NFL Wild Card Odds: Opening Lines, Sharp Money & Line Moves

Patrick Everson • SPORTS BETTING INDUSTRY INSIDER
Jan 10, 2021 • 20:00 ET

The first half of NFL Wild Card playoff betting is complete, with three more games on tap for Sunday action. Among the highlights for Sunday's NFL odds is a primetime divisional game where the host Pittsburgh Steelers get an immediate rematch with the Cleveland Browns.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NFL Wild Card Weekend opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting. Covers will update this report with NFL sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week.

These are the current NFL Wild Card Round odds. Click on each matchup in the table below to get updated in-depth information on the opening lines, sharp money, public betting and odds movement as we get closer to kickoff.

Matchup Time Spread Over/Under
Colts at Bills 1 p.m. ET Saturday Bills -6.5 51.5
Rams at Seahawks 4:40 p.m. ET Saturday Seahawks -3 42.5
Buccaneers at Washington 8:15 p.m. ET Saturday Washington +10 45
Ravens at Titans 1 p.m. ET Sunday Titans +3.5 54.5
Bears at Saints 4:40 p.m. ET Sunday Saints -11 48
Browns at Steelers 8:15 p.m. ET Sunday Steelers -5.5 47

Odds courtesy of The SuperBook

Opening line

Bills -6.5, Over/Under 52.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Bills bounced from -6.5 to -7, down to -6 and are now back up to -7 at William Hill US, where ticket count is 5/1 and money 4/1 on Buffalo. The total is down to 50.5 from a 52.5 opener, with 77 percent of tickets on the Over, but just 54 percent of cash on the Over.

UPDATE 11:15 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Buffalo spent pretty much all week as a 6.5-point favorite at FanDuel, with the exception of 90 minutes on Monday morning. Point-spread ticket count is just shy of 4/1 and money 5/1 on Buffalo. The total is down to 51 this morning from a 52.5 opener, but tickets and money are both in the 4/1 range on the Over.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: William Hill US pegged the Bills -6.5 at the opener and went to -7 Monday morning, but by Thursday evening, the number receded to -6. That's despite Buffalo taking 85 percent of bets and 86 percent of money on the spread. "I’m not surprised there’s been some Colts love in the market,” WillHill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said. "The Colts were bet on all year long. Obviously, the professionals like the Colts, and the Colts would have to be considered a live 'dog for sure."

UPDATE 5 PM. ET THURSDAY: Buffalo is a 6-point chalk at BetMGM's New Jersey hub, a tick down from the -6.5 opener, with 75 percent of spread tickets and 71 percent of spread cash on the Bills. The total is down a point to 51.5, but 85 percent of tickets/78 percent of dollars are on the Over.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: PointsBet USA opened the Bills -6.5 and poked up to -7 a couple of times, but the line has been stable at -6.5 since Monday evening. Buffalo is attracting 87 percent of early tickets and 77 percent of early cash on the spread. The total is down to 51 from a 52.5 opener, with 75 percent of tickets/58 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: DraftKings opened Buffalo -7 and bounced to -6.5 several times since Sunday night, and the Bills are -6.5 now. Early point-spread action is almost all Bills, at 83 percent of bets and 88 percent of money. The total dipped from 52 to 51, though tickets and money are running beyond 3/1 on the Over.

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There was some thought that Buffalo might not go all out in Week 17 to nab the AFC's No. 2 seed. A 28-point second quarter en route to a 56-26 victory over Miami squelched that thought, and the Bills now won't have to face top-seeded Kansas City prior to the AFC Championship Game.

Meanwhile, Indianapolis clinched the seventh and final AFC playoff spot with a 28-14 victory over Jacksonville.

"We took a $40,000 parlay of Bills -6.5 to Ohio State +8 last night," Murray said Monday morning of Buffalo-related action right out of the gate. "The Bills opened -6.5, and everyone was betting Buffalo, so we went to -7."

The total dipped a tick to 52 early Monday morning for the opener of Saturday's three-game playoff slate.

