Blues vs Wild Game 5 Picks and Predictions: Minnesota Maintains Control

This series started with Minnesota dropping Game 1 at home to St. Louis but it has since wrestled the series back to level. The Wild won't repeat their mistakes in Game 5, with our NHL betting picks liking them to cruise by the Blues.

John Reger - Contributor at Covers.com
John Reger • Contributor
May 10, 2022 • 14:02 ET • 5 min read

The St. Louis Blues come to Xcel Energy Center to try and upset the Minnesota Wild in this pivotal Game 5 on Tuesday. The two teams are knotted up at two wins apiece. 

The Blues won the opener in Minnesota’s building and will try and build on the momentum they got in Sunday’s 5-2 win at home. They are thin in defense, however, and Minnesota will try and exploit the injuries. 

Can the Wild defend at home or will the Blues get the win and take a 3-2 series lead back to St. Louis? Find out in our free NHL picks and predictions for Blues vs. Wild on Tuesday, May 10. 

Blues vs Wild odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Wild opened as the -143 favorite and it has stayed at that number at BetMGM. The Blues began at +118 and the number has ticked up to +130 at several sportsbooks. The Over has not budged from 6.5, with the Over at -105 at PointsBet and the Under at -106.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until puck drop and be sure to check out the full NHL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Blues vs Wild predictions

Predictions made on 5/10/2022 at 1:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Blues vs Wild game info

Location: Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul, MN
Date: Tuesday, May 10, 2022
Puck drop: 9:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Blues vs Wild series odds

Blues: +130.
Wild: -150.

Blues vs Wild betting preview

Key injuries

Blues: MacKenzie MacEachern LW (Out), Marco Scandella D (Out), Robert Bortuzzo D (Questionable), Nick Leddy D (Questionable), Torey Krug D (Out).
Wild: No key injuries to report.
Find our latest NHL injury reports.

Blues vs Wild head-to-head record

Blues: 8-1-2 SU, 47 goals for.
Wild: 3-6-2 SU, 36 goals for.

Betting trend to know

The home team is 7-3 in the last two meetings between the Blues and Wild. Find more NHL betting trends for Blues vs. Wild.

Blues vs Wild picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

Though the series between the St. Louis Blues and Minnesota Wild is tied at 2-2, none of the four games have been close. They have all been decided by three or more goals. 

It is not likely that we will see a close game Tuesday night. The two teams are offensively minded and have been showing that in this series. 

The Blues were third in the regular season in goals for average at 3.77, while the Wild were fifth at 3.72. Both teams have been lower than their season average in the playoffs. The Blues are at 3.00, while the Wild are at 3.25. 

As expected, it’s the first lines of both teams that are doing the heavy lifting. The Blues’ first line of Brayden Schenn, Ryan O’Reilly, and David Perron account for eight of the team’s 12 goals and six of the 20 assists. 

The Wild are equally top-heavy. Their first line of Kirill Kaprizov, Ryan Hartman, and Mats Zuccarello has six of the team’s 13 goals and eight of 19 assists. 

One player that hasn’t lived up to his regular-season numbers, however, is forward Kevin Fiala. The second-line left winger has not scored a goal or had an assist so far in the playoffs. That’s a big difference from the regular season, when he was third in goals with 33 and third in assists with 52. 

Fiala’s linemates, Frederick Gaudreau and Matthew Boldy, both have a goal. If the second line can get some production from Fiala the Wild will be even more potent than they already are. 

Prediction: Wild moneyline (-143 at BetMGM

Over/Under analysis

The Over has hit in two of the four games, missing by 2.5 goals and 0.5 goals in the two Unders. 

Both of these teams can score, so it would be up to the defenses to try and slow them down. 

That hasn’t happened and I don’t think it will again on Tuesday night. St. Louis has had injury issues on its blueline. Subsequently, the Blues have given up 13 goals in three games. 

Torey Krug and Marco Scandella are both out. Nick Leddy and Robert Bortuzzo are questionable for Game 5. If Leddy and Bortuzzo can’t play, the Blues would have to bring someone up from the minors. 

Another issue is goalie Jordan Binnington. He played well in Game 4, but can he repeat that performance if he plays as expected. Binnington lost the starting job to Ville Husso. 

Binnington has been inconsistent, which is why he lost the starting job. It is definitely possible he doesn’t have the same performance Tuesday night. 

The Over is 5-1 in the team’s last six meetings in Minnesota. Expect that trend to continue.

Prediction: Over 6.5 (-105 at PointsBet)  

Best bet

Not one game has been within two goals and I don’t think Tuesday’s game will be any different. Both of these two teams are offensive-minded, but I like the Wild to win by two or more goals for a couple of reasons. 

The first is they are at home. After being shocked in Game 1 at home, the Wild followed it up with a dominating 6-2 victory. 

The second factor I like is that the Blues’ defense is depleted. With injuries to Torey Krug, Nick Leddy, Marco Scandella, and Robert Bortuzzo, no matter who can suit up they are not going to be 100%. 

I also don’t like Binnington in net for them. Yes, he had a good game for them on Sunday, but there’s a reason he lost his starting job. If he does play Tuesday, look for some serious regression. 

Wild goalie Marc-Andre Fleury has been solid, with a goals against average of 2.76 and a save percentage of .914. 

The Wild should be able to hold the Blues in check and get another victory of two or more goals in this back-and-forth series.

Pick: Wild -1.5 (+165 at DraftKings

NHL parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NHL Blues vs. Wild picks, you could win $77.92 on a $10 bet?

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John Reger - Covers
Contributor

John Reger has been covering professional sports for more than 30 years. Some of the events he has attended are the NCAA basketball championships, The Masters, Rose Bowl, MLB, NHL, and NBA playoffs. He has taken that knowledge and has applied it to sports betting writing for the last 10 years.

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