The Green Bay Packers are all but eliminated from the playoffs and, despite exiting the last game with an injury and a lively performance from Jordan Love, the Green Bay Packers will start Aaron Rodgers in Week 13.
On the flip side, the Chicago Bears will get their young quarterback back under center this week with Justin Fields carrying no injury designation heading into Sunday. His play has been electrifying but the Bears are still on a five-game losing streak.
Will Fields' return mark the end of the Bears' losing ways or will Rodgers buy himself and the Packers another week to chase after their longshot playoff chances?
Continue reading for free NFL picks for the Packers vs. Bears.
Packers vs Bears best odds
Packers vs Bears picks and predictions
The Packers’ offense has looked better in recent weeks, averaging 27 points in the last three games after averaging 15.8 in the previous five games. But, just as Aaron Rodgers and the offense was beginning to figure things out, the defense has taken an ugly turn, allowing an average of 31.7 points per game.
The Week 13 matchup against the Bears’ running game sets up to be potentially disastrous for a Packers defense that has struggled against the rush for seemingly over a decade now.
Last week was a shining example of that, with the Packers allowing 157 rushing yards to Jalen Hurts (9.2 YPC) and 143 more to Miles Sanders 6.8 YPC. In total, the Eagles had 363 rushing yards, the second-most in franchise history. All things considered, it's no surprise that the Packers rank dead last in rush defense DVOA.
Justin Fields has 834 rushing yards on the season, which ranks first among quarterbacks and seventh across the league. His 6.8 yards per carry also ranks highest in the. If Hurts' performance last week was any indication, Fields should have a field day against the Packers.
For as bad as the Packers' defense is, the Bears' unit is arguably worse. In fact, it could possibly be the worst defense in the league as things stand. They rank 31st in defensive DVOA, 30th in yards allowed per drive, and 26th in points per drive.
On top of that, safety Jaquan Brisker and cornerback Kyler Gordon will miss Sunday's game, and the front seven has been the league's worst since dealing Roquan Smith at the trade deadline.
There is serious shootout potential here, and the total is not nearly inflated enough to reflect that.
My best bet: Over 44.5 (-113 at Unibet)
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Packers vs Bears spread analysis
The spread opened with the Packers favored by a field goal, and it has since moved past that key number to -3.5.
Green Bay is 4-8 against the spread, the fourth-worst mark on the season. After starting 3-1 against the spread, it’s now 1-8 in its last nine, and it’s 0-2 as a road favorite this season.
Chicago is 4-7-1 against the spread and has failed to cover in five straight and in eight of its last nine. The Bears are, however, 2-1 as a home underdog.
Packers vs Bears Over/Under analysis
The total opened at 44.0 and moved to the key number of 45.0 over the week. Some slightly juiced 44.5s remain on the board for those looking to take the Over.
Green Bay is an even 6-6 on totals this year but has gone Over in three straight now given the jump in offensive production and the dive in defensive efficiency.
Chicago is 8-4 to the Over this year, the second-best mark in the NFL. After starting 5-2 to the Under, the Bears have now played to the Over in six straight.
Packers vs Bears betting trend to know
The Packers have gone Over the total in three straight, and the Bears have gone Over in six straight. Find more NFL betting trends for Packers vs. Bears.
Packers vs Bears game info
| Location: | Soldier Field, Chicago, IL |
| Date: | Sunday, December 4, 2022 |
| Kickoff: | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FOX |
| Opening odds: | Bears +3, O/U 43.5 |
Packers vs Bears latest injuries
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