Opening line

Seahawks -5, Over/Under 43

Why the line moved

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET SATURDAY: With kickoff looming, Seattle is -3 at PointsBet USA, down from an opener of -4.5. Rams QB Jared Goff is active, but it's still not certain that he'll start. The Seahawks are taking 77 percent of point-spread bets and 80 percent of point-spread tickets. The total bounced from 42.5 to 43 to 42, back to 43 and is now 42.5, with 60 percent of bets and 52 percent of money on the Under. On the always-popular prop bet of player to score the first touchdown, Seahawks wideout D.K. Metcalf (+850) is the runaway ticket-count leader, taking more than 19 percent of bets. Metcalf is followed by teammates Russell Wilson (+2,200), Chris Carson (+800) and Tyler Lockett (+850), with each taking about 10 percent of tickets. Cam Akers (+600) is the first Ram on the list, getting 7.3 percent of tickets.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Seattle went from -5 to -3 at William Hill US, with 71 percent of spread bets and 58 percent of spread money going to the Seahawks. The total moved from 42.5 to 43 early, got down to 42 this morning and is now 42.5, with ticket count almost dead even and 68 percent of money on the Under.

UPDATE 11:15 A.M. ET SATURDAY: FanDuel opened Seattle -4.5 and dropped to -3 by Thursday, and the number remains -3 today, with 77 percent of tickets/80 percent of money on the Seahawks. The total was nailed to 42.5 all week, then went to 41.5 this morning before jumping up to 43. Still, the Under is taking 52 percent of tickets/54 percent of money.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Seattle is at -3 after opening -5 at William Hill US, with 67 percent of spread bets and 56 percent of spread money on the Seahawks. "It appears (Jared) Goff is going to play, but you never know,” WillHill's Nick Bogdanovich said of the Rams QB, aiming to return from an injured thumb that required surgery. "I don’t think that’s the only reason behind the move, though. Remember, Goff didn’t play last game, and Arizona was at -3, and the Rams closed at -1. They just think the overall Rams team is strong and they’ll be able to play toe-to-toe with the Seahawks. Seattle is also more affected than most with no fans, and that atmosphere was a big advantage for them in the playoffs."

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Seahawks are down to -3.5 from a -4.5 opener at BetMGM New Jersey, where Seattle is taking 69 percent of bets, but just 54 percent of money on the spread. The total upped from 41.5 to 42.5 on two-way play, with ticket count dead even and 58 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Seattle went from -4.5 to -3.5 for a few minutes Tuesday afternoon at PointsBet USA, quickly got back to -4, then went to -3.5 again this morning. Point-spread ticket count is running 3/1 and money 2/1 on the Seahawks. the total opened at 42.5 and touched 43 a coupe of times before reverting back to the opener, with 55 percent of tickets on the Under and 55 percent of money on the Over. 

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Seattle opened a 5-point favorite at DraftKings and dipped to -3.5 by this afternoon, then rebounded to -4. Point-spread ticket count and money are running about 2/1 on the Seahawks. The total opened at 42 and is up a point to 43 on two-way action, with 57 percent of tickets on the Over and 57 percent of money on the Under.

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The Seahawks ended up getting the NFC's No. 3 seed, but sure didn't look like they wanted it for much of Sunday's game against the 49ers. Seattle, facing third-string quarterback C.J. Beathard, led 6-3 at halftime and trailed 16-6 after a San Francisco touchdown in the first minute of the fourth quarter.

But the Seahawks pulled it together by scoring the next 20 points – three touchdowns, the first of which had a missed extra point – and hung on for a 26-23 victory. Meanwhile, the Rams found a way to win and secure a wild-card spot, despite not having QB Jared Goff (thumb). Los Angeles slogged to an 18-7 home victory over Arizona.

Seattle inched down to -4.5 Monday morning at The SuperBook.

"We are guessing probably no Goff," Murray said, noting the Rams QB's thumb injury. "I don't know how much difference he makes, but I know the perception would be that he's worth something."

Opening line

Washington +6.5, Over/Under 46.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Thirty minutes before kickoff, Tampa Bay is up to -10 at PointsBet USA, thanks in large part to this afternoon's news that Washington quarterback Alex Smith is inactive tonight. The Buccaneers opened -7.5 and hit -9 a couple of times this week, then surged from -9 to -10 on the Smith information. Interestingly, while the Bucs are getting 70 percent of spread tickets, they're taking just 49 percent of spread money. The total dropped from 46.5 to 44.5 and is now 45, with 56 percent of tickets and 76 percent of dollars on the Under.

UPDATE 12:45 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Buccaneers reached -9 late this morning at William Hill US, where Tampa Bay is attracting 77 percent of bets and 79 percent of money on the spread. The total opened at 46.5 and dropped as low as 44 this morning, then rebounded to 45, with 57 percent of tickets on the Over and 55 percent of money on the Under.

UPDATE 11:15 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Tampa Bay opened -7 and briefly got to -9 Monday at FanDuel, then dialed down to -7.5, but the Bucs are on the move today, back up to -9. Tampa Bay is grabbing 76 percent of bets and 78 percent of money on the spread. The total bounced from 46.5 to 47, then down to 44.5 and is now 45.5, with 56 percent of bets on the Over and 52 percent of money on the Under.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Bucs opened -7 at William Hill US and reached -8.5 late Tuesday morning, then edged back to -8 today. But make no mistake, bettors are firing on the Tampa Bay spread, with tickets and money both in the 4/1 range. "The public has never met a road favorite of 8 or more that they didn’t like," William Hill US's Nick Bogdanovich said. "But if people are aware about those previous big home playoff underdogs winning, like the [Tim] Tebow Broncos or the [Marshawn] Lynch Seahawks, it’ll slow some people down from betting the Bucs. But this is still going to be a monster decision for us, and that line may go up even more."

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET THURSDAY: BetMGM New Jersey pegged Tampa Bay a 7-point favorite at the opener and is up to -8.5, with the Buccaneers attracting 78 percent of spread tickets and 88 percent of spread money. The total dipped a couple of points from 46.5 to 44.5, with 68 percent of bets/88 percent of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Bucs opened -8 at PointsBet USA, peaked at -9.5 Tuesday afternoon and are now -8, with 78 percent of tickets and 78 percent of money on Tampa Bay. The total dipped from 46.5 to 45, with the Under landing 60 percent of tickets and 85 percent of money.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Tampa Bay hit the DraftKings board at -7.5 and is up to -8.5, with tickets running 5/1 and money beyond 6/1 for the Buccaneers. The total is down 1.5 points to 45, with 57 percent of tickets on the Over, but 63 percent of money on the Under.

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Washington won the battle to represent the NFL's worst division, beating host Philadelphia 20-14 in the Week 17 Sunday nighter to claim the NFC East title and the No. 4 seed, despite a 7-9 record. Tampa Bay rode a 21-point fourth quarter to a 44-27 home win over Atlanta and is the NFC's No. 5 seed.

"We are at Bucs -8," Murray said Monday, noting a 1.5-point jump, one point of which came shortly after this line posted Sunday night. "It's just gonna be all moneyline parlays and teasers with the Bucs."

The total fell to 46 Monday morning.

BACK TO TOP

Opening line

Titans +4.5, Over/Under 55

Why the line moved

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: William Hill US pegged Baltimore a 3.5-point chalk at the open, went to -3 Tuesday and back to -3.5 this morning, with 59 percent of tickets and 66 percent of money on the Ravens. The total rose from 54.5 to 55, but today is down to 53.5, although 69 percent of tickets/57 percent of dollars are on the Over.

UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY: The Ravens went from -4.5 to -3.5 quickly last Sunday night at DraftKings, then bounced between -3.5 and -3 the rest of the week. The line is currently Baltimore -3.5, but the Ravens are attracting 70 percent of bets and 83 percent of money on the spread. The total opened at 54.5, peaked at 55, hit its low point of 53.5 late Saturday night and is now 54, with tickets and money running about 2/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 10 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Baltimore opened -4.5 at The SuperBook and spent most the week at -3.5, save for about 24 hours midweek at -3. The number is currently Ravens -3.5. "Great two-way all the way, with a very sharp guy taking Titans +4.5 at open last Sunday night," SuperBook risk manager Rex Beyers said. "It seems like the Ravens should be a public side, but it hasn't happened that way so far. The total is also good two-way." The total opened 55 and is now 54.5.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: After opening -3.5 at FanDuel, Baltimore fell to -3 early Tuesday and stayed there the rest of the week, with the Ravens getting 53 percent of bets and 59 percent of cash on the spread. The total is nailed to 54.5, with 69 percent of bets and 64 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: DraftKings dropped the Ravens from -4.5 to -3.5 within 30 minutes Sunday night, bounced between -3.5 and -3 the rest of the week and is currently at -3. The Titans are taking 51 percent of bets and 55 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 54.5 to 54 to 55 and is now 54.5 again, with 63 percent of bets/67 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Baltimore spent a couple of days at -3.5, then dipped to -3 Tuesday at William Hill US, with no line movement since then. It's two-way point-spread action leaning toward the road chalk, with the Ravens attracting 59 percent of bets and 53 percent of money. "Straight bets, we’re pretty even on this game," WillHill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said. "Obviously, the closer the line gets to pick, the more live the dog will be for the masses. I could see why people would want to bet the Titans. Tennessee made it to the conference championship last year, and [Derrick] Henry looks unstoppable. I think this game will end up not being a big decision either way."

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Ravens are stable 3.5-point favorites at BetMGM New Jersey, where the home 'dog Titans are attracting 60 percent of spread bets and 63 percent of spread money. The total is also stable at 54.5, with 73 percent of bets on the Over and 69 percent of money on the Under.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Baltimore is down to -3 from a -4 opener at PointsBet USA, although ticket count is 2/1 and money almost 3/1 on the Ravens. The total bounced from 54.5 to 54 to 55 and back to the opener. "Heavy action on the Over right now, taking 81 percent of bets and 90 percent of handle," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said. 

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: The Ravens opened -4.5 at DraftKings, dipped to -3 by this morning and inched to -3.5 late this afternoon. The point-spread is drawing two-way action with a lean toward Baltimore, which is attracting 53 percent of tickets and 57 percent of money. DK opened the total at 54.5, dipped to 54 a few times and is now up to 55, with 79 percent of tickets/84 percent of money on the Over.

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Tennessee tried to give away the AFC South and the No. 4 playoff seed, turning a 31-15 third-quarter lead into a 35-31 fourth-quarter deficit at Houston. A wild final couple of minutes saw the Titans sandwich a touchdown and a bank-shot, final-seconds field goal around a Texans field goal, as Tennessee escaped with a 41-38 victory.

Baltimore had no such close-call issues in its regular-season finale at Cincinnati, where the Ravens rumbled to a 38-3 win to secure the No. 5 seed.

"The Ravens-Titans number came down a little," Murray said of a pretty quick drop from Baltimore -4.5 to -3.5, for the first of three Sunday playoff games. "That's definitely the best matchup of the weekend. Too bad it's at 10 a.m. PT. It should be really good two-way action."

The total dropped a notch to 54.5 Monday morning.

