Capitals vs Senators Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Ottawa's Offense Can't Be Tamed

With Ottawa looking the part early on and Washington set to take a step back in 2023, find out why we're expecting the Sens to continue to show their offensive prowess tonight. Chris Faria breaks it all down in our Capitals vs. Senators betting picks.

Chris Faria - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst
Oct 18, 2023 • 16:55 ET • 4 min read

Brady Tkachuk will look to lead his Ottawa Senators to their third straight win when they play host to the Washington Capitals tonight at Canadian Tire Centre. 

Washington earned its first victory of the season on Monday but has been slow out of the gate potting just two goals through its first two games.

Will the Caps offense wake up in Ottawa or will the Sens continue to roll on home ice? Find out as break down the latest NHL odds in our NHL picks for Capitals vs. Senators on Wednesday, October 18.

Capitals vs Senators odds

Capitals vs Senators predictions

The Ottawa Senators picked up an impressive win on Sunday, defeating the Lightning 5-2 thanks to a two-goal, three-point performance from captain Brady Tkachuk and a multi-point effort from offseason signing Vladimir Tarasenko.

Ottawa has been firing on all cylinders offensively to start the season, scoring five goals in back-to-back contests while averaging 4.33 goals per game, tied for the second-best mark in the league.

However, things haven’t been going as smoothly for the Washington Capitals, who were shut out by the Penguins in their season opener. Washington did manage to claw a victory over Calgary on Monday, though, skating to a 3-2 win in the shootout as goaltender Darcy Kuemper stopped 38 of 40 shots.

Tkachuk (5 points), Jakub Chychrun (4 points), Tarasenko (4 points), and four others are producing at least a point per game to start the season for the Sens, who look to be boasting one of the NHL’s deepest offenses this year.

With Ottawa scoring five goals in two straight games and recording at least four tallies in four of its last six meetings against Washington, I’ll look for an impressive Sens offense to stay hot and hit the Over on 3.5 goals as my best bet tonight.

My best bet: Senators Over 3.5 goals (-125 at SIA)

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Capitals vs Senators same-game parlay

Senators Over 3.5 goals

Senators moneyline

Brady Tkachuk anytime goalscorer

We’ll lock in on the Senators for tonight’s same-game parlay, taking Ottawa to cash the Over on 3.5 goals and win, while also banking on Tkachuk to score a goal.

The Caps have historically enjoyed success in this matchup, winning seven of their last 10 meetings against the Sens, but times have changed. Ottawa is looking like one of the better up-and-coming teams in the league while Washington is slowing down, so I’ll give the edge to the Senators in this matchup pretty much every time.

Tkachuk has netted two goals in back-to-back outings and co-leads the team with 14 shots on net, so he’s got as good of a chance as anyone to score tonight.

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Capitals vs Senators moneyline and Over/Under analysis

The Senators enter tonight’s game as the home favorite at -150 on the moneyline while the total opened at 6.5 goals. 

Ottawa has missed the playoffs for six straight years but looks to finally be finished with its rebuild after adding plenty of talent over the past couple of years with names. Meanwhile, Washington has completely gone the other way with an aging core led by 38-year-old Alex Ovechkin, who really doesn’t have much support around him. 

That said, I think we’ll see the Senators carry the play tonight so I am definitely giving them the edge in this one.

These clubs have generally played higher-scoring games with the Over cashing in six of their last nine meetings. The Over is 2-0-1 in Ottawa’s three games to start this season and while Washington has had a slow start offensively this year, the Over is 13-5 in its last 18 contests dating back to last season.

The Caps will likely need to have their best offensive game of the season to get this game to cash the Over, but I have faith that they can pull it off.

Capitals vs Senators betting trend to know

The Over is 13-2-2 in Ottawa’s last 17 home games. Find more NHL betting trends for Capitals vs. Senators.

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Capitals vs Senators game info

Location: Canadian  Tire Center, Ottawa, ON
Date: Wednesday, October 18, 2023
Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: SN, RDS

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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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