Manchester City vs Newcastle Picks and Predictions: Fireworks at the Etihad

Manchester City may be the odds on favorite to defend their Premier League title but Newcastle may have something to say about it here today. Our soccer expert is expecting a high-scoring fixture that will make soccer fans salivate.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Aug 17, 2023 • 19:01 ET • 4 min read
Erling Haaland Manchester City EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Saturday’s final Premier League game sees Man City hosting Newcastle in a fascinating battle. These are two of the very best teams in the Premier League, with great resources but also, and more importantly great coaching. Man City won the European Super Cup midweek but will they have a hangover ahead of this game on Saturday?

It’s going to be a hugely exciting game but the big question is who will come out on top. Premier League odds give the edge to Manchester City.

Don’t miss our Manchester City vs Newcastle United free picks and predictions.

Manchester City vs Newcastle best odds

Manchester City vs Newcastle picks and predictions

There are five Premier League games on Saturday with Manchester City vs Newcastle being the finale. This sees last season’s Premier League champions and treble winners hosting Newcastle, who finished fourth after a hugely impressive season. In many ways Man City vs Newcastle is the embodiment of the Premier League in 2023, they’re two very popular teams, with petro-state ownership who are duelling it out at the top of the English game.

Both come into the game in fine form too. Man City opened the new Premier League season with a difficult road trip to Burnley to face Vincent Kompany’s team under the floodlights and they won 3-0, starting quickly and putting Burnley to the sword. They followed that up by lifting the UEFA Super Cup on Wednesday, beating Sevilla on penalties having finished 1-1 after 90 minutes.

Newcastle had an even better start to their campaign beating Aston Villa, a team tipped to be finishing in or around the top six of the Premier League, 5-1. A five goal victory is a real statement of intent against any team in this division but to do it against Unai Emery’s Villa team was a real warning to the rest of the league.

What we saw in both games is that both Man City and Newcastle have brilliant attacking options at their disposal, which brings us to our best bet for Saturday’s game, which is for both teams to score. 

Afterall, these two teams are packed with great attacking talent. We know all about Erling Haaland and City’s tasty midfielders but Newcastle also have some great goalscorers in Alexander Isak and Callum Wilson. 

We’ve seen both teams give up goals in recent days, with Newcastle giving up a goal to Villa in their 5-1 win and Sevilla managing to net against Man City. It’s not an exact science to look back at games from last year but it’s worth noting that in the two Premier League meetings between the teams, Man City scored five and Newcastle scored three.

Also, if we look back at last year’s Premier League season we can see that both teams scored in a surprisingly high 63.2% of Man City’s games at the Etihad. Given the quality they have at the back, it’s worth flagging that they do give their opponents chances — including Burnley who managed six shots on goal in the season opener. When Newcastle were on the road we saw BTTS land in 63.2% of games including six of their final seven away games.

These are two great teams, packed with attacking stars and coached by smart offensive minds. Both teams to score may only come in at -133 but it feels like a smart wager.

My best betBoth teams to score (-133 at Bet365)

Manchester City vs Newcastle same-game parlay

Manchester City moneyline

Alexander Isak anytime goal

Erling Haaland anytime goal

We have a +1400 Same-Game Parlay for Man City vs Newcastle and it’s one which feels like it’s in with a real shot.

As is customary in these articles we start with our best bet which is both teams to score, but the other legs in this bet feature players on either side to score, making that market irrelevant, so instead we are backing Man City to win. They are still in my view the best team on the planet and despite Newcastle progressing they aren’t yet at that level.

Now onto the final two legs: the goalscorers. For Manchester City we’re backing that man, Erling Haaland. You probably don’t need me to tell you why but this is a man who scored 36 goals in 35 Premier League games last season and banged in another 12 in the Champions League. He’s the best finisher on the planet and we have to back him to score after his brace on the opening day of the Premier League season.

Finally we’ll also be backing Newcastle’s Swedish striker Alexander Isak to bag a goal. He scored twice against Aston Villa last week, starting the season as well as he ended the last. In his opening season he scored 10 in 22 Premier League appearances and should improve on that this term.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site
.

Manchester City vs Newcastle spread and Over/Under analysis

The -145 available on Man City isn’t a bad price and given their dominance in recent years I couldn’t advise against it. That said I feel there’s better value in either BTTS or the Total Goals market for this one. If you fancy the draw you can grab +320 or alternatively a large +400 on the away win for Newcastle.

You’re getting -135 on Over 2.5 and +120 on the Under. I see both teams scoring in this game and I’m also pretty confident that we see a winner, meaning Over 2.5 goals in total.

Best EPL bonuses

Looking to bet on EPL action? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:

A) New users at BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in bonus bets if your first bet doesn’t win! Sign Up Now

B) Correctly predict six EPL scores at bet365, and win up to $100,000 each week! Sign Up Now

*Eligible USA locations only. Also, check out our full list of best soccer betting sites for 2023.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Manchester City vs Newcastle game info

Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England
Date: Saturday, August 19, 2023
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: Peacock Premium, fubo TV, Sling Blue, Hulu + Live TV
Weather: Temperatures will be around 70 degrees at kickoff and it’s expected to be dry with rainfall in the morning.

Manchester City vs Newcastle key injuries

Manchester City: Kevin De Bruyne CAM (Out), Bernardo Silva CAM (Questionable)
Newcastle: Emil Krafth RB (Out), Joe Willock CM (Questionable)

Manchester City vs Newcastle recent league form

Teams Recent Premier League Form
Manchester City Manchester City W
Newcastle Newcastle W

Pages related to this topic

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo