Ravens vs Steelers Week 12 Picks and Predictions

The Pittsburgh Steelers are big favorites in an AFC North rematch that has been rescheduled several times, and will be missing a number of key players on both sides due to COVID-19.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 30, 2020 • 11:36 ET
Diontae Johnson NFL Pittsburgh Steelers
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The final NFL betting option for Week 12 is a Wednesday afternoon (that's right WEDNESDAY) matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers. 

This AFC North rivalry was originally expected to take place last Thursday, but after COVID-19 absolutely decimated Baltimore's lineup, the game was moved to Tuesday, and now Wednesday.

The Steelers are the last unbeaten team in the league at 10-0 and are installed as 10-point home favorites against the undermanned Ravens.

We break down the NFL odds with our best free picks and predictions for the Ravens vs Steelers on Wednesday, December 2, with kickoff at 3:40 p.m. ET. 

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

Weather

Heinz Field should be cold and windy on Tuesday, with a temperature of 35 degrees, winds reaching up to 13 miles per hour, and a 38 percent chance of rain. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Ravens: Lamar Jackson QB (Out), Mark Andrews TE (Out), Matt Judon LB (Out), Willie Snead WR (Out), Brandon Williams DT (Out), J.K. Dobbins RB (Out), Mark Ingram II RB (Out), Ronnie Stanley T (Out), Calais Campbell DE (Out), Nick Boyle TE (Out), Anthony Averett CB (Out), Jaylon Ferguson DE (Out), Pernell McPhee (Out), Matt Skura C (Out).
Steelers: Maurkice Pouncey C (Out), Jaylen Samuels RB (Out), James Conner RB (Out), Stephon Tuitt DE (Out), Devin Bush LB (Out), Zach Banner T (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Steelers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. Find more NFL betting trends for Ravens vs. Steelers.

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

Baltimore enters this matchup reeling, coming off a 30-24 overtime loss against the Titans to drop them to 1-3 over their last four games. Ironically, that four-game span began with a 28-24 home defeat by Pittsburgh at the beginning of the month. 

That game was a back-and-forth contest but don't expect this one to be, with the Ravens missing plenty of starters on both sides of the ball, including last year's NFL MVP Lamar Jackson who tested positive for COVID-19. 

Being the last unbeaten squad in the league is a heavy burden for Pittsburgh, but despite that pressure, they're coming off a pair of dominant victories, destroying Jacksonville and Cincinnati by a combined total of 50 points.

This is an absolute shell of the Ravens team that finished with the best record in the NFL last season. Not only is their offense missing a slew of key players, but their defense is hurting too with their top defensive lineman in Calais Campbell and best pass rusher in Matt Judon also out of commission.

Take Pittsburgh to win and cover. 

PREDICTION: Pittsburgh -10 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

Not having their franchise QB in Jackson obviously hurts, but the Ravens' issues on offense don't end there. They will also be without their top two running backs in J.K. Dobbins and Mark Ingram II, two of their best receivers (Mark Andrews and Willie Snead), and several starting offensive lineman including All-Pro left tackle Ronnie Stanley

That should prove devastating against a ferocious Steelers defense that leads the NFL in sacks and allows a league-low 17.4 points per game.  

Pittsburgh is certainly capable on offense, putting up 29.8 points per game thanks to quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and receivers Juju Smith-Schuster and Chase Claypool.

However, they'll be taking on a solid Ravens defense that allows just 19.5 ppg, and an early Pittsburgh lead and messy weather could cause Mike Tomlin to go with a more conservative gameplan. 

PREDICTION: Under 41 (-110)

Score Prop Bet

We mentioned that the Ravens have looked strong on the defensive end of the ball this season, but one area where they've struggled has been in the red zone.

The Ravens are allowing opponents to score a touchdown on 69.2 percent of trips into their 20-yard line, the sixth-worst mark in the league. 

The Steelers are seventh in the league in red-zone offense, punching it into the end zone on 69.4 percent of their red-zone attempts, and that number has gone up to 77.8 in their last three games.

We're expecting a Pittsburgh blowout in this one so back the Steelers to score the first points of the game with a touchdown. 

PREDICTION: First score method - Pittsburgh touchdown (+130)

Ravens vs Steelers Betting Card

  • Pittsburgh -10 (-110)
  • Under 41 (-110)
  • First score method - Pittsburgh touchdown (+130)
NFL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NFL Ravens vs. Steelers picks, you could win $73.83 on a $10 bet?

Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on the NFL?

You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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