NBCSCH, Sportsnet, MLBN

Chicago @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Daulton Varsho in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Kopech today.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Daulton Varsho in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Kopech today.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Kopech today. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Kevin Kiermaier will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Kopech today. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Kevin Kiermaier will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre ranks as the #26 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Luis Robert grades out in the 23rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (13.3% rate since the start of last season). Luis Robert has shown poor plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 5th percentile with a 5.96 K/BB rate.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Rogers Centre ranks as the #26 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Luis Robert grades out in the 23rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (13.3% rate since the start of last season). Luis Robert has shown poor plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 5th percentile with a 5.96 K/BB rate.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Sosa
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-172
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-172
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Lenyn Sosa in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Lenyn Sosa will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split.

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Lenyn Sosa in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Lenyn Sosa will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split.

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Andrew Benintendi in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andrew Benintendi stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Andrew Benintendi hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Andrew Benintendi in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andrew Benintendi stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Andrew Benintendi hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage today. Danny Jansen has notched a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage today. Danny Jansen has notched a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Eloy Jimenez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

E. Jimenez
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Eloy Jimenez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Eloy Jimenez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Eloy Jimenez will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split.

Eloy Jimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Eloy Jimenez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Eloy Jimenez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Eloy Jimenez will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split.

Elvis Andrus Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

E. Andrus
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Elvis Andrus has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Elvis Andrus will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Elvis Andrus hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Elvis Andrus

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Elvis Andrus has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Elvis Andrus will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Elvis Andrus hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

J. Burger
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Jake Burger will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Jake Burger has posted a .326 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Jake Burger will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Jake Burger has posted a .326 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Toronto

W. Merrifield
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Whit Merrifield will benefit from the home field advantage today. Whit Merrifield has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .256 figure is quite a bit lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Whit Merrifield will benefit from the home field advantage today. Whit Merrifield has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .256 figure is quite a bit lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Alejandro Kirk will possess the home field advantage today. Alejandro Kirk has put up a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Alejandro Kirk will possess the home field advantage today. Alejandro Kirk has put up a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Andrew Vaughn will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Andrew Vaughn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Andrew Vaughn will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Andrew Vaughn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-172
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-172
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage today.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage today.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects George Springer in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage today.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects George Springer in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

R. Gonzalez
second base 2B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split.

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split.

Seby Zavala Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

S. Zavala
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Seby Zavala will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Seby Zavala's 22.6° launch angle is among the highest in MLB: 94th percentile. The standard deviation of Seby Zavala's launch angle since the start of last season (25.5°) is in the 80th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.

Seby Zavala

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Seby Zavala will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Seby Zavala's 22.6° launch angle is among the highest in MLB: 94th percentile. The standard deviation of Seby Zavala's launch angle since the start of last season (25.5°) is in the 80th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Toronto

S. Espinal
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Santiago Espinal in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Santiago Espinal has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .256 BA is quite a bit lower than his .280 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Santiago Espinal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Santiago Espinal in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Santiago Espinal has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .256 BA is quite a bit lower than his .280 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast