Eagles vs Chiefs MNF Prop Bets: Rice Erupts in Prime Time

There is no shortage of star power for Monday's matchup between the Eagles and Chiefs, and our NFL betting picks will lean on Philly's most dangerous man in Jalen Hurts. But K.C.'s budding star, Rashee Rice, merits even more attention.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Nov 20, 2023 • 18:02 ET • 4 min read
Kansas City Chiefs Rashee Rice NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Tonight's Week 11 Monday Night Football clash barely needs an introduction because we’ve been talking about it for so long, but Eagles vs. Chiefs looks primed to be another incredible game. 

Last year’s Super Bowl had it all, and this regular-season rematch could end up being a preview for this year’s Big Game too. With so many elite players on the field, there are plenty of prop angles to attack.

Let’s take a look at the best prop bets in the MNF odds and get stuck in on these free NFL picks! Also, don’t miss our full-game preview of Eagles vs. Chiefs, as well as our Jalen Hurts spotlight props, and Patrick Mahomes spotlight props for Monday Night Football.

Eagles vs Chiefs MNF props

Picks made on November 19 at 11:05 a.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.

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Eagles vs Chiefs MNF props

Prop bet #1: Sticky Rice

The first prop that absolutely leaps off the board is the Rashee Rice odds to have Over 4.5 receptions at a big +125. 

Some talent evaluators were shocked when Rice was drafted 55th overall by the Chiefs, and after Skyy Moore’s rookie season last year, nobody was sure what to expect. However, we’re now 11 weeks into the season, and it’s clear that Rice is the team’s second option in the receiving game behind Travis Kelce, and that 4.5 receptions seems like a great line at plus money. 

We know this Eagles defense is good on the ground, so Patrick Mahomes will likely try to exploit their weakness through the air. Rice only has five or more receptions in two games this season, but  he’s been targeted five or more times in six of nine games. Against this defense, I think he’ll see a lot of action and haul in at least five passes.

Rashee Rice prop: Over 4.5 receptions (+125 at BetRivers)

Prop bet #2: Rice gets fed in red zone

We’re going back to Rice again here and taking the former SMU man to score a touchdown. The odds of +240 feel massive given that he’s scored in four of nine games this season, or just under 50% of the time. 

His big 6-foot-2 body makes him a real red zone threat, and when teams are in the red zone against the Eagles, they need to do it through the air and not the ground. Nobody in the league has given up less yardage on the ground per game than the Eagles, and on the flip side of that, their 14 receiving touchdowns allowed to wideouts is the most in the NFL. 

If it’s not going to Kelce, then it’s very likely to go to Rice.

Rashee Rice prop: Anytime TD (+240 at DraftKings)

Prop bet #3: All you need is shove

I absolutely, categorically refuse to use the term “brotherly shove.” But let’s be honest, the tactic is hugely effective, and Jalen Hurts has profited from it a lot already this season. You can get +130 on the Eagles’ QB to score a touchdown, which is insane pricing in the Jalen Hurts odds.

Hurts has seven rushing touchdowns in nine games so far and has only left the field without scoring in three contests. Yet the +130 odds imply just a 43.5% chance that he scores, which feels way off what they should be given his record this season. 

With the Chiefs’ defense being good against the pass, it makes even more sense that the Eagles will target their weaker ground game and that Hurts will be a huge part of that. Take that +130 price, as it’s big value.

Jalen Hurts prop: Anytime TD (+130 at DraftKings)

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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