Newcastle vs Wolves Picks and Predictions: Wolves Hunt European Qualification

Wolverhampton are in great form, and being overlooked by the books against a semi-desperate Newcastle side. Find out why we see great value in backing the underdogs with our Newcastle vs. Wolves picks.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Apr 8, 2022 • 08:44 ET • 4 min read
Wolverhampton Wanderers EPL betting
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It’s always a treat when you get a Premier League game on a Friday and this week, Newcastle welcome Wolves to St James Park. Newcastle still aren’t totally safe from relegation and face a tough ask against a Wolves team who are still in with a chance of achieving European football for next season.

This is set to be a fascinating game. Don’t miss our Newcastle vs. Wolves picks and predictions for Friday, April 8.

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Newcastle vs Wolves match odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare EPL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Newcastle vs Wolves betting tips

Predictions made on 4/8/2022 at 5:35 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Newcastle vs Wolves game info

Location: St. James' Park, Newcastle, England
Date: Friday, April 8, 2022
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: DAZN

Newcastle vs Wolves betting preview

Weather

There’ll be rain in Newcastle, but that should subside before kick-off, with temperatures set to drop from mid to low 40s during the game.

Injuries

Newcastle: Callum Wilson STR (Out), Kieran Trippier RB (Out), Miguel Almiron RM (Questionable), Ciaran Clark CB (Out), Isaac Hayden CB (Out), Jamal Lewis LB (Out), Federico Fernandez CB (Questionable), Joseph Willock (Questionable).
Wolves: Ki-Jane Hoever RWB (Out), Ruben Nevers CM (Out), Raul Jimenez STR (Out).

Newcastle vs Wolves predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Side analysis

It’s always a pleasure to see Premier League action on a Friday and this week’s game under the lights is Newcastle vs. Wolves. It’s not a match that leaps off the schedule, but that’s deceptive and we could have a really exciting game.

For the hosts Newcastle, it felt like they’d been reinvigorated after the January transfer window. That influx of Saudi money saw them bring in some talented new players and Eddie Howe had got them playing well. Fast forward a couple of months and they’ve been hit by injuries and have lost three on the bounce. That leaves them just seven points clear of 18th- place Burnley, who have a game in hand. 

It's important for Eddie Howe to get the three points on Friday. After this, they face Leicester and Crystal Palace, both playing brilliantly at the moment, and are still yet to face Liverpool and Man City before the end of the season. It’s essential that they start to pick up points, and fast.

It's very different in Wolverhampton, with Wolves sat eighht in the Premier League and the club looking upwards and stalking their prey. Only five points separate them from fourth-placed Spurs, who currently hold the final Champions League spot, with that lucrative possibility on the horizon as well as Europa League and Europa Conference League too, this team won’t stop playing. Bruno Lage has been a revelation at the club, and in my view, he’s the front runner for the Manager of the Season award.

Lage has got his team defensively sound, with the fourth-best defensive record in the Premier League. Over the past month, he’s arguably taken the handbrake off and the team are now looking more expansive going forward.

We’ll see Lage set his team out in a 3-4-2-1, but they are without two of their key stars. Ruben Neves will be absent and the team will be missing his creativity. He’ll likely be replaced with Leander Dendoncker, who will do the defensive work with Joao Moutinho being leaned on for the creative work. 

The loss of Raul Jimenez, serving the second of his two-game ban for a red card, will be bigger, with the Mexican being the team’s leading Premier League scorer this year. It’ll be either Hwang-Hee-Chan or Fabio Silva in his place, but this team has been scoring a lot of goals from a variety of different sources in recent weeks, something which bodes well without Jimenez. In the past four games, Wolves have scored nine goals with six different goal-scorers.

This will be a tough game for Newcastle, who are missing a number of key players, including some recent signings. Kieran Trippier has been a huge loss with the England player’s experience and game management now missing. A lot will depend on whether Newcastle can find the back of the net, having scored just one goal in their past three games. Chris Wood has only scored one goal in 11 appearances since arriving from Burnley and they need somebody to stand up and take on that responsibility.

Given how well Wolves have been playing this season, and that they’ve won three in their past four, the odds of +250 on a Wolves win look really generous. Get on it while you can.

Prediction: Wolves (+250)

Over/Under analysis

Amazingly, there have been Over 2.5 goals in three of Wolves’ past four games — don’t let that fool you though, this team is rock solid at the back and knows how to close out games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 20% of Wolves games on the road this season. 

Given that Wolves have highlighted their ability to keep things tight when playing on the road, do we really think a team just six points clear of the relegation zone and with Chris Wood leading the line have enough about them to turn this game into a shootout? I don’t. Back Under 2.5 here.

Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals (-160)

Best bet

I toyed with going for a correct score here as the best bet. Five of Wolves’ past eight away games have finished 1-0 to either side and you can get +800 on Wolves winning this match 1-0. Despite those attractive odd,s I’ve decided to be conservative and just back the Wolves win at +250. 

They’re a great team against one who are struggling and lacking in both confidence and goals. You don’t get odds like this very often and it really does feel like an oversight from the sportsbooks.

Pick: Wolves (+250)

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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