The blockbuster between Portugal and France will have pulses racing throughout planet football. Led by a so far languid Kylian Mbappe, France look to take advantage of the visible issues in Portugal's teamplay and progress into the semifinals.
My Portugal vs. France predictions believe Les Bleus' pragmatic approach will prevail, despite both squads screaming class no matter what lineups the two managers decide to use. Get all the details and much more in my Euro 2024 picks!
Portugal vs France picks, predictions, and betting tips
My best bet:
France to advance (-154 at Betano)
My analysis
France form a realistic, strong, and resourceful unit. It's hard to see Portugal survive in front of Deschamps' team, should they offer a similar approach to their previous two. The French can switch tactics easily and have multiple world-class players to choose from.
Mbappe hasn't reached his best form yet in this tournament and only netted once — from the penalty spot — against Poland. He's bothered by the protection mask he needs to wear after breaking his nose vs. Austria, but when you say his name, you mean danger in front of the opposite goal.
France haven't scored from open play so far at Euro 2024, but given the fact Mbappe has the likes of Griezmann and Thuram alongside him, it seems only a matter of time before they finally punish.
Portugal had 21 attempts on target so far at Euro 2024 compared to France's 16. Portugal also enjoyed the highest number of attacks in the tournament at 306, with France fourth in the charts with 232. Diogo Costa had to make just six saves in his four games so far, with Maignan involved in twice as many.
France's latent form shouldn't trick you. They have many ways of troubling opponents, and they're expected to show it once more when they face Portugal.
Kylian Mbappe odds, prop for today
My best bet
2+ shots on target (+118 at Betano)
My analysis
Mbappe is desperate to improve his stats at the Euros as he's only scored once over two editions.
Despite not playing vs Netherlands, he is second in the total number of attempts in the tournament (15), only behind Cristiano Ronaldo (20), who also played a game more than Mbappe. Kylian has six shots on target so far and is the danger man in France's team and a return of +118 to see him trouble Diogo Costa at least twice during the game vs. Portugal is totally worth considering.
Portugal vs France same-game parlay (SGP)
France to qualify
Kylian Mbappe 2+ shots on target
Over 3.5 corners in second half
These two teams know each other to perfection, but France should profit from their pragmatic approach and exploit Portugal's issues at the back. Mbappe is needed, and he's a big match player, so this could serve as the perfect scene for a match to remember at Euro 2024.
Things are expected to heat up in the second half, given what's at stake in this big Euro 2024 confrontation. There should be action at both ends, with the premises set for events in the two boxes. A bet on over 3.5 corners to complete a nice SGP looks to do the trick.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Portugal vs France odds
| Portugal | France | |
|---|---|---|
| +230 | Moneyline | +155 |
| Over 2.5 (+135) | Total | Under 2.5 (-167) |
| +205 | Draw | +205 |
Odds courtesy of Betano on 7-4.
Portugal vs France game info
| Location: | Volksparkstadion, Hamburg, Germany |
| Date: | Friday, July 5, 2024 |
| Time: | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FOX |
| Weather: | Sunny and dry conditions. |
Not intended for use in MA.
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