Oakland @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre grades out as the #28 park in the game for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Luis Medina will hold the platoon advantage over Whit Merrifield in today's game. The Oakland Athletics infield defense grades out as the 5th-best out of every team playing today. Whit Merrifield's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.2-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 74.8-mph over the past week. Whit Merrifield's launch angle of late (-1.5° over the last week) is significantly worse than his 13.8° seasonal angle.

Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Luis Medina in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 87.5-mph average. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (17.6°) is a considerable increase over his 14.5° mark last year.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Belt in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Belt has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage against Luis Medina in today's game. Brandon Belt pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Belt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 11th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Shea Langeliers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Shea Langeliers has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 95-mph. Shea Langeliers's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (25.8° over the last 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 17.2° seasonal mark. Shea Langeliers has been unlucky this year, notching a .279 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .040 deviation.

THE BAT X projects Brent Rooker in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brent Rooker is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Brent Rooker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even better, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Brent Rooker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 11th-shallowest CF fences today. Brent Rooker has notched a .381 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tony Kemp stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Tony Kemp hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 11th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Tony Kemp has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.7-mph average to last year's 84.2-mph average. Tony Kemp's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 39.6% on the season to 57.1% in the last 14 days. Tony Kemp has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .182 BA is quite a bit lower than his .219 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Luis Medina in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 11th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Kevin Kiermaier has notched a .274 batting average this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Jace Peterson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jace Peterson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jace Peterson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 11th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jace Peterson has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .288 mark is a good deal lower than his .315 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Aledmys Diaz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 11th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Aledmys Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Aledmys Diaz has been unlucky this year, posting a .246 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .063 discrepancy.

THE BAT X projects Esteury Ruiz in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Esteury Ruiz is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Esteury Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and moreover, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Esteury Ruiz has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Esteury Ruiz has recorded a .329 BABIP this year, placing in the 77th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 11th-shallowest CF fences today. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Matt Chapman has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 12.9% rate last year to 18.8% this year.

THE BAT X projects Santiago Espinal in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 11th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Santiago Espinal has compiled a .268 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Santiago Espinal has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile with a 1.92 K/BB rate.

Rogers Centre has the 11th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Jonah Bride will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Jonah Bride has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 1.5% rate last season to 8.6% this season. Jonah Bride has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last season's 86.9-mph EV. Jonah Bride's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 13.7% to 22.9%.

Ryan Noda is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan Noda stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Ryan Noda pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 11th-shallowest RF fences today. Ryan Noda's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 50.4% on the season to 58.6% in the past two weeks. Ryan Noda has compiled a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 90th percentile for offensive skills (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Rogers Centre has the 11th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Cavan Biggio will have the handedness advantage over Luis Medina today. Cavan Biggio will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Cavan Biggio has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 15.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 14 days. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 20.3% to 28.8%.

Tyler Heineman pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Tyler Heineman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Tyler Heineman has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .218 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .240 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Tyler Heineman has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.94 K/BB rate.

Danny Jansen has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

JJ Bleday has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Yusei Kikuchi has gone over 4.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

George Springer has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.