Final Mar 14
WAS 5 +161 o8.5
ATL 3 -191 u8.5
Final Mar 14
CIN 3 +0 o0.0
CHW 7 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
LAA 1 +0 o0.0
OAK 12 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
SEA 7 -119 o11.5
CLE 8 +102 u11.5
Final Mar 14
SF 5 +126 o11.0
MIL 11 -148 u11.0
Final Mar 14
CIN 1 +140 o10.5
AZ 2 -180 u10.5
Final Mar 14
BOS 9 -107 o7.5
MIA 4 -109 u7.5
Final Mar 14
KC 9 +0 o0.0
LAA 8 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
TB 6 +0 o0.0
MIN 13 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
TOR 5 +103 o8.0
HOU 6 -121 u8.0
Final Mar 14
MIN 0 +0 o0.0
BAL 10 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
DET 8 +120 o8.5
PIT 8 -141 u8.5
Final Mar 14
STL 3 +152 o7.5
NYM 3 -179 u7.5
Final Mar 14
PHI 5 +119 o8.5
NYY 6 -140 u8.5
Final Mar 14
COL 0 +0 o0.0
TEX 5 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
TEX 8 +0 o0.0
SD 9 +0 u0.0
NBCSCA, NESN

Oakland @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Shea Langeliers Total Hits Props • Oakland

S. Langeliers
catcher C • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Shea Langeliers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Shea Langeliers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Walter in today's matchup... and moreover, Walter has a huge platoon split.

Shea Langeliers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Shea Langeliers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Shea Langeliers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Walter in today's matchup... and moreover, Walter has a huge platoon split.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-180
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-180
Projection Rating

17% of the time that Jarren Duran has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 93.4-mph mark last year has dropped to 89-mph. Jarren Duran's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (0.5° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 6.5° seasonal mark.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

17% of the time that Jarren Duran has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 93.4-mph mark last year has dropped to 89-mph. Jarren Duran's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (0.5° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 6.5° seasonal mark.

Jordan Diaz Total Hits Props • Oakland

J. Diaz
third base 3B • Oakland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

58% of the time that Jordan Diaz has started against a southpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jordan Diaz today. Jordan Diaz's 4.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in baseball: 12th percentile.

Jordan Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

58% of the time that Jordan Diaz has started against a southpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jordan Diaz today. Jordan Diaz's 4.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in baseball: 12th percentile.

Brent Rooker Total Hits Props • Oakland

B. Rooker
left outfield LF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Brent Rooker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Walter in today's game... and even more favorably, Walter has a huge platoon split.

Brent Rooker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Brent Rooker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Walter in today's game... and even more favorably, Walter has a huge platoon split.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Luis Medina will have the handedness advantage over Justin Turner in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Justin Turner's launch angle this year (14.5°) is considerably lower than his 18.6° angle last season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.330) may lead us to conclude that Justin Turner has been lucky this year with his .357 actual wOBA.

Justin Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Luis Medina will have the handedness advantage over Justin Turner in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Justin Turner's launch angle this year (14.5°) is considerably lower than his 18.6° angle last season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.330) may lead us to conclude that Justin Turner has been lucky this year with his .357 actual wOBA.

Ryan Noda Total Hits Props • Oakland

R. Noda
first base 1B • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

Ryan Noda is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Ryan Noda pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Ryan Noda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ryan Noda is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Ryan Noda pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-220
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-220
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Verdugo ranks in just the 16th percentile with a 8.2° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in baseball.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Alex Verdugo is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Verdugo ranks in just the 16th percentile with a 8.2° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in baseball.

Aledmys Diaz Total Hits Props • Oakland

A. Diaz
shortstop SS • Oakland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Projection Rating

Aledmys Diaz's BABIP talent is projected in the 23rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Aledmys Diaz has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Aledmys Diaz today. Last season, Aledmys Diaz had a launch angle of 9.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 5.8°.

Aledmys Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Aledmys Diaz's BABIP talent is projected in the 23rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Aledmys Diaz has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Aledmys Diaz today. Last season, Aledmys Diaz had a launch angle of 9.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 5.8°.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

When assessing his batting average ability, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 17th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When assessing his batting average ability, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 17th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Sporting a .262 BABIP this year, Rafael Devers has performed in the 16th percentile.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Sporting a .262 BABIP this year, Rafael Devers has performed in the 16th percentile.

Yu Chang Total Hits Props • Boston

Y. Chang
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Yu Chang will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Yu Chang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Yu Chang will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's game.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's game.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Tony Kemp Total Hits Props • Oakland

T. Kemp
second base 2B • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Tony Kemp hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Tony Kemp has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last year's 84.2-mph mark.

Tony Kemp

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Tony Kemp hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Tony Kemp has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last year's 84.2-mph mark.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-245
Under
+175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.79
Best Odds
Over
-245
Under
+175

Enrique Hernandez has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast