The road to the Super Bowl begins this weekend with the Wild Card Round. The first half of the round has been lopsided, as C.J. Stroud and the Texans embarrassed the Browns, Kansas City put the freeze (literally) on Miami, and the Packers humbled the Cowboys... in Dallas.
Jared Goff and the Lions survived former Lion Matthew Stafford last night — and we've still got some more incredible storylines left to play out, including the rescheduled Steelers/Bills snow bowl, plus Baker Mayfield filling Tom Brady's shoes as the Bucs host a playoff game vs. the reigning NFC champs.
Covers' team of NFL betting experts — Jason Logan, Josh Inglis, Joe Osborne, and Rohit Ponnaiya — have free NFL picks for each of these matchups, including a best bet and a same-game parlay to play all six contests.
Check out their plays below, with all Wild Card odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
Jason Logan's Browns at Texans picks
Best bet: Devin Singletary Over 63.5 rush yards (-114) ✅
The Browns have given up 65 yards or more to a running back in four of their last seven games, including getting gashed for 80-plus yards in three of those outings, while allowing 5.1 yards per carry over the past three weeks. Singletary has been a beast in the second half of the schedule, averaging 4.5 yards per carry since Week 9 and just shy of 69 yards per game.
Read Jason's full analysis in his Browns vs. Texans predictions.
Same-game parlay
Devin Singletary Over 63.5 rushing yards
Amari Cooper anytime TD
Elijah Moore Over 29.5 receiving yards
Joe Osborne's Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs picks
Best bet: Second-half Under 21.5 points (-110) ✅
The second-half total for this game is well above the average combined score of 14.9 from second halves in Chiefs games this season. That number takes even more of a dip, to 13.8, at Arrowhead, which resulted in all nine home games going Under the second-half total. As for the Dolphins, their offense has been falling asleep in the second half down the stretch as their last four games saw them score just 21 total points in the second half with just one touchdown.
Read Joe Osborne's full analysis in his Dolphins vs. Chiefs predictions.
Same-game parlay
Second-half Under 21.5 points
Dolphins alt-spread +10.5
Dolphins first-half team total over 9.5
Jason Logan's Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys picks
Best bet: Tony Pollard Over 59.5 rushing yards (-114) ❌
Pollard closed the regular-season 70-yard, 17-carry day versus Washington, and he (and the Cowboys' O-line) can keep that momentum moving on the turf versus the Packers. Green Bay finished the campaign ranked 22nd in EPA allowed per handoff and allowed 4.4 yards per carry (23rd) to rival rushers, giving up the 11th-most rushing yards to RBs
Read Jason's full analysis in his Packers vs. Cowboys predictions.
Same-game parlay
Tony Pollard Over 59.5 rushing yards
Dak Prescott Over 1.5 passing TD
CeeDee Lamb anytime TD
Rohit Ponnaiya's Los Angeles Rams at Detroit Lions picks
Best bet: Rams team total Over 24.5 points (+100) ❌
Detroit's defense was 27th in defensive EPA, and 30th in defensive dropback EPA, since Week 7, while the Rams scored 26+ points in six straight games before resting everyone in Week 18 — averaging 31.3 points per game in that span from Weeks 12-17.
Read Rohit Ponnaiya's full analysis in his Rams vs. Lions predictions.
Same-game parlay
Rams team total Over 24.5 points
Kyren Williams Under 82.5 rush yards
Matthew Stafford Over 272.5 pass yards
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Jason Logan's Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills picks
Best bet: Jaylen Warren Over 54.5 rushing + receiving yards (-114)
Warren has averaged 10.4 carries per game over the past 10 contests and faces a Buffalo defense that wrapped the year sitting in the bottom third of most rushing defense metrics, including EPA allowed per run and yards per attempt against. Where his worth — and added value in the combo prop market — comes into play is in the passing playbook: He’s been one of Mason Rudolph’s most popular options, drawing an average of 5.25 targets in the QB’s four games under center for the Steelers.
Read Jason's full analysis in his Steelers vs. Bills predictions.
Same-game parlay
Jaylen Warren Over 32.5 rushing yards
Jaylen Warren Over 18.5 receiving yards
James Cook anytime TD
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Jason Logan's Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers picks
Best bet: Under 43.5 (-110)
In three matchups vs. Bowles and the Buccaneers, Jalen Hurts owns a QB rating of just 63.01, with three touchdown passes to five interceptions while managing 44 rushing yards or less and an average of only 3.96 yards per run. Tampa Bay also allows just over 17 points per game at home, holds foes to the fourth fewest yards per play, and boasts the third-best red zone defense in the land. Adding to the potential for a low-scoring finish in Florida is a forecast calling for rain and thunderstorms all day Monday — and continuing throughout this prime-time kickoff.
Read Jason Logan's full analysis in his Eagles vs. Buccaneers predictions.
Same-game parlay
Under 43.5
Chris Godwin Over 56.4 receiving yards
Jalen Hurts anytime TD
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