Netherlands vs Czech Republic Euro 2020 Tips and Predictions: Flying Dutchmen

The Netherlands were one of the most dominant teams in the group stage and can continue to cruise in their Round of 16 tie with the Czech Republic. Can the Czechs challenge the flying Dutch? Check out our tips and predictions.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jun 24, 2021 • 16:10 ET • 5 min read
Frenkie de Jong Netherlands national soccer team Euros
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Euro 2020 enters the Round of 16 this weekend with the Netherlands and the Czech Republic facing off on Sunday.

The Dutch flew through group play and are expected to keep rolling with Euro 2020 betting lines installing them as -154 favorites for Sunday's contest at Ferenc Puskás Stadium in Hungary. A Czech victory pays out at +450 with the draw play at +290.

Here are our best free Netherlands vs. Czech Republic tips and predictions for soccer action on Sunday, June 27. 

Game info

Location: Puskás Aréna, Budapest, Hungary
Date: Sunday, June 27, 2021
Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN, TSN

Netherlands vs Czech Republic betting tips

  • ML Netherlands (-154)
  • Over 2.5 (-110)

Read on for complete analysis

Netherlands vs Czech Republic match odds

Netherlands: -154
Czech Republic: +425
Draw: +290

Total: 2.5
Over 2.5: -110
Under 2.5: -110

Odds as of June 24, 2021, at 3:30 p.m. ET.

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Euro 2020 sharp money and line movement report

By Patrick Everson

As of 11 a.m. ET, an hour before match time, PointsBet USA has the three-way moneyline at Netherlands -176/Czech Republic +475/Draw +290. Bettors aren't backing off the favorite, with the Dutch side attracting 93 percent of tickets and 95 percent of dollars. The Czechs are seeing just 3 percent of tickets and money, and Draw is getting 4 percent of tickets/2 percent of cash. The total is at 2.5 (Over -125), with ticket count and money just beyond 2/1 on the Over.

Netherlands vs Czech Republic betting preview

Weather

It's expected to be a hot and sunny day in Budapest with temperatures reaching 87 degrees Fahrenheit. 

Key injuries

Netherlands: Luuk de Jong (Out).
Czech Republic: Jan Boril (Out), Lukáš Provod (Out).

Matchup

Netherlands   Czech Republic
16 World Ranking 40
8 Goals For 3
2 Goals Against 2
3-0 W vs. North Macedonia Previous Game 1-0 L vs. England
Frenkie de Jong Player to Watch Patrik Schick

Netherlands vs Czech Republic predictions

Moneyline pick

The Netherlands used to be a football powerhouse but failed to qualify for both the 2016 European Championship and the 2018 World Cup. However, with a young squad led by Frank de Boer, the Dutch look poised for a resurgence.

They went 6-1-1 during Euro qualifiers with their lone defeat coming against Germany, a side they would defeat 4-2 later that year. Netherlands steamrolled their competition in Group C, going 3-0-0 and scoring eight goals while conceding two. 

The Czech Republic had a tougher time in a more competitive Group D, beating Scotland 2-0 and drawing with Croatia but losing to England. The Czechs have imposing size that they can take advantage of on set pieces, but when it comes to open play, they are less impressive. 

The Netherlands are more creative in the midfield and have the pace to get behind the Czech backline. Meanwhile, the Czech attack simply doesn't have the firepower to keep pace with the Oranje. Expect the Dutch to keep flying. 

PREDICTION: ML Netherlands (-154)

Over/Under pick

De Boer has certainly come under fire for his use of a 3-4-1-2 shape as opposed to the 4-3-3 attacking setup that the Dutch used in the Golden Days. However, the Dutch have played with plenty of attacking flair in this tournament, thanks in large part to outside back Denzel Dumfries. 

The Oranje have scored at least two goals in ten straight international matches and the last time they were held under that number they scored one goal against Italy. Considering that Italy hasn't conceded a single goal in 10 matches since, we'll try not to hold that against the Netherlands.

That said, with such a fluid and open attack there are always questions in defense, and the Dutch having to play this tournament without their best defender in Virgil van Djik is a tough pill to swallow. The Czechs will be missing a key defender of their own on Sunday, with Jan Boril serving a suspension after a yellow card against England.

Eight of the Netherlands' last 10 matches have gone above the total and the Over 2.5 goals also cashed in seven of the Czech Republic's eight Euro Qualifiers.

PREDICTION: Over 2.5 (-110)

Picks made on 6/24/2021 at 3:30 p.m. ET

Euro 2020 betting sites

As a signature tournament for the most popular sport in the world, almost every online sportsbook and betting site will offer odds for Euro 2020. Check out the best soccer betting sites available where you live.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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