A pair of four-win teams will meet in Minneapolis as the Minnesota Vikings will host the Carolina Panthers. Minnesota QB Teddy Bridgewater is set to face his former team for the first time after practicing in full on Wednesday.
The Vikings are coming off a three-point loss to the Andy Dalton-led Cowboys but sit as 3.5-point home favorites against a Carolina team that blanked the Lions 20-0 last week.
The line opened at -4 with some books moving to -4.5. The news of Bridgewater getting in a full practice moved the line back down to -3.5. The total opened at 49, sunk to 48.5 and now sits at 51.
Here are our NFL free picks and predictions for Panthers vs Vikings for Sunday, November 29 (1:00 p.m. ET).
Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview
Weather
This game will be played indoors at the U.S. Bank Stadium. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions for other matchups with our NFL weather info.
Key Injuries
Panthers: Christian McCaffrey RB (Out), Dennis Daley RG (Out), Donte Jackson CB (Doubtful), John Miller G (Questionable), Russell Okung T (Questionable), Tahir Whitehead LB (Probable).
Vikings: Adam Thielen WR (Out), Irv Smith TE (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
The Over is 6-0 in the Vikings’ last six home games. Find more NFL betting trends for Panthers vs. Vikings.
Against the Spread (ATS) Pick
Carolina QB Teddy Bridgewater got in a full practice Wednesday and looks good to go against a Minnesota team that is coming off a loss to the Dallas Cowboys and could be without WR Adam Thielen (COVID).
Thielen leads the team in targets and receptions, and leads all receivers with 11 TDs. His possible loss will be huge for a squad that will have to run Dalvin Cook early and often against a Carolina team that is allowing just 95 yards average rushing over its last three games.
Carolina ended a four-game losing streak last week but had a tough stretch of games before that, including TB, KC and NO. The Panthers ended up covering two of those three and are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog.
They likely won’t have Christian McCaffrey again this week, but this is one of the league’s best receiving corps and faces off against one of, if not, the most depleted secondaries in all of football.
PREDICTION: Carolina +3.5 (-110)
Over/Under Pick
Minnesota has been a great Over team this year as they sit 7-3 O/U on the season. They are scoring nearly 30 points a game at home while also giving up the second-most points at home with 33 per game. The Vikes are a perfect 5-0 O/U at U.S. Bank Stadium this year and are 3-1 O/U on totals of 50 or more.
Minnesota has five defensive backs out or on the IR and its best, Harrison Smith, is questionable with a neck injury. It could be a big day for the trio of Carolina receivers (DJ Moore, Robby Anderson and Curtis Samuel) who are averaging 197.4 receiving yards combined per game.
The Carolina defense is nothing to write home about either. It has bottom-10 units in both pass and rush defense and could be missing two DBs and a starting LB.
PREDICTION: Over 51 (-110)
Total Touchdowns Prop Pick
The Vikings are scoring four TDs per home game this year, which is the second-best rate in the league. Missing Thielen is huge, but Cook and Justin Jefferson are explosive talents who have 18 TDs between them.
The Vikes’ TD success has a lot to do with their red zone offense. No team in the league has a higher red-zone TD scoring percentage than Minnesota at 78%. Carolina has also had TD success in the RZ over its last three games, scoring touchdowns at 73% inside their opponents' 20-yard line.
Over Minnesota’s last four home games, there has been an average of seven TDs scored per game.
PREDICTION: Total touchdowns scored — Over 5.5 (-120)
Panthers vs Vikings Betting Card
- Carolina +3.5 (-110)
- Over 51 (-110)
- Total touchdowns scored — Over 5.5 (-120)
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