Memorial Tournament Picks, Odds, and Field: Live at Muirfield VIllage Golf Club

The next stop on the PGA Tour is Jack's Tournament at Muirfield VIllage Golf Club and it's a star-studded field. Our PGA expert has combed through the odds and has found two players with plenty of value to find the winner's circle on Sunday.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Jun 6, 2024 • 13:51 ET • 4 min read
Justin Thomas PGA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The best of the best have gathered at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, OH for the Memorial Tournament, and World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler opened as the betting favorite in the golf odds.

This marks the ninth signature event of the PGA Tour season, and the field is reduced to 72 players. Here are our free golf picks and live odds for the Memorial at Jack’s Place.

Best 2024 Memorial Tournament picks

Picks made on 6-3, 2024

Odds to win the 2024 Memorial Tournament

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Memorial Tournament picks and predictions

Justin Thomas to win outright (+3,000)

This will be the 10th trip to Muirfield Village for Thomas, and he has a pair of Top 10 results on his resume at the track. The 15-time PGA Tour winner also enters in strong form with a T8 at the PGA Championship where he gained true strokes everywhere but on the greens. He also ranks third in true strokes tee-to-green in this field across his past 47 measured rounds. 

I’m expecting a few more putts to fall for Thomas this week, and there’s also a nice edge in the available odds. He’s priced at +2,500 at multiple shops, so the +3,000 FanDuel odds carry a positive expected value of 18% compared to the +2,500 number. I’ve also bet Thomas to finish Top 20, and DraftKings has it priced at -110.

Pick: Justin Thomas to win outright (+3,000 at FanDuel)
Pick: Justin Thomas Top 20 (-110 at DraftKings)

Keegan Bradley to win outright (+7,000)

Bradley is coming off a strong T2 finish at the Charles Schwab two weeks ago, and he ranks 13th in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green, including seventh on approaches. This will also be the 14th time Bradley has teed it up at Muirfield Village. He’s played the weekend in eight trips and has flashed the past two years before poor final rounds. Bradley’s best finishes at the Memorial were consecutive T8 finishes in the 2015 and 2016 editions.

This is another bet to shop for. BetMGM is listing Bradley at just +5,000 to win this week. Compared to the +7,000 FanDuel offering the difference checks out as a positive expected value of 42%. I also recommend a Top 20 ticket for Bradley, and the best odds are +170 through DraftKings.

Pick: Keegan Bradley to win outright (+7,000 at FanDuel, 0.25 units)
Pick: Keegan Bradley Top 20 (+170 at DraftKings)

Memorial Tournament field and favorites

After a stop in Canada over the weekend, the stars are back out to play with the Memorial Tournament Top 3 odds loaded with talent. Scottie Scheffler is back in action and unsurprisingly favored in the +350 range following a T2 finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge. Scheffler finished a stroke back in this tournament last year and will look to get back in the winner's circle this weekend.

Coming in second depends on the book you use, as some have Rory McIlroy while others have PGA Championship winner Xander Schauffele. Both currently sit in the +700 to +900 range. This will mark Schauffele's first appearance since winning in Kentucky a couple of weeks ago, while Rory finished T4 in Canada over the weekend.

Collin Morikawa (+1,400) and Ludvig Aberg (+1,600) fill out the Top 5, while last year's winner Viktor Hovland is currently right on the edge at +1,800.

Memorial Tournament recent winners and odds history

Here are the recent Memorial Tournament winners and their closing odds to win:

Year Winner Closing Odds
2023 Viktor Hovland +2,000
2022 Billy Horschel N/A
2021 Patrick Cantlay +2,000
2020 Jon Rahm +2,000
2019 Patrick Cantlay +1,400
2018 Bryson DeChambeau +4,000
2017 Jason Dufner +6,000
2016 Field (William McGirt) +350
2015 Field (David Lingmerth) +300

Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.

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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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