Final Mar 14
WAS 5 +161 o8.5
ATL 3 -191 u8.5
Final Mar 14
CIN 3 +0 o0.0
CHW 7 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
SEA 7 -119 o11.5
CLE 8 +102 u11.5
Final Mar 14
LAA 1 +0 o0.0
OAK 12 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
BOS 9 -107 o7.5
MIA 4 -109 u7.5
Final Mar 14
SF 5 +126 o11.0
MIL 11 -148 u11.0
Final Mar 14
CIN 1 +140 o10.5
AZ 2 -180 u10.5
Final Mar 14
KC 9 +0 o0.0
LAA 8 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
TOR 5 +103 o8.0
HOU 6 -121 u8.0
Final Mar 14
MIN 0 +0 o0.0
BAL 10 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
DET 8 +120 o8.5
PIT 8 -141 u8.5
Final Mar 14
TB 6 +0 o0.0
MIN 13 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
STL 3 +152 o7.5
NYM 3 -179 u7.5
Final Mar 14
PHI 5 +119 o8.5
NYY 6 -140 u8.5
Final Mar 14
COL 0 +0 o0.0
TEX 5 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
TEX 8 +0 o0.0
SD 9 +0 u0.0
Sportsnet, Bally Sports Network

Minnesota @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

T. Larnach
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Trevor Larnach in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Trevor Larnach in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Toronto

C. Biggio
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Louie Varland in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Cavan Biggio will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Cavan Biggio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Louie Varland in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Cavan Biggio will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Alex Kirilloff Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Kirilloff
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alex Kirilloff in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Alex Kirilloff will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Kirilloff has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Alex Kirilloff

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Alex Kirilloff in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Alex Kirilloff will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Kirilloff has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Max Kepler has been unlucky this year, putting up a .286 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .046 difference.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Max Kepler has been unlucky this year, putting up a .286 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .046 difference.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Carlos Correa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Carlos Correa has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Carlos Correa's launch angle recently (35.3° in the past week) is significantly better than his 12° seasonal figure.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Carlos Correa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Carlos Correa has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Carlos Correa's launch angle recently (35.3° in the past week) is significantly better than his 12° seasonal figure.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Louie Varland today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Louie Varland today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota

D. Solano
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Donovan Solano has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 5.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 14 days. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 15.7% on the season to 29.2% over the past two weeks.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Donovan Solano has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 5.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 14 days. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 15.7% on the season to 29.2% over the past two weeks.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Lewis
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Royce Lewis has been very consistent with his in recent games, compiling a 35.3° launch angle standard deviation over the last 14 days.

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Royce Lewis has been very consistent with his in recent games, compiling a 35.3° launch angle standard deviation over the last 14 days.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 40.7% on the season to 55.2% in the last 14 days.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 40.7% on the season to 55.2% in the last 14 days.

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Toronto

S. Espinal
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Santiago Espinal in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Santiago Espinal will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Santiago Espinal has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .258 figure is a fair amount lower than his .270 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Santiago Espinal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Santiago Espinal in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Santiago Espinal will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Santiago Espinal has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .258 figure is a fair amount lower than his .270 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Nathan Lukes Total Hits Props • Toronto

N. Lukes
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage over Louie Varland today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Nathan Lukes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Nathan Lukes will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Nathan Lukes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage over Louie Varland today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Nathan Lukes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Nathan Lukes will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Vazquez
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Christian Vazquez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 47% to 54.6%. Christian Vazquez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .261 mark is considerably lower than his .301 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Christian Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Christian Vazquez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 47% to 54.6%. Christian Vazquez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .261 mark is considerably lower than his .301 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Toronto

W. Merrifield
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-255
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-255
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Whit Merrifield has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 2.9% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past week.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Whit Merrifield has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 2.9% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past week.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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