Due to the expanded postseason, NFL teams with just a whiff of the playoffs can hold their motivation much further into the schedule than past years.
But as teams reveal themselves as either contenders or pretenders, it will still be vital to get the best of the weekly NFL spreads. It’s a tried and true NFL betting strategy.
These are our NFL betting tips for the spreads and totals to bet now, and the ones you should bet later.
Miami Dolphins (-2.5) at Denver Broncos: Bet Now
This spread is already popping up to a field goal with most books dealing the red-hot Dolphins -2.5 (-115). Miami is coming off an impressive victory over the Chargers in Week 10, picking up its fifth straight dub and winning six of its past seven contests, all while posting a 6-1 ATS mark.
Climbing the mountain to take on the Broncos is always a tough task. However, everything seems to be clicking with the Fins. From defense to special teams to Tua Tagovailoa: Miami is a sound machine that would make Gloria Estefan proud.
Denver is gushing points on defense, watching its last four opponents post an average tally of 36 points per outing. Quarterback Drew Lock threw four interceptions in the loss to Las Vegas on Sunday and takes on a dangerous Miami stop unit that’s cashing in on turnovers. If you like the Dolphins in Denver, get them below a field goal now.
Philadelphia Eagles (+3) at Cleveland Browns: Bet Later
If you’re looking to bet the Eagles – and I don’t know why you would be – wait it out in Week 11. Philadelphia opened +3 for this battle with the Browns and books are dealing Cleveland -3 (-120) or have already jumped to -3.5.
The Eagles are coming off a bad loss in East Rutherford as 4.5-point favorites visiting the Giants. Philadelphia sputtered on offense again and has averaged just under 21 points per game over the past three contests.
As bad as that is, the Browns attack is even worse. Cleveland has a grand total of 16 points in its last two games, including a 10-7 stinker of a win against Houston in Week 10. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has been miserable in those outings, completing 24 of his 45 total passes for a collective 254 yards and zero touchdowns. You could say Baker is sleepwalking out there, but it seems he’s getting plenty of Z’s on the sideline.
If you’re betting against the Browns in Week 11, wait it out and make sure you get Philly +3.5 (or more) before kickoff.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars (Under 46): Bet Now
The Steelers hit the road for the fourth time in the past five games when they go to Jacksonville in Week 11. Pittsburgh can pile up the points but it does see a downtick in production when away from Heinz Field. On the season, the Steelers are averaging 32.5 points at home—compared to only 26.2 on the road.
Thankfully, when the offense drags its toes (and not in that cool Santonio Holmes kind of way) the Pittsburgh defense picks up the slack. In fact, the Steel Curtain has been heavy since Week 6, allowing an average of just 16.8 points against in those five games.
Enter the Jaguars and rookie passer Jake Luton, who’s played pretty well in two pro starts but is far from blowing the doors off opponents. Jacksonville has totaled 25 and 14 points on offense in the past two games while facing defenses ranked near the backend of the league in DVOA. Pittsburgh is among the stingiest stop units in the land and near the top of the NFL in that metric. Take the Under before this creeps to the key number of 45.
Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts (Under 49): Bet Later
This total opened at 49 points and is starting to climb higher, with some 49.5 totals on the board as of Sunday night. If you’re leaning Under in this non-conference clash, pump the breaks and see if this Over/Under ticks toward 50 points before clicking submit.
The Packers are coming off a bad showing at home to the Jaguars, managing only 24 points and failing to cover as 13.5-point favorites. Green Bay has been spotty on offense and now faces a Colts stop unit that had a mini bye to prep for Aaron Rodgers after shutting down Tennessee last Thursday night.
Indianapolis ranks No. 1 in average yards allowed and has limited foes to only 19.7 points per game on the year. Granted, some of the Colts’ opponents so far were softer than a foam cheesehead, but they have checked their last three opponents (Detroit, Baltimore and Tennessee) to just 4.8 yards per play. Indy is also 1-3 Over/Under at home this year.
Where Can I Get the Best Odds on the NFL?
You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.
