Lions vs Packers TNF Prop Bets: It's a Love Story

Prop bet #1: Poetry in motion

Romeo Doubs has quietly been one of the NFL's breakout receivers dating back to last year. The former fourth-round pick shined when healthy last year, tallying 42 receptions (fifth among all rookies) on 67 targets (sixth) for 425 yards (tenth).

He is off to an impressive start already, having tallied 11 receptions on 20 targets for 129 yards and three touchdowns. That comes despite playing limited snaps in Week 1 due to injury (48% snap share) and a muted Week 2 performance (two receptions for 30 yards).

In Week 13 he commanded a whopping 12 targets, turning them into five receptions for 73 yards and a touchdown. Despite the impressive stat line, his target volume suggests his ceiling is theoretically much higher. His 157 air yards in Week 3 also ranked fifth among all wide receivers, further illustrating his potential unrealized opportunity.

Romeo Doubs prop: Over 39.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)

Prop bet #2: Lovely night for football

What may help Doubs' case is that this game is projected to be one of the highest-scoring of the week. Thursday's total of 46 is tied for the fifth-highest of the week, and if the last two weeks have been any indication, the Packers' scoring will have to come via the air.

With Aaron Jones out the last two weeks, AJ Dillon has operated as the Packers' lead back and has done nothing encouraging with that opportunity. Across the 39 carries he has handled this season, he has averaged an abysmal 2.7 yards per carry. That mark ranks third-worst among all running backs that have had at least 30+ carries.

Even if Jones returns this week, he likely will work on a very limited snap count and will be given ten days until the Packers' next game to get to 100%. With that in mind, we should expect Matt LeFleur to dial up a healthy amount of passes in order to avoid having to lean on Dillon too heavily - a mistake that dug the Packers into their 17-0 hole before Jordan Love bailed them out.

Jordan Love prop: Over 32.5 pass attempts (-120 at DraftKings)

Prop bet #3: Held in check

The Packers' defense has gotten its entirely fair share of criticisms over the years under Joe Barry, but if there's one small victory they've typically walked away with is that they rarely let tight ends beat them.

Dating back to last year, they have allowed a tight end to reel in five or more catches just five times in 20 games. Two of those have strangely been to Cole Kmet, who seemingly comes to play against Green Bay —despite having an otherwise mediocre career thus far — reaching that mark in half of the last six games he has played against Green Bay.

The primary tight end opposite of the Packers this Thursday is Sam LaPorta, the second-round pick from this year's draft. LaPorta made history in Week 3, becoming the first tight end to reel in five or more catches in each of his first three games and also tallying the most catches by a tight end in their first three games.

His line is coincidentally set at 4.5 receptions, with a healthy amount of juice required to back the under. That may shy away many bettors from backing the Under, but given the Packers' proficiency at defending tight ends, it is worth a look.

Sam LaPorta prop: Under 4.5 receptions (-166 at DraftKings)