Week 16 NFL Parlay Picks: Chiefs Put Steelers in Early Hole

This bizarre and altered NFL week has been great thus far, jammed with daily football action and tons of betting opportunities. The action doesn't slow down anytime soon, with 15 games scheduled from Saturday through Monday. 

Amid much pandemic uncertainty, here's a look at my favorite spreads player props and totals I'll be targeting in Week 16.

Week 16 NFL parlay picks

• Taylor Over 102.5 rushing yards (-110) + Allen Under 248.5 passing yards (-110) = +264
• Hurts Over 42.5 rushing yards (-110) + Chiefs first half 3-Way -3 (-140) = +227

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Parlay Pick 1

PARLAY: Jonathan Taylor Over 102.5 rushing yards (-110) + Josh Allen Under 248.5 passing yards (-110) = +264

Jonathan Taylor Over 102.5 rushing yards (-110)

The Arizona Cardinals are fresh off an embarrassing loss to the Detroit Lions, but they return home hoping to bounce back against a legitimate playoff contender in the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts have been led by MVP candidate Jonathan Taylor, who enters Saturday's contest averaging 20.5 yards a carry on the road and has eclipsed 100 yards rushing eight times already this year.

The Cardinals defense are in for a long night trying to slow down Taylor. As a team, the Cardinals have been vulnerable at home on the ground, giving up 129.5 rushing yards a contest and surrendering a very high 4.6 yards a carry. We’re backing Taylor's success to continue as he eclipses the 100-yard mark once again.

Josh Allen Under 248.5 passing yards (-110)

In one of the weekend's most anticipated matchups, the Buffalo Bills travel to New England to take on the Patriots, with the teams sitting first and second in the AFC East. The Patriots defense has been one of the best in the league at preventing big-yardage plays. They have only given up three plays all year of 40 or more yards (for perspective, the Packers and Ravens have given up 13), and the fourth-fewest passing plays of 20 or more yards with 32.

Over their past three contests, the Patriots defense have given up a league-low average of 88.3 passing yards per game. Look for New England to keep things in check and limit Allen’s offense success.

Parlay Pick 2

PARLAY: Jalen Hurts Over 42.5 rushing yards (-110) + Kansas City Chiefs first half handicap 3-way -3 (-140) = +227

Jalen Hurts Over 42.5 rushing yards (-110)

The Philadelphia Eagles lead the league in rushing yards with 2318. They average a strong 5.1 yards per carry and have found the endzone a league-high 21 times with the run. They are also tied for the league lead in rushes of 20 or more yards with 16 total.

The Eagles have two players over the 700-yard rushing mark - quarterback Jalen Hurts and running back Miles Sanders. With Sanders questionable with a quad injury, I expect even more of an impact out of Hurts in the rushing game, going up against a New York Giants defense that surrenders 125 rushing yards per contest.

Kansas City Chiefs first half handicap 3-way -3 (-140)

The Kansas City Chiefs lead the AFC overall with a 10-4 record. They have won seven straight contests and have played well both at home and on the road. On Sunday, they host the Pittsburgh Steelers who are coming in off an impressive victory last week against the Tennessee Titans despite not getting the running game going at all.

The Chiefs rank third in first-quarter points per game, averaging 6.8, and have been strong in the first half overall. Over their past three contests, they average 18.3 first-half points. The same can't be said for the Steelers, who rank 31st in the league in first-half points, averaging 7.2, with that number even lower at 2.0 over their last three. Look for the Chiefs to get out to a quick start early.

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