Harry Kane will hope to re-write the record books on Sunday when Tottenham visits the Midlands for a matchup with Nottingham Forest.
The talisman has scored against every Premier League side he’s faced and is moving up the single-club charts, and Antonio Conte will need him to stay in form as they seek to put pressure on Manchester City early in the title race.
Forest will hope they can continue to ride their luck and somehow secure points at home, where they’ve lost just once in the calendar year. See if the newly promoted side can get the result in our Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur picks and predictions for Sunday, August 28.
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham match odds
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Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham betting picks
Predictions made on 8/27/2022 at 12:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham game info
• Location: City Ground, Nottingham, England
• Date: Sunday, August 28, 2022
• Time: 11:30 a.m. ET
• TV: USA Network
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham betting preview
Weather
Temperatures will be in the mid-70s at kickoff on Sunday, with no rain in the forecast. There will be plenty of clouds, and wind gusts could be a bit of an issue, as they’re expected to top 20 miles per hour.
Injuries
Nottingham Forest: Jack Colback M (Doubtful), Moussa Niakhate D (Out), Omar Richards D (Out).
Tottenham: Cristian Romero D (Out), Lucas Moura F (Doubtful), Bryan Gil M (Doubtful), Oliver Skipp M (Doubtful).
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Side analysis
I’m not even sure the Football Manager game would allow the type of squad overhaul that Nottingham Forest have undertaken this summer. Following their promotion from the Championship, the Midlands outfit has announced a staggering 17 new signings over the past two months. They’ve spent nearly $200 million on new players, and according to manager Steve Cooper they “would like to sign more players”, as the likes of Atletico fullback Renan Lodi has been linked to them as well.
When a club makes the type of moves they have (especially following promotion), it typically takes a while for them to gel. More often than not, newly promoted sides have meant a return directly to the Championship after one season. They’ve picked up a win and a draw in their first three matches, and their four points see them halfway to the magical mark for survival. Each of the 14 newly-promoted sides to secure eight points through their first five Premier League matches have survived the drop.
To achieve that mark, they must get past a Tottenham side that entered the campaign as a dark-horse pick to compete for the Premier League title. They’ve performed quite well to start the season, with a 2-2 draw against rivals Chelsea sandwiched between a pair of victories. Last weekend, they were able to grind out a 1-0 win over Wolves, with Harry Kane’s strike in the 64th minute being the difference.
Harry Kane scores his 185th Premier League goal.
— NBC Sports (@NBCSports) August 20, 2022
Kane now has the most goals for a single club in PL history! This was also his 250th goal for Tottenham in all competitions.
Tottenham defeated Wolves 1-0. #MyPLMorningpic.twitter.com/ChqT86ggQh
That’s not to say that the Spurs have played their best football, though. They were outshot nearly two-to-one by Wolves, and they were fortunate to secure a last-gasp point against Chelsea following a very controversial ending. However, they were rampant in their opener at home against Southampton and have shown glimpses of what they can be.
Fans are a bit concerned that Heung-min Son has yet to get out of the block, but manager Antonio Conte is not. He said earlier this week he believes last year’s Golden Boot co-holder will come good, which could be the key to opening the Spurs attack on a more consistent basis. Nottingham Forest could be the perfect opponent for him to open his account after hitting the post last weekend.
With a heavy fixture list ahead, Spurs are likely going to rotate a fair amount in this match. Ivan Perisic has played well at left wing-back since his arrival this summer, but he will probably make way for Ryan Sessegnon. We could also see the introduction of Yves Bissouma in the center of the park, having yet to start after his big move from Brighton and playing just 19 minutes through three matches.
For as well as Forest have done this season, they could consider themselves a bit unlucky to have conceded late to Everton to drop two points. They could also consider themselves quite fortunate to have gotten anything at all, considering Everton won the xG battle 1.51 to 0.99 on the day. They were even more fortunate to get a win over West Ham, who registered a 2.26 xG mark and wasted numerous chances.
Forest will be feeling good off the back of a 3-0 win over Grimsby in the Carabao Cup midweek, especially since they’ve lost just once at home in 2022 when Liverpool beat them in the FA Cup. However, one only needs to look back to their opening day 2-0 defeat to Newcastle to get a script of how this match is going to go. They held just 39% possession on the day, were outshot nearly five to one, and were overwhelmed by the Magpie attack.
Tottenham should win this match when it’s all said and done. All that said, the juice is quite high for a Spurs win which robs it of all its value. Instead, I’d wager on Tottenham not getting a result until after halftime.
Through their first three matches, Forest have yet to concede a goal before the break, and Spurs have not scored before halftime in either of their last two fixtures. With heavy rotation expected for the visitors, it’s very likely they will enter the break still trying to find the breakthrough.
Prediction: Nottingham Forest first half double chance (-135 at DraftKings)
Over/Under analysis
Forest have been fortunate to have only conceded three goals so far this season. Through the first three matches, their 35 shots were allowed inside the 18-yard area. Their 61 shots conceded overall were also the most in the league, and Forest' expected goals against were over six. On loan from Manchester United, Dean Henderson has been a key reason for the low number of goals, but West Ham and Everton also wasted quite a few opportunities.
One thing Spurs don’t usually do is miss chances. Between Kane, Son, and Dejan Kulusevski, Spurs are a side that can be lethal when given the opportunity. In fact, they’ve scored seven goals despite having an xG this season of under five.
Spurs can score in bunches, and I love them to get multiple goals after halftime on Sunday against a Forest side that has conceded all three of their goals after the break.
Prediction: Over 1.5 second half Asian total (-115 at DraftKings)
Best bet
While he was somewhat quiet in their opening 4-1 win over Southampton, Kane has gotten off to a strong start. He has scored a goal in each of Spurs’ last two matches, with his winner against Wolves giving him 185 for Tottenham. That saw him pass Sergio Aguero for the most goals for a single club in Premier League history.
He needs two more to pull level with Andy Cole for third-most Premier League goals. Kane has faced 30 different clubs in his Premier League career and found the back of the net against all of them. Forest will be the 31st club on that list, and I fully expect him to continue his run and score against them as well.
Nottingham Forest have conceded more shots in the box entering the weekend than any other side and have allowed 23 efforts on goal. To get Kane at this price is a gift, and I’ll gladly accept it.
Pick: Harry Kane to score anytime (-110 at DraftKings)
