The highest total on the NFL betting board for Week 14 is an NFC North matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions.
The Packers are comfortably sitting atop the division with a 9-3 record, but can they cover as 8.5-point road favorites against the Lions, who are fresh off a comeback win against the Bears?
We let you know as we break down the NFL odds and bring you our best picks and predictions for the Packers vs Lions on Sunday, December 13 with kickoff at 4:25 p.m. ET.
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions Betting Preview
Weather
This game will be played indoors at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan, so weather will not impact play. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions for other games with our NFL weather info.
Key Injuries
Packers: Jace Sternberger TE (Out), Corey Linsley C (Out), Lane Taylor G (Out), Simon Stepaniak G (Out).
Lions: Jeff Okudah CB (Out), Tyrell Crosby T (Out), Kenny Golladay WR (Out), Desmond Trufant CB (Out), Danny Shelton DT (Out), Halipoulivaati Vaitai T (Out), Trey Flowers DE (Out), John Atkins DT (Out), C.J. Moore S (Questionable).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
The Over is 11-1 in the Lions' last 12 home games. Find more NFL betting trends for Packers vs. Lions.
Against the Spread (ATS) Pick
Green Bay is coming off their second easy win in a row to give them a three-game cushion atop the NFC North. But the Lions are coming off a victory of their own defeating their rival Chicago Bears 34-30.
With interim head coach Darrell Bevell at the helm following the firing of Matt Patricia, the Lions played with heart, rallying from a ten-point deficit in the fourth quarter. That's a welcome change for a Detroit team with a recent history of squandering early leads – including earlier this season in Green Bay.
The Packers have one of the most explosive offenses in the league, but their defense has looked vulnerable. Green Bay gives up 28.8 points per game on the road, fourth-worst in the league, and could struggle to put away a Detroit team that piled up 460 yards of offense last week.
The Packers stomped the Lions by a score of 42-21 when these teams tangled in Week 2. But that was just the first time Green Bay has covered in the last seven meetings between these two teams. It was also just the first time the Packers beat the Lions by more than a touchdown in the last 11 games in the head-to-head.
With these NFC North foes usually playing close games and the Lions energized by a new bench boss, look for them to cover as home underdogs.
PREDICTION: Detroit +8.5 (-110)
Over/Under Pick
With the exception of an ugly shutout loss to the Panthers in Week 11, the Lions are usually capable of moving the ball down the field with quarterback Matt Stafford. The Lions average 25.6 ppg at home, and are at their best when they can take pressure off Stafford by establishing their ground game, a task that should be easier against the Packers' soft run defense.
The Packers have a dynamic offense led by QB Aaron Rodgers, wide receiver Davante Adams and running back Aaron Jones. Green Bay leads the league in points per game with 31.6 and is second in yards per game with 396.6. That should mean lots of fireworks against a Detroit defense that surrenders 29.8 ppg, second-worst in the league.
Both of these teams also have a track record of high-scoring contests when they play on fieldturf. The Packers are 14-6 to the Over in their last 20 games on fieldturf, while the Lions are 12-2 to the Over in their previous 14 on turf.
With the Over also cashing in four consecutive meetings in Detroit, expect another track meet on the fieldturf at Ford Field.
PREDICTION: Over 54.5 (-110)
Player Prop
Lions tight end T.J. Hockenson is beginning to emerge as one of Detroit's most reliable pass-catchers. The second-year player has seen at least seven targets in five of his last six games.
Hockenson is coming off a terrific performance against the Bears, where he reeled in seven passes for 84 yards and now has racked up at least 68 receiving yards in each of the past three games.
Although Stafford is listed as questionable due to a partially-torn thumb ligament in his throwing hand, he's been playing with the injury for weeks. And even if the Lions starting QB does end up missing this game you can rest assured that backup Chase Daniel will be looking to his big tight end as a checkdown option. Take the Over on Hockenson's receiving yards total.
PREDICTION: T.J. Hockenson receiving yards Over 47.5 (-114)
Packers vs Lions Betting Card
- Detroit +8.5 (-110)
- Over 54.5 (-110)
- T.J. Hockenson receiving yards Over 47.5 (-114)
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