Lions vs Bears Week 13 picks and predictions

After an ugly home loss to Houston on Thanksgiving, the Detroit Lions are now 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games. They face an equally-inept Chicago team in Week 13 as 5.5-point underdogs.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 30, 2020 • 12:44 ET
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The NFL betting board in Week 13 features a battle between a pair of NFC North rivals as the Detroit Lions take on the Chicago Bears.

The Bears are installed as 5.5-point favorites for this matchup and while neither team has been fun to watch this season, they should at least play with some urgency as they both try to snap out of losing streaks. 

We break down the NFL odds with our free Lions vs. Bears picks and predictions for Sunday, November 6, with kickoff at 1 p.m. ET. 

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears Betting Preview

Weather

Expect a cold, cloudy day at Soldier Field on Sunday, with a temperature of 34 degrees, winds at 6 mph, and no chance of rain. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Lions: Desmond Trufant CB (Out), Kenny Golladay WR (Out), Da'Shawn Hand DL (Out), D'Andre Swift RB (Out), Jeff Okudah CB (Out), Austin Bryant DE (Out), Trey Flowers DE (Out).
Bears: None to report. 
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite. Find more NFL betting trends for Lions vs. Bears.

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

The 4-7 Lions are in yet another skid this season, which is why they fired head coach Matt Patricia and general manager Bob Quinn on Monday. They've gone just 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games and have been awful on both sides of the ball. 

That said, the Bears haven't been any better recently. Chicago started off the season looking strong but its lifeless offense was bound to catch up with them and they're now on a five-game losing streak, going 1-4 ATS in that span. 

Regardless of who they roll out at quarterback, the Bears have one of the least effective passing attacks in the league and their ground game has also been pathetic, ranking dead-last in the NFL with 82.2 rushing yards per game. 

The only team that racks up fewer total yards than the Bears this season are the New York Jets, and an offense that bad is difficult to trust as a 5.5-point fave. 

With two terrible teams taking the field, I'm taking the points with the Lions—who might actually play with some enthusiasm now that Patricia is gone. 

PREDICTION: Detroit +5.5 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

The Bears offense is terrible but the Lions defense is also awful, so which way are we leaning for our Over/Under bet? Considering that Detroit's offense is also pretty bad, getting shutout two weeks ago versus the Panthers and ranking 22nd in the league in both yards and points per game, we're backing the Under.

Recent trends also support this bet, especially Detroit's struggles to move the ball when they aren't playing on the field turf they are used to at home. The Lions are 4-0 to the Under in their last four games on grass while the Bears are 13-3 to the Under in their previous 16 home contests. 

With the Under also cashing in six of the last eight meetings between these rivals in Chicago, bet it again this Sunday. 

PREDICTION: Under 45 (-110)

First Quarter Bet

The Lions tend to get off to decent starts before blowing games in the second half, ranking ninth in the league in first-quarter scoring with 6.3 points per game.

Despite Chicago's strong stop unit, it ranks a modest 15th in the NFL in first-quarter defense surrendering 5.0 ppg in the first 15 minutes. Meanwhile, the Bears offense ranks second-worst in the league by mustering just 2.9 ppg in the opening frame.

There's definite value in backing Detroit on the first-quarter moneyline.

PREDICTION: Detroit first quarter ML (+115)

Lions vs Bears Betting Card

  • Detroit +5.5 (-110)
  • Under 45 (-110)
  • Detroit first quarter ML (+115)
NFL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NFL Lions vs. Bears picks, you could win $68.36 on a $10 bet?

Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on the NFL?

You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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