MIN +117 o8.0
CLE -127 u8.0
LIVE Bottom 3rd Apr 29
NYY 6 -170 o9.5
BAL 0 +156 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 2nd Apr 29
CHC 0 -146 o9.0
PIT 0 +134 u9.0
LIVE Top 3rd Apr 29
WAS 0 +168 o8.5
PHI 2 -185 u8.5
LIVE Bottom 1st Apr 29
KC 1 +139 o8.0
TB 0 -151 u8.0
LIVE Bottom 1st Apr 29
BOS 2 -130 o7.5
TOR 0 +120 u7.5
LIVE Top 1st Apr 29
AZ 0 +117 o8.0
NYM 0 -126 u8.0
MIL -245 o8.0
CHW +220 u8.0
ATH +174 o8.5
TEX -191 u8.5
DET +102 o8.0
HOU -111 u8.0
ATL -199 o11.0
COL +181 u11.0
SF -116 o7.0
SD +107 u7.0
LAA +195 o7.5
SEA -215 u7.5
MIA +176 o8.5
LAD -193 u8.5
Bally Sports Network

Miami @ Texas props

Globe Life Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Avisail Garcia Total Hits Props • Miami

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Avisail Garcia's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Avisail Garcia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Avisail Garcia will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery today. Avisail Garcia has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.5% rate last season to 14% this year. This season, Avisail Garcia has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.9 mph compared to last year's 94.2 mph mark.

Avisail Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Avisail Garcia's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Avisail Garcia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Avisail Garcia will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery today. Avisail Garcia has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.5% rate last season to 14% this year. This season, Avisail Garcia has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.9 mph compared to last year's 94.2 mph mark.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Adolis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Adolis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Corey Seager projects as the 10th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Corey Seager has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.5% rate last year to 20.1% this year.

Corey Seager

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Corey Seager projects as the 10th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Corey Seager has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.5% rate last year to 20.1% this year.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami

L. Arraez
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-175
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-175
Projection Rating

Globe Life Field ranks as the #28 field in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 25° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jordan Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

Globe Life Field ranks as the #28 field in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 25° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jordan Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Josh Jung will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Josh Jung will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Robbie Grossman Total Hits Props • Texas

R. Grossman
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Miami's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Robbie Grossman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Robbie Grossman will hold that advantage today.

Robbie Grossman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Miami's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Robbie Grossman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Robbie Grossman will hold that advantage today.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Garver
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's game. Mitch Garver has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 13.6% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's game. Mitch Garver has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 13.6% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Leody Taveras has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .278 BA is a fair amount lower than his .307 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Leody Taveras has put up a .328 BABIP this year.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Leody Taveras has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .278 BA is a fair amount lower than his .307 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Leody Taveras has put up a .328 BABIP this year.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

B. De La Cruz
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Bryan De La Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Bryan De La Cruz has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8% seasonal rate to 13.6% in the past two weeks. Bryan De La Cruz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.9-mph.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Bryan De La Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Bryan De La Cruz has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8% seasonal rate to 13.6% in the past two weeks. Bryan De La Cruz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.9-mph.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Marcus Semien will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Marcus Semien will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Yuli Gurriel Total Hits Props • Miami

Y. Gurriel
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Yuli Gurriel will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery today. There has been a significant improvement in Yuli Gurriel's launch angle from last year's 14.3° to 17.6° this year. Yuli Gurriel has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.5 K/BB rate.

Yuli Gurriel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Yuli Gurriel will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery today. There has been a significant improvement in Yuli Gurriel's launch angle from last year's 14.3° to 17.6° this year. Yuli Gurriel has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.5 K/BB rate.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Soler
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Jorge Soler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Over the last 7 days, Jorge Soler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph in recent games. There has been a significant improvement in Jorge Soler's launch angle from last year's 13.4° to 17.7° this season.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Jorge Soler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Over the last 7 days, Jorge Soler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph in recent games. There has been a significant improvement in Jorge Soler's launch angle from last year's 13.4° to 17.7° this season.

Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Duran
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ezequiel Duran has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year's 85.4-mph figure.

Ezequiel Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ezequiel Duran has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year's 85.4-mph figure.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has experienced some negative variance given the .062 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has experienced some negative variance given the .062 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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