Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Picks and Predictions: Offenses Will Be on Fire in Hotlanta

Oddsmakers have essentially pegged this Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union tilt as a pick 'em on the three-way line, and it's a tough outcome to call. But our soccer betting picks are confident that both teams' offenses will be in sync this Sunday.

Tom Oldfield - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Tom Oldfield • Betting Analyst
Jul 1, 2023 • 20:46 ET • 4 min read
Atlanta United MLS
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Two free-scoring Eastern Conference contenders go head-to-head on Sunday as Atlanta United FC welcome the Philadelphia Union to Mercedes-Benz Stadium. 

Philadelphia has been one of MLS’ steadiest teams this year, with just one loss in its last 12 league games, and the Union flexed their muscles with a 4-1 win over Inter Miami last weekend.

A 6-3-1 home record this year suggests that Atlanta is heading in the right direction, but a 4-0 thumping on the road against the New York Red Bulls put the Five Stripes’ defensive flaws in the spotlight again.

Read more in our free Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union picks and predictions for a closer look at this Sunday, July 2 showdown.

Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union best odds

Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union picks and predictions

Buckle up for a battle of two potent scoring teams on Sunday afternoon. When it comes to Atlanta United, that could be at either end. The Five Stripes only have a +2 goal differential on the year despite leading the league with 38 goals scored.

The hosts’ last three games have all featured four goals, and their prior five contests at Mercedes-Benz Stadium have cashed the Over on 3.5 total goals.

The Philadelphia Union bring plenty of scoring form into this matchup too, netting 10 times in their four games this month, capped by a clinical four-goal show in Miami despite only 31% possession when last seen on June 24.

All of Philadelphia’s June contests hit the Over on 2.5 total goals, and they’re primed for another productive outing here against Atlanta’s shaky back line.

With both defenses likely to be under pressure from top-notch offenses, I’m predicting a high-scoring battle and grabbing this Over.

My best bet: Over 2.5 Goals (-140 at FanDuel)

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Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union side analysis

As good as Atlanta’s home form has been, the Union are a resilient, organized side that knows how to grind out results. With a strong June following an unbeaten league record in May, Philadelphia has the look of a true contender in the East.

MLS odds have the hosts pegged as narrow favorites, but you can find plus odds for all three outcomes.

Atlanta is unbeaten in its last four home games and will again lean on Georgios Giakoumakis (10 goals) to spearhead a prolific attack. But the Union won all three of their road games in May and dug deep to rally back for a 2-2 draw with Orlando City in their last away fixture.

Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Over/Under analysis

If any two MLS teams are poised to serve up an open, attacking contest, it’s these two. Atlanta’s 38-goal tally leads the league, and Philadelphia isn’t far behind.

I’ve already picked the Over on 2.5 goals, and this past weekend was a case in point: Atlanta leaked four goals against the Red Bulls and the Union put four past Inter Miami.

Julian Carranza bagged his 10th goal of the year last time out for the Union, and Philadelphia has scored in its past seven outings.

While the hosts have the attacking talent to break down even the best defenses, they’ve allowed six goals in their last two games at the other end.

Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union game info

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Date: Sunday, July 2, 2023
Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union key injuries

Atlanta United: Santiago Sosa M (Questionable)
Philadelphia Union: Kai Wagner D (Out), Andres Perea M (Out)

Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union weather

The forecast calls for hot, humid conditions in Atlanta on Sunday, with temperatures climbing into the low 90s at kick-off.

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Tom Oldfield - Covers
Betting Analyst

Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as (thrillingly!) covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast.

A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.

As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.

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