Sunday night brings us the Los Angeles Rams playing host to the Tennessee Titans. Derrick Henry is out, Adrian Peterson is in. A.J. Brown is Questionable, Julio Jones is a go. Matthew Stafford and Robert Woods are both questionable after not practicing, but coach Sean McVay expects them to suit up. Von Miller is also questionable after coming over from the Broncos. Let’s try and navigate the minefield that is SNF.
We bring you our favorite free prop picks and predictions for Week 9’s Sunday Night Football matchup.
Titans vs Rams prop picks
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Titans vs Rams SNF props
My Kupp of tea
For this article’s sake, we’re of the impression that Matthew Stafford will play after Sean McVay told reporters Friday he expects his QB to suit up. Stafford is one of the toughest signal-callers in the league and is the No. 2 MVP betting favorite behind Josh Allen.
The Rams’ passing game gets a tasty treat in Week 9 as they face the Titans and their generous secondary. No team is giving up more receptions, yards and TDs to opposing wide receivers than Tennessee. On the season, Mike Vrabel’s passing defense is averaging 16.5 receptions for 219 yards to opposing WRs.
L.A.’s Cooper Kupp leads the league in receiving yards through eight weeks with 924. He became the first WR in the Super Bowl era with 900-plus receiving yards and 10-plus receiving TDs in the first eight weeks of the season. He has at least 115 yards in three straight games, and with Robert Woods banged up, Kupp could be leaned on even more Sunday night.
There are no discounts for Kupp in this fantastic matchup. His receiving yard total sits at 97.5 (-115) which is incredibly high, but Kupp has passed this total by at least 17 yards in three straight games and has at least 90 yards in seven of his eight games. The Titans are brutal at covering WRs, the Woods injury is in our favor, and Stafford is gunning for a league MVP.
PICK: Cooper Kupp Over 97.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Me and Julio down by the pylons
The Tennessee run game is offline with Derrick Henry out. Adrian Peterson is a machine, but the drop-off between the two is immense. Further compounding the Titans’ offensive handicaps is the availability of A.J. Brown. Brown was a late addition to the injury report Friday, which is never a good thing for a player’s ability to suit up. Julio Jones, however, wasn’t on the injury report Friday, which means he will be all systems go for Sunday.
In the few games that Jones has played, he has been his usual fantastic self. He's averaging 2.41 yards per route run, nearly the same mark as Brown, which shows that he's been great when he does play. He’s yet to score a TD this season, but that could change Sunday.
The Rams do allow 15 receptions to WRs per game, which, surprisingly, is a Top-5 mark. The Rams’ corners aren’t the tallest, with Dont’e Deayon and Darious Williams both at 5-foot-9 and Jalen Ramsey at 6-foot-1. Jones and his 6-foot-3 frame have a big advantage in the red zone, where the Titans will have to get creative without Henry.
If Brown is ruled out, this +260 TD price will likely fall. Brown is the best offensive weapon the Titans have if, in fact, Brown is ruled out or limited. Sign us up for an anytime TD.
PICK: Julio Jones anytime TD (+260 at DraftKings)
Secondary diversion
At first glance, it may seem difficult to run against the Titans. They've allowed 80.7 rushing yards per game over their last three and held the Colts’ exceptional rushing attack to just 83 yards last week. Teams have been more inclined to pass against this Tennessee team but that doesn’t mean they can’t be beaten on the ground.
The Titans sit 23rd in yards per rush allowed at 4.5 and rank 29th in defensive rush success rate. If Stafford’s back is a problem, we could see a heavy dose of Darrell Henderson, who is averaging 72 yards per game on the ground this season and has averaged 4.74 yards per carry in his last five games.
His rushing total is starting to gain some attention and hit 74.5 quickly after opening at 71.5. He’s topped this number in four of his last five games, is seeing around 80 percent of the snaps in close games and could be asked for 20 touches to take some pressure off of his QB.
With most bettors aiming to fade this Titans secondary, there is some value in hitting this LAR run game.
PICK: Darrell Henderson Over 74.5 rushing yards (-110 at bet365)
Season to date: 53-59 -6.30 units (Risking to win 1 unit per play)
