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Atlanta @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Yu Chang Total Hits Props • Boston

Y. Chang
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Yu Chang will hold that advantage today.

Yu Chang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Yu Chang will hold that advantage today.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average skill, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 16th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When it comes to his batting average skill, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 16th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider today. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Alex Verdugo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider today. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Alex Verdugo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-230
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-230
Projection Rating

Brayan Bello will have the handedness advantage over Austin Riley today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Riley in today's game.

Austin Riley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Brayan Bello will have the handedness advantage over Austin Riley today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Riley in today's game.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his weak side (0) today against Brayan Bello Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ozzie Albies in today's game.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his weak side (0) today against Brayan Bello Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ozzie Albies in today's game.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Sean Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Sean Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Triston Casas is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Triston Casas is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Justin Turner ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Justin Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Justin Turner ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Justin Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for LHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game. Eddie Rosario pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Barrel% of Eddie Rosario has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.5% last year to 10.7% this year.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for LHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game. Eddie Rosario pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Barrel% of Eddie Rosario has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.5% last year to 10.7% this year.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Adam Duvall will hold that advantage in today's game.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Adam Duvall will hold that advantage in today's game.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Marcell Ozuna has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14.3% seasonal rate to 20% over the past week.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Marcell Ozuna has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14.3% seasonal rate to 20% over the past week.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 15th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Strider today. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 15th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Strider today. The Atlanta Braves don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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