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San Diego @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre ranks as the #26 ballpark in the league for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 8th-most suitable for pitching of the day. Chris Bassitt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the best out of every team today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Manny Machado in today's matchup.

Manny Machado

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rogers Centre ranks as the #26 ballpark in the league for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 8th-most suitable for pitching of the day. Chris Bassitt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the best out of every team today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Manny Machado in today's matchup.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Kevin Kiermaier's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last week, Kevin Kiermaier's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.9%. Kevin Kiermaier has compiled a .340 BABIP this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kevin Kiermaier's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last week, Kevin Kiermaier's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.9%. Kevin Kiermaier has compiled a .340 BABIP this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Trent Grisham has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 8.7% rate last season to 15% this season.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Trent Grisham has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 8.7% rate last season to 15% this season.

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre ranks as the #26 ballpark in the league for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 8th-most suitable for pitching of the day. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among every team today. Compared to his seasonal angle of 5.5°, Bo Bichette has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.6°) in the last 14 days.

Bo Bichette

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Rogers Centre ranks as the #26 ballpark in the league for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 8th-most suitable for pitching of the day. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among every team today. Compared to his seasonal angle of 5.5°, Bo Bichette has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.6°) in the last 14 days.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Alejandro Kirk will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .276 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk has suffered from bad luck given the .059 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Alejandro Kirk will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .276 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk has suffered from bad luck given the .059 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. George Springer will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. George Springer will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best hitter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best hitter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's game. Last year, Danny Jansen had an average launch angle of 15° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.8°. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 41% on the season to 71.4% in the past week.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's game. Last year, Danny Jansen had an average launch angle of 15° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.8°. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 41% on the season to 71.4% in the past week.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. With a 1.68 K/BB rate this year, Xander Bogaerts has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 85th percentile.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. With a 1.68 K/BB rate this year, Xander Bogaerts has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 85th percentile.

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Toronto

W. Merrifield
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Whit Merrifield has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Whit Merrifield will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage in today's game.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Whit Merrifield has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Whit Merrifield will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage in today's game.

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Carpenter
designated hitter DH • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Carpenter stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Matt Carpenter has been unlucky this year, compiling a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .049 disparity. Matt Carpenter has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 23.9° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (97th percentile).

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Carpenter stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Matt Carpenter has been unlucky this year, compiling a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .049 disparity. Matt Carpenter has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 23.9° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (97th percentile).

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Toronto

S. Espinal
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Santiago Espinal will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell in today's game. Santiago Espinal will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Santiago Espinal has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile with a 1.9 K/BB rate.

Santiago Espinal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Santiago Espinal will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell in today's game. Santiago Espinal will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Santiago Espinal has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile with a 1.9 K/BB rate.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • San Diego

G. Sanchez
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Gary Sanchez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 11.9% on the season to 21.7% over the past 14 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.220) provides evidence that Gary Sanchez has had some very poor luck this year with his .190 actual batting average.

Gary Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Gary Sanchez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 11.9% on the season to 21.7% over the past 14 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.220) provides evidence that Gary Sanchez has had some very poor luck this year with his .190 actual batting average.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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