Opening line

Saints -9.5, Over/Under 48

Why the line moved

UPDATE 4:15 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Saints are up to -11 at PointsBet USA, after opening -9.5, but the action isn't overwhelming on New Orleans, which is drawing 55 percent of bets and 60 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 48 to 47 to 48.5, with tickets and money 2/1 on the Over. On the ever-popular prop bet of player to score the first touchdown, Saints running back Alvin Kamara (+400) is taking 26.4 percent of bets, followed by Bears running back David Montgomery (+900) at 17.3 percent.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New Orleans is out to -10.5 from a -9.5 opener at William Hill US, where the Saints are drawing 62 percent of bets/65 percent of cash on the spread. The total dipped from 48 to 47, but is now up to 48.5, with ticket count 2/1 and money 3/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY: DraftKings opened the Saints -9 and is up to -10.5 this morning, even though point-spread ticket count and money are literally dead even, 50/50 all the way around. The total moved from 48 to 47 and back to 48, with tickets and money in the 2/1 range on the Over.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Saints went from -8.5 to -9.5 early Monday and stuck there all week at FanDuel, but bettors aren't hugely enamored with the big number. New Orleans is taking 57 percent of spread tickets and 63 percent of spread money. The total dipped from 48.5 to 46.5, then rebounded to 47.5 Saturday morning, with the Over netting 64 percent of tickets/63 percent of money.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: New Orleans opened -9 and spent most of the week at -10, and that's where the number is now, with the Saints landing 57 percent of bets and 62 percent of money. The total fell from 48 to 47, with 60 percent of tickets/59 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: William Hill US opened the Saints -9.5, moved to -10 late Tuesday night and hasn't budged since. New Orleans is landing 65 percent of bets and 70 percent of money on the spread. "I’m not worried about straight bets for this one. I’m just worried about the teasers and moneyline parlays," WillHill's Nick Bogdanovich said, anticipating heavy Satins play on those fronts. "It'll be a small mountain of money for those. When push comes to shove on Sunday, there will be a ton of Bears moneyline bets, because people will be betting $20, $40, $100, they’ll take the 4/1 odds. But it won’t overcome the liability on the moneyline parlays and teasers if they’re all live."

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET THURSDAY: New Orleans is up to -10 from a -8.5 opener at BetMGM New Jersey, despite the Bears landing 61 percent of spread tickets and 60 percent of spread bets. The total of 47.5 is seeing 64 percent of tickets on the Over, but 60 percent of dollars on the Under.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Saints marched from -9.5 to -10.5 by Monday evening, then ticked back to -10 earlier tonight, with the Bears drawing 59 percent of spread tickets and 70 percent of spread handle. The total dipped from 48 to 47, though the Over is getting 73 percent of bets/81 percent of cash.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: New Orleans is out to -9.5 from a -8.5 opener at FanDuel, where 61 percent of spread bets and 65 percent of spread dollars are on the Saints. The total moved from 48.5 to 47.5 early Monday and remains there, with ticket count and money running 2/1 on the Over.

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Chicago needed a win to guarantee an NFC playoff spot, but couldn't get it in a 35-16 home setback to Green Bay. However, thanks to Arizona tumbling to Los Angeles, the Bears grabbed the seventh and final slot and a spot on Wild Card Weekend.

New Orleans already had a playoff spot secured entering Week 17, but went out and pounded Carolina 33-7 anyway to secure the No. 2 seed. That means the Saints won't go on the road until, and if, they face the top-seeded Packers.

"Bears-Saints will be the same as the Bucs game," Murray said. "All the moneyline parlays will go there and to Alabama (in the CFP championship) the next night."

