Brighton vs Wolves Predictions and Picks: Ride the Home Side in High-Scoring Showcase

Brighton has been a force at home this season and Sam Farley doesn't expect that to change when Joao Paulo & Co. welcome Wolves to Amex Stadium on Monday. Read more in our Brighton vs. Wolves betting picks.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Jan 20, 2024 • 17:38 ET • 4 min read
Joao Pedro Brighton EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The concluding Premier League fixture for this matchweek unfolds on Monday at the Amex, featuring a clash between Brighton and Wolves.

With just three points separating the teams, both find themselves comfortably positioned in midtable. Brighton has secured victory in only one of their last three matches, while Wolves are riding a three-game winning streak in the Premier League.

Can Brighton extend their lead over Wolves and push towards the European spots in the Premier League? Don’t miss our Brighton vs Wolves picks and predictions to find out.

Brighton vs Wolves best odds

EPL predictions for Brighton vs Wolves

There’s nothing better than a Premier League game under the floodlights, and Monday provides a real treat with Brighton hosting Wolves at the Amex. The two teams are close in proximity when it comes to the Premier League standings, with Monday’s hosts three points clear of the visitors in the table. 

While Brighton are dealing with several key players missing, Wolves are also sans Hwang Hee-Chan and Rayan Ait-Nouri, with both away on international duty.

Brighton boasts an impressive track record against Wolves, having secured victories in their last four head-to-head games, to go along with an impressive total of 16 goals during that stretch. The earlier clash this season saw Brighton emerge triumphant with a 4-1 scoreline, and in the fixture last April, they dominated with a resounding 6-0 win at the Amex.

Wolves have struggled on the road this season, winning only three out of their first 10 away games, while Brighton has suffered just one defeat in front of their home fans in the Premier League.

I’m also backing Over 2.5 goals as it's cashed in 10 of Wolves’ past 12 EPL games and 70% of Brighton’s league games at the Amex this season.

My best bet: Brighton moneyline and Over 2.5 goals (+115 at TonyBet)

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Brighton vs Wolves same-game parlay

Brighton moneylne

Over 2.5 goals

Joao Pedro to score or assist

Brighton has won their last two meetings against Wolves and should add another victory to that list here.

Next, we're opting for Over 2.5 goals. Brighton has surpassed this mark in 70% of their home games this season, while Wolves have achieved it in 70% of their matches, both at home and on the road. Additionally, Brighton has displayed some defensive vulnerabilities, with 18 out of 20 Premier League games seeing their opponents find the scoresheet.

To conclude our SGP, we're banking on Brighton's Joao Pedro to either score or assist. Pedro has had an impressive year for Brighton, netting 15 goals in all competitions and contributing two helpers. Pedro's ability to find dangerous positions on the field makes him a threat to either score or set up his teammates.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Brighton vs Wolves side and Over/Under analysis

I believe Brighton will come out on top in this match, but the odds at -159 don't offer much value. The total goals market also has relatively short prices, with Over 2.5 goals at listed -161 and Under 2.5 at +130.

The unfavorable odds for both Brighton to win and Over 2.5 goals are why I've chosen to abstain from betting on either individually. Instead, I've placed a wager on both outcomes parlayed, which presents better value for Monday's match.

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Brighton vs Wolves game info

Location: Amex Stadium, Brighton, England
Date: Monday, January 22, 2024
Time: 2:45 p.m. ET
TV: DAZN
Weather: 46F, 24mph winds, 0% POP

Brighton vs Wolves key injuries

Brighton: Joel Veltman RB (Out), Julio Enciso CAM (Out), Tariq Lamptey RB (Out), Ansu Fati FWR (Out), Kaoru Mitoma FWR (Out), Simon Adingra MID (Out), Solly March RW (Out), Igor Julio CB (Questionable).
Wolves: Joao Gomes DM (Out), Hwang Hee-Chan FWR (Out), Rayan Ait-Nouri LWB (Out), Boubacar Traore CM (Out).

Brighton vs Wolves recent league form

Teams Recent Premier League Form
Brighton Brighton D-W-D-L-D
Wolves Wolves W-W-W-L-D

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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