Chicago @ Cleveland props

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Out of every team on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians. Tim Anderson is an extreme groundball batter and faces the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#1-best of all teams today). Tim Anderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Tim Anderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 14.8% to 8.2%.

22% of the time that Oscar Gonzalez has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Mike Clevinger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Oscar Gonzalez in today's matchup. Oscar Gonzalez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. From last season to this one, Oscar Gonzalez's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 13.5% to 9%.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear the league's 7th-deepest CF fences today. Will Brennan has been cold in recent games, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the last week's worth of games. Posting a .290 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Will Brennan finds himself in the 16th percentile. a 3.98 K/BB rate this year, Will Brennan has shown weak plate discipline, ranking in the 18th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 84.8-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 81.3-mph over the past 14 days. Steven Kwan's launch angle in recent games (-5.3° over the last week) is considerably lower than his 11.2° seasonal mark.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Elvis Andrus will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's game... and moreover, Allen has a large platoon split. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elvis Andrus's true offensive ability to be a .299, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .044 difference between that figure and his actual .255 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yoan Moncada has experienced some negative variance given the .044 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Clevinger in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Jose Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Andrew Benintendi has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the last two weeks, Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.8-mph over the course of the season to 90.8-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. Luis Robert is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Progressive Field's LF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Luis Robert will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Allen in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Allen has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Gabriel Arias has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Gabriel Arias will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Gabriel Arias has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Myles Straw will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Myles Straw's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.3-mph over the course of the season to 88.5-mph of late.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Trayce Thompson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Allen has a large platoon split. Trayce Thompson pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Trayce Thompson has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 16.8% rate last year to 23.5% this season. Trayce Thompson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 19.2% to 26.5%.

In the majors, Progressive Field's LF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Yasmani Grandal will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Logan Allen... and even better, Allen has a large platoon split. Yasmani Grandal has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 91.2-mph over the last two weeks. Yasmani Grandal's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 8.8% to 14.3%.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. David Fry will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eloy Jimenez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eloy Jimenez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Eloy Jimenez will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Allen in today's game... and even better, Allen has a large platoon split. Eloy Jimenez has recorded a .285 batting average this year, placing in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Andrew Vaughn will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Allen has a large platoon split. Andrew Vaughn has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Oscar Colas has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Oscar Colas has had some very poor luck this year. His .233 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .272. This year, the hardest ball Oscar Colas has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.2 mph (an advanced metric to study power), placing in the 92nd percentile.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Seby Zavala will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Allen in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Allen has a large platoon split. Seby Zavala's speed has improved this year. His 25.84 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.39 ft/sec now. Seby Zavala has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .154 BA is a fair amount lower than his .183 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits, and Seby Zavala's 25.3° mark (93rd percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

Bo Naylor has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.