Opening line

Steelers -3.5, Over/Under 47

Why the line moved

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Pittsburgh opened -3.5 at PointsBet USA and spent much of the week at -6 in the wake of Cleveland's COVID situation. But the Steelers are now down to -5, despite taking 69 percent of tickets and 82 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 47 to 46.5, then up to 48, and it's now 47.5, 51 percent of bets on the Over, but 68 percent of money on the Under. On the prop bet of player to score the first touchdown, Browns running back Nick Chubb (+850) is taking nearly three times more tickets than anyone else, at 32 percent of bets.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Steelers moved from -3.5 to -6 at William Hill US, then this morning ticked down to -5.5, but Pittsburgh is taking 72 percent of bets and 85 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 47 to 46.5, then up to 48 on two-way action, with 56 percent of bets/58 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Pittsburgh initially dipped from -4 to -3.5 at DraftKings, then made its way to -6 early in the week, and the Steelers are currently -5.5. Ticket count is 2/1 and money beyond 3/1 in favor of Pittsburgh. The total went from 47.5 to 46.5 and back to the opener on two-way play, with 52 percent of bets/53 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This number has been around a bit this week at FanDuel, opening Steelers -3.5, quickly getting to -4.5, then stretching to -6.5 Tuesday due to Cleveland's COVID situation. Pittsburgh receded to -5.5 Thursday, then rebounded to -6.5 this morning, with ticket count 2/1 and money 3/1 on the Steelers. The total moved from 47 to 46.5 to 47.5, sticking there since Tuesday on two-way action, with 55 percent of bets/52 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: DraftKings initially lowered the Steelers from -4 to -3.5, then climbed to -6 Tuesday on the COVID news coming out of Cleveland's camp. The line has been fairly stable at -6 since, with tickets running 2/1 and money 4/1 on Pittsburgh. The total moved from 47.5 to 46.5, then back up to 47.5 and is now 47, with 52 percent of tickets/54 percent of money on the Under.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Pittsburgh has been at -6 since Tuesday's news that Cleveland could have COVID issues impacting the Sunday night game. For certain, coach Kevin Stefanski won't be on the sideline. "(He) has never been a head coach in a playoff game, so I don’t know how much stock to put in for his absence,” William Hill US's Nick Bogdanovich said. “Obviously, he’s had a good year, but these coordinators are so good and these staffs are so well-paid and organized. Maybe he’s worth a half-point tops, he’s just too unknown of a commodity. We’re much more concerned with the players than a coach." Bettors are on the Steelers, who are drawing 77 percent of spread bets and 83 percent of spread money.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET THURSDAY: BetMGM is up to Steelers -6, with Pittsburgh taking a higher percentage of point-spread tickets and money than any other team playing on Wild Card Weekend. The Steelers are attracting 85 percent of bets and 89 percent of cash. The total bumped from 45.5 to 47.5 on interesting betting splits: the Under is actually getting 64 percent of bets/72 percent of money.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This line is the big mover of Wild Card Weekend, thanks to Tuesday's COVID news out of Cleveland camp. Coach Kevin Stefanski tested positive for and won't be available Sunday, nor will wideout KhaDarel Hodge or Pro Bowl offensive lineman Joel Bitonio. The Steelers opened -3.5, reached -4.5 Monday and stretched to -6 after Tuesday's news, and the line remains -6, with 76 percent of bets and 85 percent of money on Pittsburgh. The total moved from 47 to 46.5 to 47.5, with 60 percent of bets on the Over, but 70 percent of money on the Under.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Pittsburgh moved from -3.5 to -4.5 by Monday evening at FanDuel. The number jumped straight to Steelers -5.5 on this morning's COVID news out of Cleveland (see below) and ultimately stretched to -6.5 before edging back to -6 this afternoon. The Steelers are drawing 75 percent of tickets and 81 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 47 to 46.5 to 47.5, with 70 percent of tickets and money on the Over.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET TUESDAY: This line is on the move today due to a developing COVID situation with the Browns. Coach Kevin Stefanski tested positive and won't be on the sideline Sunday, nor will wideout KhaDarel Hodge or offensive lineman Joel Bitonio. The SuperBook had already moved the Steelers from -3.5 to -4.5 by Monday night, and this morning's news sent the number straight from -4.5 to -5.5, then on to -6. "I don't know that Stefanski is worth anything to the spread personally, but the market drifts up a little based on the news of the facility being closed and speculation that there may be more issues to come out of this."

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Two teams that just squared off to end the regular season get a Wild Card Weekend rematch, though the location changes, with Pittsburgh at home. Cleveland needed to win Sunday to assure a playoff spot and made things interesting, despite the Steelers resting Ben Roethlisberger and other key players. But the Browns got there 24-22 to nab the AFC's No. 6 seed and another meeting with the No. 3 Steelers.

Pittsburgh nudged up to -4 Monday morning at The SuperBook, and the total dipped a tick to 46.5.

"The last game of an NFL playoff weekend, there's always a ton of parlay liability to the favorite. I expect us to see that again with the Steelers," Murray said. "We will need the Bears and Browns pretty big on Sunday."

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