference Championship weekend, all of which center around player props.

Conference Championship NFL parlay picks

• Burrow Over 1.5 passing TDs (-180) + Kelce Over 75.5 receiving yards (-110) = +196
• Kelce anytime TD (-110) + Mitchell Over 17.5 rushing attempts (-110) = +264

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Parlay Pick 1

PARLAY: Joe Burrow Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-180) + Travis Kelce Over 75.5 receiving yards (-110) = +196

Joe Burrow Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-180)

First up, the Kansas City Chiefs host the Cincinnati Bengals at Arrowhead Stadium where the Chiefs will be making a fourth straight trip to the AFC Championship game. They host a Bengals team who have kept games close all season long. Only once all year have they lost by more than seven points, in a 41-16 loss to the Cleveland Browns. For the Bengals, last time they played the Chiefs in Week 17, Joe Burrow put up huge numbers going 30-for-39 for 446 yards, four touchdowns, and no interceptions. It was a gritty performance after falling behind at numerous points but secured the win with a short field goal as the clock expired.

Defensively, the Chiefs rank 25th in the league in passing touchdowns allowed per game at 1.7. Look for more success out of Burrow and in a game that looks on paper to be high scoring, bet Over Burrow's passing touchdowns number.

Travis Kelce Over 75.5 receiving yards (-110)

The Bengals have struggled to defend opposing tight ends all year long, giving up the fifth-most yards per game to the position at 61. They have given up the fourth-most receptions at 96 on 132 targets. Opposing tight ends have had big games versus Cincinnati, including Darren Waller’s 116 yards, George Kittle’s 151, and Mark Andrews logged 125.

This is a very favorable matchup for Travis Kelce, who has put up back-to-back huge games. He's caught 13-of-16 targets and put up 204 yards and two touchdowns. 

Looking at postseason experience, Kelce has logged seven career playoff games of 100 or more receiving yards, ranking him second all-time. Only one other player has more at eight and that is Jerry Rice. Expect a big game out of Kelce and bet Over his yardage total of 75.5.

Parlay Pick 2

PARLAY: Travis Kelce anytime touchdown (-110) + Elijah Mitchell Over 17.5 rushing attempts (-110) = +264

Travis Kelce anytime touchdown (-110)

Doubling down on Kelce's success, not only is he in a favorable matchup to put up big yardage numbers and receptions, but the Bengals have also given up the sixth-most scores to tight ends, with eight. 

Kelce has logged at least one touchdown in five straight games and looking deeper into postseason stats, since 2020 he's caught a touchdown pass in six-of-eight games including two multi-touchdown performances throughout that stretch. With Patrick Mahomes coming off a lights-out offensive performance versus the Bills, look for him to lean on one of his favorite targets.

Elijah Mitchell Over 17.5 rushing attempts (-110)

The Los Angeles Rams are 3.5-point favorites as they host the San Francisco 49ers. The Rams are fresh off a 30-27 victory against last year's defending Super Bowl champions.

The 49ers have had a much more tumultuous journey to get to this point, defeating both the Dallas Cowboys and Green Bay Packers, both as underdogs. They have won six straight head-to-head matchups against the Rams. 

All season long the 49ers have relied on their strong running game. They rank fifth in rushing attempts per game at 29.8, seventh at rushing yards per game at 128.5, and despite being up against one of the league's best run defenses, expect them to stick to their offensive strength with Elijah Mitchell, who has carried the ball 17 or more times in seven straight games.

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