Saints vs Eagles Week 14 Picks and Predictions

The Saints have hardly missed a beat without Drew Brees (3-0 SU and ATS since his injury), while the Eagles have been flightless birds for most of this season.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Dec 11, 2020 • 12:12 ET
Alvin Kamara New Orleans Saints NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

In a sport where quarterback is king, one team has been an NFL betting gold mine without their franchise QB. 

That team, the New Orleans Saints, will look to make bettors happy once again as they face the Philadelphia Eagles as 6.5-point favorites in Week 14.

We break down the NFL odds and bring you our best free picks and predictions for the Saints vs. Eagles on Sunday, December 13, with kickoff at 4:25 p.m. 

New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

Weather

It's expected to be a clear day at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia with temperatures in the mid-60s, winds reaching up to 14 miles per hour, and no chance of rain. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Saints: Ty Montgomery RB (Out), Malcolm Brown DT (Out), Patrick Robinson CB (Out), Drew Brees QB (Out). 
Eagles: Jason Peters OL (Out), Lane Johnson T (Out), Hassan Ridgeway DT (Out), DeSean Jackson WR (Out), Brandon Brooks G (Out), Andre Dillard T (Out), Rudy Ford S (Out), T.J. Edwards LB (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Under is 6-0 in the Eagles' last six games overall. Find more NFL betting trends for Saints vs. Eagles.

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

The Eagles are going through a nightmare season, sitting near the bottom of the standings with a 3-8-1 record and going 4-8 ATS. They've been held back by a slew of injuries as well as poor play from quarterback Carson Wentz, who will be benched for this matchup while rookie Jalen Hurts takes over under center. 

The Saints are 10-2 straight up and are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games. New Orleans is one of the most balanced teams in the league with an offense that ranks eighth in DVOA according to Football Outsiders, and a defense that ranks second in DVOA. 

Although they lost future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees for multiple weeks due to fractured ribs, New Orleans has continued to excel with backup Taysom Hill leading the way. With Hill as the starter in their last three games, New Orleans has gone 3-0 SU and ATS, and with Brees injured last year the Saints went 5-0 SU and ATS in his absence. 

Hill doesn't need to be anywhere close to a world-beater in order for New Orleans to cover this spread. Saints head coach Sean Payton will put him in a position to succeed and his offensive line is one of the best in the league. Combine that with a reeling Eagles squad that seems to have both eyes on the future, and we're backing the faves without any hesitation.

PREDICTION: New Orleans -6.5 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

The Saints are playing well with Hill under center but their offense is hardly setting the world on fire. They faced the Falcons' soft defense twice in the last three games and totaled just 45 points and while they hung 31 points against Denver, they did it with just 292 total yards of offense. 

It's been the Saints defense leading the way for the team, holding opponents to the second-fewest yards per game in the league with 288.8, and improving that number to 270.8 ypg on the road. 

Expect them to dominate Eagles rookie QB Hurts, who will be hurting as he runs for his life behind an injury-depleted line and looks desperately for his mediocre receivers, who are rarely open and love to drop passes. 

The Under is 5-0 in the Saints' last five games and 6-0 in the Eagles' previous six contests, and we're hammering it again. 

PREDICTION: Under 43 (-110)

Team Total Prop Bet

We really can't stress enough how badly we think the Eagles will struggle to move the ball in this one. This is a team that hasn't scored more than 17 points in any of their last four games and is averaging just 297.3 yards per game over that span.

Now Philly will have to rely on a second-round rookie passer without a single start to his name. Hurts can't be much worse than Wentz, but considering he completed just 5-of-12 passes in relief against the Packers last week, he's probably not going to be any better either. 

The Saints stop-unit is fourth in the league in sacks and limits opposing QBs to a passer rating of 85.6, sixth-lowest in the league. Look for them to clip the Eagles' wings and take the Under of Philly's team total. 

PREDICTION: Philadelphia Team Total Under 16.5 (+100)

Saints vs Eagles Betting Card

  • New Orleans -6.5 (-110)
  • Under 43 (-110)
  • Philadelphia Team Total Under 16.5 (+100)
NFL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NFL Saints vs. Eagles picks, you could win $62.89 on a $10 bet?

Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on the NFL?

You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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