Week 9 NFL Parlay Picks: Buffalo Stampede First-Half Spread

You would be hard-pressed to find a bigger upset than the Jets outright defeating the Bengals like what happened in Week 8, but with some more huge spreads, maybe we're in store for a similar fate.

Here's a look at my two favorite NFL parlay picks for Week 9.

Week 9 NFL parlay picks

• Cowboys -9.5 (-110) + Ryan over 248.5 passing yards (-110) = +264
• Bills 1H 3-way -7 (-110) + Texans/Dolphins Under 46.5 (-110) = +264

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Parlay Pick 1

PARLAY: Cowboys -9.5 (-110) + Matt Ryan over 248.5 passing yards (-110) = +264

Cowboys -9.5 (-110)

The Dallas Cowboys hope to get Dak Prescott back in the lineup to light up a short-handed Denver Broncos team riddled with injuries, particularly on the defensive side. The Broncos injury report has two safeties, three defensive linemen, and one cornerback questionable, with the other CB placed on the IR. They‘re in for a really long afternoon against a 6-1 Cowboys team who have lit opponents up. 

The Cowboys enter Sunday averaging 32.1 points per game overall, with that number even higher at home at 40.1. They have as balanced of an offensive attack as any team, averaging 152 rushing yards per game and 302.9 passing, both stats good for Top 3 in the NFL. Look for the Cowboys to take care of business and take Denver on the 9.5-point spread.

Matt Ryan over 248.5 passing yards (-110)

The New Orleans Saints lead the league in opponent yards per rush attempt with 3.5. They also rank second in the league in opponent rushing yards at 79.4. The Saints are big favorites in this contest, and rightfully so. With the Falcons expected to be playing from behind and up against one of the league’s top Ds, they may need to rely much heavier on their passing game.

As great as the Saints have been against the run, they have been susceptible to some big yardage plays throughout the air. Take the Over on Matt Ryan’s passing yards of 248.5.

Parlay Pick 2

PARLAY: Bills 1H 3-way -7 (-110) + Texans vs. Dolphins Under 46.5 (-110) = +264

Buffalo Bills 1H 3-way -7 (-110)

It might be a little easier to predict which teams will get out to a fast start with a much larger sample size. The Bills are second in the league in first-half points per game on the road, averaging 19.5. They are up against a Jacksonville Jaguars team prone to slow starts offensively and surrendering 14 first-half points defensively.

The Jags are fresh off a blowout loss, 31-7, where they were held scoreless until the fourth quarter. Expect much of the same early and take the Bills to find offensive success entering halftime with a sizeable lead.

Texans vs Dolphins Under 46.5 (-110)

It’s surprising, to say the least, to see the Miami Dolphins favorites by almost a touchdown here. They enter Sunday averaging 17.2 points per game, ranking them 28th in the league. They also rank in the bottom three in rushing yards, and bottom 10 in passing yards per contest. They host a Houston Texans team that’s last in rushing yards per contest, in the bottom three in passing yards and has been held under 10 points four times already this year.

With both teams struggling, this is a tough game to pick a spread winner, so I’m leaning towards backing Under the game total of 46.5. Expect Miami to put up some points, but look for Houston to help keep this game below the set total. 

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