Titans vs Jaguars Week 14 Picks and Predictions

The Jacksonville Jaguars may be 1-10 this year, but they have covered the spread in four out of five games and have an offense that should put points up against Tennessee this Sunday.

Josh Inglis - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Josh Inglis • Betting Analyst
Dec 8, 2020 • 18:08 ET
Jacksonville Jaguars Laviska Shenault Keelan Cole NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Tennessee Titans had a chance to carry their AFC South lead into Week 14, but a 41-35 loss at the hands of the Browns has them tied at 8-4 with the Indianapolis Colts. The Titans can not afford to look past the Jacksonville Jaguars this weekend despite the fact that the Jags are losers of 10 straight.

The Jaguars head into Week 14 as a touchdown-or-more underdog for the seventh straight week as NFL odds have them at +7.5 with that spread trending toward the seven. The total sits at 53 which is an NFL betting number the Titans have eclipsed in three straight weeks to help push their season record to 9-2-1 O/U.

Here are our NFL free picks and predictions for Titans vs. Jaguars on December 13 (1:00 p.m. ET).

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview

Weather

TIAA Bank Field will be 75 degrees on Sunday with no chance of rain and almost no wind (gusts up to 8 mph). Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Titans: Kenny Vaccaro S (Out), Adam Humphries WR (Out), Adoree' Jackson CB (Out), Jadeveon Clowney DE (Out), Darrynton Evans RB (Out). 
Jaguars: Josh Allen DE (Out), Kamelei Correa LB (Out), Greg Mabin DB (Out), Brandon Linder C (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Over is 6-0 in the Titans’ last six games against teams with a losing record while the Jaguars are 6-1 O/U in their last seven games against the AFC South. Find more NFL betting trends for Titans vs. Jaguars.

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

The Jaguars may be riding a 10-game losing streak, but this is a team that has been rewarding spread backers since the calendar hit November. Jacksonville lost in overtime to the Vikings last week and in doing so, covered their fourth game in five matches. All four of those ATS wins came as an underdog of seven or more points.

QB Mike Glennon has done an admirable job of filling in for the injured Gardner Minshew II, and 24 percent of Glennon’s throws against the Vikings traveled 20 yards or more—which led the league in Week 13.

Minshew has reportedly begged to get back on the field, but head coach Doug Marrone could stick with Glennon again this week, which wouldn’t bother us.

Despite their six-point loss to the Browns, the Titans were humiliated last week as they trailed 38-7 at halftime and never had a chance.

This defense gives up too many big plays and can’t get off the field as the Browns’ middle-of-the-pack offense went 10-for-16 on third downs and amassed 458 yards of offense—mostly in the first half.

The Titans have been more than a TD favorite just once this year—and lost that game outright to the Bengals 31-20 back on November 1. We aren’t taking the 1-10 Jags on the ML, but just know this is an offense that can score against a terrible Tennessee defense.

PREDICTION: Jacksonville +7.5 (-115)

 

Over/Under Pick

At 9-2 O/U, the Titans are the best O/U team in 2020. They have hit the Over in four straight games averaging 63 combined points per game over that stretch. Tennessee is the only team in the league allowing at least 27 points per game while also scoring at least 27 of its own.

The Jaguars are also guilty of giving up easy points this year as they sit 29th in points allowed (29.3) and are dead-last in yards per play allowed at 6.2.

With Glennon getting more comfortable with the offense and WR D.J. Chark one more week recovered from his ailments, this offense’s needle is trending upwards and should be able to move the ball against Tennessee’s 29th-ranked DVOA defense, per Football Outsiders.

PREDICTION: Over 53 (-110)

First Quarter Total Pick

It’s not too often we get two of the league’s Bottom-four defenses and it isn’t even the highest total on the board!

The Titans gave up 17 points in the game’s first 16 minutes last week and have not seen a first-quarter score of under 10 points in four straight matches. Both teams are giving up over five points to their opponents in the first 15 minutes this year.

Glennon is comfortable with the deep ball, which could exploit the Titans’ biggest Achilles' heel. Tennessee has given up nearly 12 yards per completion since Week 11 and got gashed by the Browns in Week 13, especially in the game’s first frame.

PREDICTION: First quarter Over 10 (-110)

Titans vs Jaguars Betting Card

  • Jacksonville +7.5 (-115)
  • Over 53 (-110)
  • First quarter Over 10 (-110)
NFL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NFL Titans vs. Jaguars picks, you could win $58.14 on a $10 bet?

Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on the NFL?

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Josh Inglis - Covers
Betting Analyst

Josh Inglis is a rising star in the sports betting content space, specializing in MLB, NHL, and NFL markets. Since joining Covers in 2018, Josh has focused his betting expertise on player props and derivative markets, finding them easier for beating the closing line compared to sides and totals. His engaging analysis and content have been showcased on major networks such as TSN and NBC. Josh is a prolific bettor, tracking over 2,500 bets annually and he consistently shares his results through monthly transparency reports. At Covers, he is renowned for his MLB release shows and NHL Puck Props, which are integral parts of the site's live content lineup.

Before his tenure at Covers, Josh spent a decade teaching while pursuing sports media on the side. He has also contributed to live global senior-level broadcasts for the WBSC.

Josh advocates for sports bettors to bet early, emphasizing the importance of securing better numbers by beating the public to the market. He also advises having multiple sportsbook accounts to ensure access to the best possible odds. His preferred sportsbook is bet365, which he favors for its extensive range of player prop markets and live betting options.

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