Seahawks vs Packers Week 10 Picks and Predictions: Wilson and Rodgers Back Under Center

After a week of uncertainty, we now know it'll be a great matchup in Green Bay this Sunday with Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers back under center. We've got the NFL betting breakdown for you in our Seahawks vs. Packers picks.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Nov 14, 2021 • 15:34 ET • 5 min read
Davante Adams Green Bay Packers NFL
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The Seattle Seahawks travel to Lambeau to face the Green Bay Packers after a wild couple of weeks for the Packers and QB Aaron Rodgers. 

There are plenty of stories surrounding this game but only two truly matter, with Seattle getting Russell Wilson back under center and Aaron Rodgers returning for Green Bay.

Prepare for the game with our NFL picks and predictions for the Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers on Sunday, November 14.

Seahawks vs Packers odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

The Packers were installed as 5.5-point favorites when the lines opened, but that’s fallen to just 3-point favorites. The total for the game has remained the same at 49.5 points.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full NFL odds before placing your bets.

Seahawks vs Packers picks

Picks made on 11/11/2021 at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Seahawks vs Packers game info

Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Date: Sunday, November 14, 2021
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: CBS

Seahawks at Packers betting preview

Weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.

Key injuries

Seahawks: Cody Barton LB (Out), Bless Austin CB (Out), Marquise Blair S (Out), Chris Carson RB (Out), Jacob Eason QB (Out), Dakoda Shepley C (Out), Stone Forsythe T (Out), Robert Nkemdiche DT (Out).
Packers: EQ St. Brown WR (Out), David Bakhtiari T (Out), Dominique Dafney TE (Out), Kingsley Keke CB (Out), Robert Tonyan TE (Out), Jaire Alexander CB (Out), Vernon Scott S (Out).

Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Packers are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games. Find more NFL betting trends for Seahawks vs. Packers.

Seahawks vs Packers predictions

This Sunday afternoon clash between the Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers hinged on the quarterback matchup, but everything this week was positive as we’ll see the two franchise QBs play. Russell Wilson has been cleared to play and Rodgers, on Saturday, was officially cleared to return as well.

In this game, both defenses are healthy, between which there are big differences. Only one team has given up more yardage to opposition offenses than the Seattle Seahawks. Pete Carroll’s team allows an average of 401.5 yards per game — the fact they have three wins in a tough division is more due to what they can offer on offense. In stark contrast, there are only four teams who allow less offensive yardage than Green Bay, with the Packers averaging over 80 fewer yards per game than the Seahawks.

Weighted defensive DVOA isn’t quite so kind to the Packers, placing them 16th in the league, but ahead of the Seahawks who are 23rd. Despite some of the big plays that the Seahawks' defense can deliver, they often cause frustration with a secondary, complete with some very highly-paid players, giving up far too many yards over the middle.

When it comes to previewing how the offense will battle, we finally have a clear picture with both passers cleared.

Two of the very best quarterbacks in the world facing each other in their returns from injury and illness. Both men have seen their backups struggle in their absence and both sets of wide receivers will be very happy to see the best passers in their locker room return. The Packers are still the best team here and secure the win by a score or more.

All week, both teams have trained without knowing who’d be starting under center for them, which will have led to some disjointed practices after low-scoring outings for both teams. The Seahawks won 31-7 against a woeful Jaguars team before their bye, and the Love-led Packers lost a dull 13-7 game to the Chiefs.

On paper, these are two high-powered offenses, but in reality, we won’t be seeing either at their peak, regardless of who is quarterbacking. 

Recent trends point us towards the Under too. The Under is 6-0 in the Packers’ last six games overall. It’s also worth noting that the Under is 4-0 in the Seahawks’ past four against NFC opponents and 5-0 in their past five games as underdogs. From the preparation to the trends, everything screams Under, so take it.

Randall Cobb led the Packers in receiving yards when Jordan Love was quarterbacking against the Chiefs. He returned to Green Bay this year at the request of Aaron Rodgers, who wanted one of his favorite targets back on the team. After a solid Week 9, Cobb will have his old friend back under center.

Cobb’s smooth routes across the middle should give him a chance of turning his targets into some good yardage with the Seahawks’ weak secondary focusing on the threats of Davante Adams and Aaron Jones, who thrive when they catch the ball in space. Cobb averages 2.5 receptions per game and should be able to cover this total with that volume.

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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