We’ve got five Premier League games on Saturday and the final match sees Aston Villa welcoming Tottenham Hotspur to Villa Park. Spurs have won three on the bounce in the Premier League and go into the weekend in control of that fourth Champions League spot.
Can Steven Gerrard’s Aston Villa spoil the Spurs run or will Antonio Conte’s Tottenham be too hard to stop? Don’t miss our Aston Villa vs. Tottenham Hotspur picks and predictions for April 9.
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Aston Villa vs Tottenham match odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Compare EPL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Aston Villa vs Tottenham betting tips
Predictions made on 4/08/2022 at 9:10 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Aston Villa vs Tottenham game info
• Location: Villa Park, Birmingham, England
• Date: Saturday, April 9, 2022
• Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• TV: DAZN
Aston Villa vs Tottenham betting preview
Weather
Fortunately for supporters at the game, there’ll be no rain, but we’ll rarely see the sun poking through the clouds. Temperatures will be around 45 degrees at the time of kick-off, which is 5:30pm local time.
Injuries
Aston Villa: Marvelous Nakamba DM (Out), Danny Ings STR (Questionable), Lucas Digne LB (Questionable), Kortney Hause CB (Questionable).
Tottenham: Japhet Tanganga CB/RB (Out), Oliver Skipp CM (Out), Ryan Sessegnon LB (Questionable).
Aston Villa vs Tottenham predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Side analysis
The final Premier League game on Saturday sees Tottenham travelling to the midlands to face Aston Villa, knowing that they need to keep on winning if they want to keep their grip on that fourth spot in the league table, which would bring them qualification for the Champions League next season.
Going into this game, 18 points split the two teams and both are now on an upward trajectory after managerial changes across the season, with Steven Gerrard and Antonio Conte replacing the previous managers at both clubs.
When Gerrard walked into the job at Villa Park, he had a swagger and confidence which saw the team gel together. That, combined with the signing of Phillipe Coutinho, saw the club enter a new era where it felt like they were capable of anything. Gerrard’s time has generally been good at Villa, but we have to acknowledge that they’ve lost three Premier League games in a row, which makes it important to stop the rot soon, or a small streak could go on to become something more worrying.
Spurs are on a streak of their own, winning four of their past five in the league, in the process taking advantage of a slip by their rivals Arsenal to force themselves into the battle for fourth. If you’ve read any of my recent articles previewing Spurs games, you’ll know how much I love their January singings of Dejan Kulusevski and Rodrigo Bentancur, with both players making their own impact while also elevating those around them.
Kulusevski, in particular, looks like a contender for signing of the season with the young Swede completing that three-pronged attack alongside Son Heung-Min and Harry Kane. Those three will form the attack once again on Saturday, and they really have been remarkable. Kane and Son have combined for 26 goals and 12 assists, with Kulusevski adding another two goals and five assists since his January arrival.
Behind the front two of Man City and Liverpool, there is nobody in the league with an attack quite as good as Spurs right now, with Kane displaying the form that saw him linked with a move to Manchester last summer. Spurs’ 3-2-3 should set up quite nicely against Villa’s 4-3-1, but it’ll be a tough ask for Villa given Spurs form and their relatively light injury list.
Villa too are fairly lucky with injuries currently, with only Lucas Digne the only player sidelined who would be a guaranteed starter. It’s expected that Douglas Luiz will return to the lineup and that will be crucial if Villa are to have any chance of beating Spurs, where they’ll need the Brazilian, alongside John McGinn and Jacob Ramsey, to use their numbers to minimize the impact of Bentancur and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg.
Aston Villa have been poor recently, losing three games on the bounce, while Spurs come into this on a hot streak. Spurs also have a great record at Villa Park, winning their past seven away games here, keeping five clean sheets in that time.
It’s not often that something is a lock in the Premier League, and I wouldn’t quite go that far here, but odds of +125 are very attractive given the recent records of both teams.
Prediction: Spurs (+125)
Over/Under analysis
Taking a look at the stats as we come into the Over/Under market for this game, we can see that Over 2.5 goals has landed in 64.3% of Aston Villa’s home games with the team often finding the scoresheet as well as giving up goals too.
Spurs have been very high-scoring recently, with that front three not shy in front of goal. In their past four games, they’ve given up at least a goal in the process too, meaning that Over 2.5 goals has landed in five of their past six in the Premier League. FanDuel are offering -110 on the Over, basically a pick’em, which is well worth taking.
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals (-110)
Best bet
One market that really leaps out when looking at this game is backing Spurs to win, but both teams to score. We’ve gone into the reasons above why Spurs should win this game, and you can trust their fearsome attack to create a lot of chances in front of goal. Spurs have scored 52 goals in the Premier League this season, the fourth-highest total, but as mentioned above, they’ve also allowed at least one goal in their past four games.
When these two met in October, we saw Spurs win 2-1, and although a lot has changed with the two teams since then, I’d expect a similar result again on Saturday. Despite having been on a poor run of late, it’s worth noting that they managed to score in two of their past three defeats. They’re more than capable of causing Tottenham problems, and I’d expect them to score but ultimately fail to keep up with Spurs and their on-form forward line.
Pick: Spurs to win and both teams to score (+333)
