The Green Bay Packers are winners of three straight and four of their last five after a massive prime-time upset over the Kansas City Chiefs. Jordan Love and company will look to keep the momentum going tonight, traveling to face off against the New York Giants in one of two games on the NFL odds slate.
Can Love keep up the eye-popping play that is surging the Packers into the playoff picture? Or will fan-favorite Tommy Devito and the Giants defy MNF odds and pick up the upset?
Continue reading for my free NFL picks regarding the NFL player props market for the Packers vs Giants on December 11th.
As the Week 14 odds come to a close, be sure to also check out our Packers vs. Giants picks alongside our favorite Jordan Love props.
Packers vs Giants MNF props
- Doubs anytime TD (+220 at Caesars)
- Kraft Under 2.5 rec (+107 at BetRivers)
- Dillon Under 15.5 rush attempts (-114 at FanDuel)
Picks made on December 11 at 10:00 a.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Packers vs Giants MNF props
Prop bet #1: Doubs does it to em
Romeo Doubs has sneakily been one of the most productive wide receivers from last year's draft classes. The fifth-round pick has 87 receptions in his career thus far, which is good for the fifth-most among wide receivers taken in 2022, and the four in front of him were all taken inside the top 52 picks.
He also has 10 touchdowns, good for the third-most in his class as well. Doubs has established himself as a reliable red-zone target in particular, displaying great late separation and jump ball capabilities. His six RZ touchdowns this year are tied for the second-most, but he's reeled in those six scores on just 13 red zone targets — tied for the 30th-most in the league.
The New York Giants have allowed a TD on 61.9% of opposing red-zone drives, good for the ninth-worst mark in the league. The Packers have 18 passing TDs in the RZ compared to their five rushing, and Aaron Jones will sit out this week which would point towards the Packers leaning more on the air than the ground. This gives an excellent opportunity to take advantage of Romeo Doub's odds.
Romeo Doubs prop: Anytime touchdown scorer (+220 at Caesars)
Prop bet #2: Tucker Isn't Krafty
The third-round rookie out of South Dakota State was the second tight end the Green Bay Packers took in the draft, following their selection of Luke Musgrave in the second round. Musgrave is currently on the IR with a lacerated knee injury, and Tucker Kraft's odds will be a hot topic as he'll be asked to step up in his absence.
Kraft has reeled in just 10 receptions on the year, with seven of those coming after Musgrave's injury. Tight ends typically take two to three years to develop and adapt to the NFL, but Kraft also comes from a FCS school which typically requires more development time.
His involvement should remain minimal (he has just one game above his reception total for Monday) and the matchup is not the greatest. The Giants allow just 3.6 receptions per game to opposing TEs, which is the third-lowest average this year.
Tucker Kraft prop: Under 2.5 receptions (+107 at BetRivers)
Prop bet #3: Doubt Dillon
The fourth-year running back has disappointed in Green Bay ever since showing some encouraging flashes during his rookie campaign in 2020. The former second-round pick rushed to a 5.3 YPC and in every season since that number has gone down, all the way down to his abysmal 3.5 YPC this year.
This comes even though AJ Dillon has been given the keys to the backfield for the majority of the season due to the extensive injuries starter Aaron Jones has endured. Jones has appeared in just seven games this year but has left early in three. He also never eclipsed higher than a 57% snap share in any of those games.
Yet Dillon's ineffectiveness has limited his involvement despite the clear opportunity. He has surpassed the 15.5 rush attempts his prop is set at for Monday just twice this season. Bettors with less intimate knowledge of his ineffectiveness this year will run to AJ Dillon's odds to take his Overs after news broke early Monday morning that Aaron Jones will miss Week 14, but the better bet is the opposite way.
AJ Dillon prop: Under 15.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Not intended for use in MA.
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