NFL betting for Sunday Night Football in Week 10 features a battle between the Baltimore Ravens and New England Patriots.
Coming off a 24-10 win over the Colts, the Ravens are now 6-2, and NFL odds have them installed as 7.5-point road favorites against the 3-5 Patriots.
We break down the NFL odds with our best free Ravens vs Patriots picks and predictions for Sunday Night Football on November 15, with kickoff at 8:20 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots Betting Preview
Weather
The forecast for Gillette Stadium is calling for rain Sunday night, with temperatures dipping into the low 50s and winds blowing SSE up to 25 mph. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.
Key Injuries
Ravens: Jimmy Smith CB (Doubtful), Mark Ingram II RB (Probable), L.J. Fort LB (Questionable), Calais Campbell DE (Out), Ronnie Stanley T (Out), Matt Judon LB (Questionable), Tavon Young CB (Out), Anthony Averett CB (Out)
Patriots: Damien Harris RB (Probable), N'Keal Harry WR (Probable), Cam Newton QB (Probable), Stephon Gilmore CB (Doubtful), Ja'Whaun Bentley LB (Questionable), Kyle Dugger S (Questionable), Nick Folk K (Questionable), J.C. Jackson DB (Probable), Joe Thuney G (Questionable), Deatrich Wise Jr. DL (Probable), Shaq Mason G (Questionable), Jermaine Eluemunor G (Questionable), John Simon DE (Questionable), Sony Michel RB (Out), Julian Edelman WR (Out), Matt LaCosse TE (Out), Patrick Chung S (Out), Marcus Cannon T (Out), Brandon Bolden RB (Out), Donta Hightower LB (Out), Ryan Izzo TE (Questionable), Jonathan Jones DB (Questionable).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
The Patriots are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up win. Find more NFL betting trends for Ravens vs. Patriots.
Against the Spread (ATS) Pick
Year 1 in the post-Tom Brady era has been tough for the Patriots, who have lost five of their last seven games. While they are coming off a win, that victory came against the 0-9 New York Jets, and they won by just three points after staging a fourth-quarter comeback.
Although new Patriots quarterback Cam Newton has been a downgrade for the passing game, he doesn't have much help around him - especially with the injury to Julian Edelman. New England is just 28th in the league in scoring with 20.8 points per game and will have a tough time getting into the endzone against the Ravens' No. 1-ranked scoring defense.
However, it isn't just the Pats offense that has taken a step back. Their defense is also nowhere near as strong as a year ago and veteran defenders Dont'a Hightower and Patrick Chung choosing to opt-out of the season has really hurt.
New England is surrendering a whopping 150.7 rushing yards per game over their last three contests and won't be able to slow down Baltimore's ground game, led by Lamar Jackson. With the Patriots just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games, take Baltimore to win and cover.
PREDICTION: Baltimore -7 (-110)
Over/Under Pick
New England hit the Over last week against the Jets (which hit me right in the wallet) but will have a much harder time putting points on the board against a Ravens stop-unit that holds opponents to just 17.8 ppg.
Not only do the Ravens have one of the top defenses in the NFL, but their offense also plays at the fourth-slowest pace in the league according to Football Outsiders.
Both squads are also among the most run-heavy teams in the NFL, with Baltimore first in the league in rushing play percentage and New England third. Combine that with what's expected to be messy weather on Sunday in and you have all the ingredients for a lower-scoring, run-heavy game.
With the Pats 4-1 to the Under in their last five home games and the Ravens 6-1 to the Under in their previous seven contests against AFC foes, take the Under.
PREDICTION: Under 44 (-110)
First Quarter Bet
The Ravens are second in the league in first-quarter scoring with 7.6 ppg and have bumped that number up to 9.5 ppg over their last four contests.
The Patriots have been getting off to very slow starts, averaging just 1.8 first-quarter ppg, second-worst in the league. Expect Baltimore to ride another quick start and have a lead after the first 15 minutes.
PREDICTION: First Quarter Baltimore -0.5 (-110)
Ravens vs Patriots Betting Card
- Baltimore -7 (-110)
- Under 44 (-110)
- First Quarter Baltimore -0.5 (-110)
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