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Toronto @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Toronto

W. Merrifield
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Whit Merrifield is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°. Corey Kluber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Whit Merrifield today.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Whit Merrifield is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°. Corey Kluber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Whit Merrifield today.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber today. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber today. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

When considering his batting average skill, Masataka Yoshida ranks as the 16th-best batter in the league according to THE BAT X. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When considering his batting average skill, Masataka Yoshida ranks as the 16th-best batter in the league according to THE BAT X. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Corey Kluber today. Daulton Varsho has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Corey Kluber today. Daulton Varsho has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Justin Turner ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Justin Turner ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Brandon Belt Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Belt
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Brandon Belt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate today.

Brandon Belt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Brandon Belt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate today.

Christian Arroyo Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Arroyo
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average skill, Christian Arroyo is ranked in the 80th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Christian Arroyo will possess the home field advantage today.

Christian Arroyo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his batting average skill, Christian Arroyo is ranked in the 80th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Christian Arroyo will possess the home field advantage today.

Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Toronto

C. Biggio
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate today.

Cavan Biggio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate today.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Kike Hernandez has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Kike Hernandez has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 93rd percentile within THE BAT X projects. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 93rd percentile within THE BAT X projects. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Danny Jansen has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. The BAT X interprets Statcast data to place Danny Jansen in the 87th percentile with a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) notched since the start of last season.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Danny Jansen has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. The BAT X interprets Statcast data to place Danny Jansen in the 87th percentile with a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) notched since the start of last season.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Connor Wong ranks in the 79th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Connor Wong ranks in the 79th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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